Toronto FC vs. Orlando City SC - More Markets

$147.7K Vol
Oct 15, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Over 74.0%
Under 26.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Toronto FC vs. Orlando City SC - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 71.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $147.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (71.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 72¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score71.5%—72¢29¢

Result Rules

More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 14 at 7:30 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 71.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 69.8%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -1.7%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score71.5%69.8%-1.7%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 14, 2026

  • 11:54 PM
    SKskembinator
    $94.00

    Bought 100 Toronto FC for 1st Half Spread: Orlando City SC (-1.5) at 0.94

  • 11:53 PM
    ASasdsadsadasdasdsadasd
    $1.41

    Bought 1.5 Toronto FC for 1st Half Spread: Orlando City SC (-1.5) at 0.94

  • 11:53 PM
    NONordhavenCap
    $477.43

    Bought 507.90425 Toronto FC for 1st Half Spread: Orlando City SC (-1.5) at 0.94

  • 03:28 PM
    IWiWasEnough
    $0.95

    Bought 5 Under for Toronto FC vs. Orlando City SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.19

  • 03:28 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $18.05

    Bought 95 Under for Toronto FC vs. Orlando City SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.19

  • 02:29 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $15.95

    Bought 33.229167 Over for Toronto FC vs. Orlando City SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 at 0.48

  • 02:29 PM
    YOyoucanbuythisbot
    $0.56

    Bought 1.17 Over for Toronto FC vs. Orlando City SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 at 0.48

  • 02:28 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $36.48

    Bought 76 Over for Toronto FC vs. Orlando City SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 at 0.48

  • 02:28 PM
    YOyoucanbuythisbot
    $2.40

    Bought 5 Over for Toronto FC vs. Orlando City SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 at 0.48

  • 11:37 AM
    THTheRomanProcurator
    $17.03

    Bought 243.285715 Orlando City SC for Spread: Orlando City SC (-2.5) at 0.07

  • 11:37 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $23.66

    Bought 338 Orlando City SC for Spread: Orlando City SC (-2.5) at 0.07

  • 07:41 AM
    THTheRomanProcurator
    $9.06

    Bought 17.09434 Under for Toronto FC vs. Orlando City SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 at 0.53

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

MA1
marketmesh
Event PnL
-$48.36
Volume
$14,507.74
Positions
Over
UP2
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$21.68
Volume
$4,799.70
Positions
UnderOverUnder+11
GO3
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
+$1.17
Volume
$4,297.64
Positions
Toronto FCOverOrlando City SC+3
FL4
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$18.73
Volume
$2,414.49
Positions
UnderUnderYes+12
TH5
TheRomanProcurator
Event PnL
+$0.63
Volume
$2,386.37
Positions
Orlando City SCToronto FCOrlando City SC+9
AN6
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
-$0.77
Volume
$2,166.57
Positions
UnderUnder
FB7
0xfB07…2542
Event PnL
+$10.00
Volume
$2,000.00
Positions
Under
EL8
ELTA
Event PnL
-$80.87
Volume
$1,913.06
Positions
Under

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Toronto FC vs. Orlando City SC - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 71.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $147.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 71.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 69.8%, a negative EV Gap of -1.7% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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