Bucks vs. Thunder

$193K Vol
Oct 8, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Thunder 94.8%
Bucks 5.2%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Bucks vs. Thunder”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 220.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 217.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while O/U 218.5 sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $193K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 220.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 220.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $6.1K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 217.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 217.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • O/U 218.5 (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 218.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 215.5 (9,995%), O/U 221.5 (9,995%), and Team to Score First (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Odd/Even Score are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 220.59995.0%$6.1K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 217.59995.0%$5.3K9995¢-9895¢
3O/U 218.59995.0%$4.0K9995¢-9895¢
4O/U 215.59995.0%$4.8K9995¢-9895¢
5O/U 221.59995.0%$2.2K9995¢-9895¢
6Team to Score First5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Odd/Even Score5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Bucks vs. Thunder3040.0%$96.0K3040¢-2940¢
9Spread -9.51450.0%$6.1K1450¢-1350¢
10Spread -10.51250.0%$8.8K1250¢-1150¢
11Spread -15.5650.0%$8.0K650¢-550¢
12Spread -12.5550.0%$42.4K550¢-450¢
13Spread -14.5550.0%$8.3K550¢-450¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 7 at 8:00PM ET:

If the Bucks win, the market will resolve to "Bucks".

If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 8, 2026

  • 01:51 AM
    JAjackinv1lvl2
    $0.60

    Bought 5 Thunder for Spread: Thunder (-14.5) at 0.12

  • 01:51 AM
    GOGodoubleu
    $0.13

    Bought 0.2 Bucks for Spread: Thunder (-9.5) at 0.67

  • 01:50 AM
    BSbshop
    $10.01

    Bought 14.940296 Bucks for Spread: Thunder (-9.5) at 0.67

  • 01:49 AM
    SUsuitcase6628
    $38.40

    Bought 60 Bucks for Spread: Thunder (-9.5) at 0.64

  • 01:49 AM
    DIdips.
    $6.96

    Bought 10.88 Bucks for Spread: Thunder (-9.5) at 0.64

  • 01:49 AM
    TEtenpercenttest
    $3.95

    Bought 5 Bucks for Spread: Thunder (-12.5) at 0.79

  • 01:49 AM
    STstkomeghivott
    $4.00

    Bought 5 Bucks for Spread: Thunder (-12.5) at 0.8

  • 01:49 AM
    CHchaeri
    $1.22

    Bought 4.88 Thunder for Spread: Thunder (-14.5) at 0.25

  • 01:49 AM
    0X0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
    $715.95

    Bought 2105.73 Thunder for Spread: Thunder (-9.5) at 0.34

  • 01:49 AM
    EZezp-gk-16
    $47.30

    Bought 139.12 Thunder for Spread: Thunder (-9.5) at 0.34

  • 01:49 AM
    SSsslavaga
    $200.00

    Bought 588.235295 Thunder for Spread: Thunder (-9.5) at 0.34

  • 01:49 AM
    DZDZ.001
    $3.83

    Bought 11.264706 Thunder for Spread: Thunder (-9.5) at 0.34

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

HO1
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$3,159.20
Volume
$14,975.12
Positions
BucksThunderOver+7
ME2
Medo3D
Event PnL
-$50.10
Volume
$9,477.38
Positions
Bucks
223
0x228B…4872
Event PnL
+$1,155.97
Volume
$7,169.91
Positions
BucksBucksOver+7
OM4
omnibus-076daa
Event PnL
+$173.34
Volume
$6,792.54
Positions
BucksBucks
1X5
1xx3
Event PnL
-$251.99
Volume
$5,599.75
Positions
Thunder
UN6
Under1345
Event PnL
-$2,283.35
Volume
$5,444.73
Positions
UnderUnder
UP7
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$129.90
Volume
$4,506.98
Positions
ThunderBucksOver+1
NO8
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
+$596.28
Volume
$4,089.07
Positions
ThunderOverThunder+6

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Bucks vs. Thunder"?

As of the latest update, O/U 220.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 217.5 at 9,995% and O/U 218.5 at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $193K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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