NCAA Football: 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “NCAA Football: 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, JC French IV is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. Conner Weigman follows in second place at 5,000%, while Alonza Barnett III sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

• JC French IV (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, JC French IV is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

• Conner Weigman (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Conner Weigman maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
• Alonza Barnett III (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Alonza Barnett III, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

• Alternative Options: This includes Drew Mestemaker (5,000%), Will Hammond (5,000%), and Jaylen Raynor (5,000%).
• Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Noah Fifita are still attracting notable interest.

This market will resolve in favor of the player on a Big 12 Conference team that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing touchdowns among all Big 12 players. A player's conference is the football conference affiliation of his team for the 2026 season as recognized by the NCAA.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher average of passing yards per attempt during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games.

If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which Big 12 player led the conference in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.