Patriots vs. Bills - Player Props

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Oct 4, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Over 50.0%
Under 50.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Patriots vs. Bills - Player Props”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,050% chance of winning. Jackson Hawes: Anytime Touchdown follows in second place at 5,050%, while Rhamondre Stevenson: 2+ Touchdowns sits in third with 5,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 (5,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Jackson Hawes: Anytime Touchdown (5,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Jackson Hawes: Anytime Touchdown maintains a 5,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,050¢.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson: 2+ Touchdowns (5,050%): Sitting in third place with a 5,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Rhamondre Stevenson: 2+ Touchdowns, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Khalil Shakir: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 (5,050%), Drake Maye: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 (5,000%), and Drake Maye: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Drake Maye: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
2Jackson Hawes: Anytime Touchdown5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
3Rhamondre Stevenson: 2+ Touchdowns5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
4Khalil Shakir: Longest Reception O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
5Drake Maye: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Drake Maye: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Drake Maye: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Drake Maye: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Cameron Latu: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Corey Kiner: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Dalton Kincaid: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Dawson Knox: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16DeMario Douglas: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17DJ Moore: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Drake Maye: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Efton Chism III: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Greg Dortch: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Hunter Henry: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22James Cook III: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Josh Allen: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Joshua Palmer: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Keleki Latu: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Keon Coleman: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Khalil Shakir: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Kyle Williams: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Mack Hollins: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Ray Davis: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Romeo Doubs: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Skyler Bell: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Tanner Arkin: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35TreVeyon Henderson: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Ty Johnson: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Dalton Kincaid: Longest Reception O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38DJ Moore: Longest Reception O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Hunter Henry: Longest Reception O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40Romeo Doubs: Longest Reception O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Drake Maye: Passing Attempts O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Drake Maye: Passing Attempts O/U 31.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Drake Maye: Passing Attempts O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Josh Allen: Passing Attempts O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Josh Allen: Passing Attempts O/U 31.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Josh Allen: Passing Attempts O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Drake Maye: Passing Completions O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Drake Maye: Passing Completions O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Drake Maye: Passing Completions O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Josh Allen: Passing Completions O/U 17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Josh Allen: Passing Completions O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Josh Allen: Passing Completions O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Cameron Latu: Team First TD (New England Patriots)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Corey Kiner: Team First TD (New England Patriots)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Dalton Kincaid: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Dawson Knox: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57DeMario Douglas: Team First TD (New England Patriots)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58DJ Moore: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Drake Maye: Team First TD (New England Patriots)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Efton Chism III: Team First TD (New England Patriots)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Greg Dortch: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Hunter Henry: Team First TD (New England Patriots)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Jackson Hawes: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64James Cook III: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Josh Allen: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Joshua Palmer: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Keleki Latu: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Keon Coleman: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Khalil Shakir: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Kyle Williams: Team First TD (New England Patriots)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Mack Hollins: Team First TD (New England Patriots)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Ray Davis: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Rhamondre Stevenson: Team First TD (New England Patriots)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Romeo Doubs: Team First TD (New England Patriots)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Skyler Bell: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Tanner Arkin: Team First TD (New England Patriots)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77TreVeyon Henderson: Team First TD (New England Patriots)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Ty Johnson: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Dalton Kincaid: 2+ Touchdowns5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Dawson Knox: 2+ Touchdowns5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81DeMario Douglas: 2+ Touchdowns5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82DJ Moore: 2+ Touchdowns5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Drake Maye: 2+ Touchdowns5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Hunter Henry: 2+ Touchdowns5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85James Cook III: 2+ Touchdowns5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Josh Allen: 2+ Touchdowns5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Joshua Palmer: 2+ Touchdowns5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Keon Coleman: 2+ Touchdowns5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Khalil Shakir: 2+ Touchdowns5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Kyle Williams: 2+ Touchdowns5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Mack Hollins: 2+ Touchdowns5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Ray Davis: 2+ Touchdowns5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Romeo Doubs: 2+ Touchdowns5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94TreVeyon Henderson: 2+ Touchdowns5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Ty Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢

Result Rules

Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Patriots and Bills, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00 PM ET.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Patriots vs. Bills - Player Props"?

As of the latest update, Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,050% win probability, followed by Jackson Hawes: Anytime Touchdown at 5,050% and Rhamondre Stevenson: 2+ Touchdowns at 5,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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