Pelicans vs. Thunder

$126.7K Vol
Oct 7, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Pelicans 53.5%
Thunder 46.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Pelicans vs. Thunder”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1H O/U 110.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,500% chance of winning. 1H O/U 111.5 follows in second place at 6,200%, while O/U 222.5 sits in third with 5,300%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $126.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1H O/U 110.5 (6,500%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1H O/U 110.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,500¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1H O/U 111.5 (6,200%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1H O/U 111.5 maintains a 6,200% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,200¢.
  • O/U 222.5 (5,300%): Sitting in third place with a 5,300% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 222.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Pelicans vs. Thunder (5,250%), 1H Moneyline (5,100%), and O/U 223.5 (5,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Team to Score First are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11H O/U 110.56500.0%—6500¢-6400¢
21H O/U 111.56200.0%—6200¢-6100¢
3O/U 222.55300.0%$4.6K5300¢-5200¢
4Pelicans vs. Thunder5250.0%$94.3K5250¢-5150¢
51H Moneyline5100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
6O/U 223.55050.0%$5.3K5050¢-4950¢
7Team to Score First5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Odd/Even Score5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91H O/U 115.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101H O/U 116.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11O/U 224.54750.0%$2.1K4750¢-4650¢
121H Spread -0.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
13O/U 225.54650.0%$3104650¢-4550¢
14Spread -1.54550.0%$5.7K4550¢-4450¢
151H Spread -1.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
16Spread -2.54200.0%$3.5K4200¢-4100¢
17O/U 228.53950.0%$1163950¢-3850¢
18Spread -4.53550.0%$10.1K3550¢-3450¢
19Spread -7.52750.0%$2822750¢-2650¢
20Spread -8.52550.0%$4682550¢-2450¢
21Spread -10.52050.0%$452050¢-1950¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 6 at 8:00PM ET:

If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "Pelicans".

If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 6, 2026

  • 11:02 PM
    SESean99999989
    $30.00

    Bought 62.5 Thunder for Pelicans vs. Thunder at 0.48

  • 11:02 PM
    M1M123888
    $5.00

    Bought 9.433963 Pelicans for Pelicans vs. Thunder at 0.53

  • 11:02 PM
    M1M123888
    $10.00

    Bought 18.867925 Pelicans for Pelicans vs. Thunder at 0.53

  • 11:02 PM
    M1M123888
    $30.00

    Bought 56.603774 Pelicans for Pelicans vs. Thunder at 0.53

  • 11:02 PM
    DOdonpolik
    $7.00

    Bought 13.207548 Pelicans for Pelicans vs. Thunder at 0.53

  • 11:01 PM
    M1M123888
    $20.00

    Bought 37.735848 Pelicans for Pelicans vs. Thunder at 0.53

  • 11:00 PM
    MTmt401
    $5.50

    Bought 10.377359 Pelicans for Pelicans vs. Thunder at 0.53

  • 11:00 PM
    0X0x2bEA549Def77042f97edcBAa2B055f6da20fc4B2-1770898317106
    $5.00

    Bought 10.416667 Thunder for Pelicans vs. Thunder at 0.48

  • 10:59 PM
    ILilovegd
    $6.00

    Bought 12.5 Thunder for Pelicans vs. Thunder at 0.48

  • 10:59 PM
    M1M123888
    $10.00

    Bought 18.867925 Pelicans for Pelicans vs. Thunder at 0.53

  • 10:58 PM
    MEmetro12
    $79.50

    Bought 150 Pelicans for Pelicans vs. Thunder at 0.53

  • 10:58 PM
    TRTrumanChen
    $4.50

    Bought 9.375 Thunder for Pelicans vs. Thunder at 0.48

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

HO1
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$31.89
Volume
$13,380.03
Positions
PelicansUnderUnder+3
TY2
Tys0n8686
Event PnL
+$100.46
Volume
$10,593.89
Positions
Pelicans
.P3
.p.l
Event PnL
+$156.88
Volume
$7,405.63
Positions
Thunder
FO4
Forecastication2
Event PnL
+$36.14
Volume
$5,007.09
Positions
Pelicans
9E5
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
-$14.91
Volume
$4,756.23
Positions
ThunderThunderThunder+1
IC6
ic4cream
Event PnL
-$22.33
Volume
$3,822.00
Positions
Thunder
OM7
omnibus-076daa
Event PnL
+$42.75
Volume
$3,712.26
Positions
PelicansThunder
SU8
SunlineTicker
Event PnL
+$68.91
Volume
$3,537.19
Positions
PelicansThunderThunder+1

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Pelicans vs. Thunder"?

As of the latest update, 1H O/U 110.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,500% win probability, followed by 1H O/U 111.5 at 6,200% and O/U 222.5 at 5,300%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $126.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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