Real Salt Lake vs. New York City FC - More Markets
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Real Salt Lake vs. New York City FC - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 37.5% chance of winning. Both Teams to Score in Second Half follows in second place at 28.5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $116.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Both Teams to Score (37.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 38¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2.6K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Both Teams to Score in Second Half (28.5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams to Score in Second Half maintains a 28.5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 28¢.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Both Teams to Score | 37.5% | $2.6K | 38¢ | 63¢ |
| 2 | Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 28.5% | $35 | 28¢ | 72¢ |
Result Rules
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for September 12 at 9:30 PM ET.
AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps
While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.
Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.
Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities
Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:
- The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 37.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 69.1% — yielding an impressive +31.6% EV Gap.
- Under-the-Radar Dark Horses Other notable discrepancies include Both Teams to Score in Second Half (EV Gap: +19.5%). These long-tail opportunities are heavily discounted by the live order books despite stronger statistical backing from our predictive model.
| Market | Trade Value | Fair Value | EV Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams to ScoreBest EV | 37.5% | 69.1% | +31.6% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 28.5% | 48.0% | +19.5% |
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 12, 2026
- 08:16 PMOGogkarmism$17.02
Bought 26.184614 Under for Real Salt Lake vs. New York City FC: O/U 3.5 at 0.65
- 08:02 PMJAjackpotjerry$2.91
Bought 5.01 Over for Real Salt Lake vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5 at 0.58
- 07:54 PMSAsamu21$1.50
Bought 3.488373 Under for Real Salt Lake vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5 at 0.43
- 07:54 PMGOGoalLineGhost$177.92
Bought 278 Under for Real Salt Lake vs. New York City FC: O/U 3.5 at 0.64
- 07:53 PMFLFlaznorp$6.07
Bought 15.973685 No for Real Salt Lake vs. New York City FC: Both Teams to Score at 0.38
- 07:53 PM0X0x92F59e08060C00C9b2Dde0098D272f66C34C52A2-1786873013481$0.01
Bought 0.02 No for Real Salt Lake vs. New York City FC: Both Teams to Score at 0.38
- 07:53 PMTITimeOfMyLifee$2.10
Bought 5 Under for Real Salt Lake vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5 at 0.42
- 07:53 PMCFcfeeandwhisckey$8.40
Bought 20 Under for Real Salt Lake vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5 at 0.42
- 07:52 PMEVEVryBet4$19.76
Bought 47.04762 Under for Real Salt Lake vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5 at 0.42
- 07:52 PMGOGoalLineGhost$240.57
Bought 297 Under for Real Salt Lake vs. New York City FC: O/U 4.5 at 0.81
- 07:52 PM0X0xc986543005E397E5222F3d9856E0A0b8C4521654-1773127998704$5.00
Bought 11.904762 Under for Real Salt Lake vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5 at 0.42
- 07:52 PMFLFlaznorp$14.29
Bought 285.8 Under for Real Salt Lake vs. New York City FC: O/U 0.5 at 0.05
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Real Salt Lake vs. New York City FC - More Markets"?
As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 37.5% win probability, followed by Both Teams to Score in Second Half at 28.5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $116.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?
The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.
Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?
Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 37.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 69.1% — an Expected Value gap of +31.6%, making it the premium value play in this pool.
Are there any high-value dark horse options hidden in the long-tail data?
Absolutely. Beyond the headline outcomes, our model highlights under-the-radar potential in lower-ranked options. Both Teams to Score in Second Half holds a positive EV Gap of +19.5%. These contracts are discounted by live order books despite stronger quantitative backing.