Timberwolves vs. Pelicans

$280.7K Vol
Nov 7, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Timberwolves 59.5%
Pelicans 40.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Timberwolves vs. Pelicans”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 11.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 0.5% chance of winning. Terrence Shannon Jr.: Rebounds O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 0.5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $280.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 11.5 (0.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 11.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 1¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2.2K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Terrence Shannon Jr.: Rebounds O/U 2.5 (0.5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Terrence Shannon Jr.: Rebounds O/U 2.5 maintains a 0.5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 1¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 11.50.5%$2.2K1¢100¢
2Terrence Shannon Jr.: Rebounds O/U 2.50.5%$4.2K1¢100¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Timberwolves and Pelicans, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves".

If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "Pelicans".

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Terrence Shannon Jr.: Rebounds O/U 2.5 as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 0.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 7.5% — yielding an impressive +7% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 11.50.5%1.0%+0.5%
Terrence Shannon Jr.: Rebounds O/U 2.5Best EV0.5%7.5%+7.0%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 6, 2026

  • 11:20 PM
    NUnuuumber13
    $410.00

    Bought 1000 Pelicans for Timberwolves vs. Pelicans at 0.41

  • 11:19 PM
    ——
    $2.00

    Bought 3.333332 Timberwolves for Timberwolves vs. Pelicans at 0.6

  • 11:18 PM
    EUeuroclydon
    $1.00

    Bought 1.666667 Timberwolves for Timberwolves vs. Pelicans at 0.6

  • 11:15 PM
    ——
    $2.00

    Bought 3.333332 Timberwolves for Timberwolves vs. Pelicans at 0.6

  • 11:15 PM
    YOYoelmma
    $180.00

    Bought 300 Timberwolves for Timberwolves vs. Pelicans at 0.6

  • 11:13 PM
    QIqianshoukuanyin
    $10.00

    Bought 16.666667 Timberwolves for Timberwolves vs. Pelicans at 0.6

  • 11:12 PM
    JAjasonbateman
    $10.00

    Bought 16.666667 Timberwolves for Timberwolves vs. Pelicans at 0.6

  • 11:10 PM
    HAHarroust1
    $30.00

    Bought 73.170732 Pelicans for Timberwolves vs. Pelicans at 0.41

  • 10:48 PM
    TYTys0n2
    $369.26

    Sold 923.16 Pelicans for Timberwolves vs. Pelicans at 0.4

  • 10:47 PM
    0X0xc92CA3e01ad489f732550B0912991d7beFFb6f15-1770260769185
    $100.00

    Bought 166.666667 Timberwolves for Timberwolves vs. Pelicans at 0.6

  • 10:44 PM
    0X0x98bBAa4E8b41636B076d6bDF6b59487464Cfd65B-1766517408642
    $37.00

    Bought 61.666667 Timberwolves for Timberwolves vs. Pelicans at 0.6

  • 10:36 PM
    0X0x577ab05e4fa40f69e9e520be889630456e3577c4-1793945089650
    $5.00

    Bought 8.333332 Timberwolves for Timberwolves vs. Pelicans at 0.6

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

JA1
jakepaulthegoat2008
Event PnL
+$1,394.11
Volume
$161,096.36
Positions
Timberwolves
SU2
surfandturf
Event PnL
-$250.00
Volume
$50,000.20
Positions
Pelicans
KE3
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Event PnL
-$489.79
Volume
$43,864.51
Positions
Pelicans
HO4
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$213.95
Volume
$34,140.30
Positions
TimberwolvesPelicansOver+6
MU5
Multicoloured-Serf
Event PnL
-$336.26
Volume
$22,417.50
Positions
Pelicans
NE6
nehcnehc
Event PnL
-$47.86
Volume
$19,696.58
Positions
UnderPelicans
CH7
ch27er
Event PnL
+$96.33
Volume
$19,262.30
Positions
Timberwolves
IM8
imjustkenisghey
Event PnL
-$64.15
Volume
$12,829.29
Positions
Pelicans

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Timberwolves vs. Pelicans"?

As of the latest update, Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 11.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 0.5% win probability, followed by Terrence Shannon Jr.: Rebounds O/U 2.5 at 0.5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $280.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Terrence Shannon Jr.: Rebounds O/U 2.5 as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 0.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 7.5% — an Expected Value gap of +7%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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