Philadelphia Union vs. CF Montréal - More Markets

$30.3K Vol
Sep 6, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
CF Montréal 55.5%
Philadelphia Union 44.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Philadelphia Union vs. CF Montréal - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 58.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $30.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (58.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 59¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $172 in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score58.5%$17259¢42¢

Result Rules

More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for September 5 at 7:30 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 58.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 60% — yielding an impressive +1.5% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to ScoreBest EV58.5%60.0%+1.5%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 5, 2026

  • 08:04 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $3.59

    Bought 9.972221 Over for Philadelphia Union vs. CF Montréal: CF Montréal 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.36

  • 07:45 PM
    NInigiri99
    $4.80

    Bought 8 Yes for Philadelphia Union vs. CF Montréal: Both Teams to Score at 0.6

  • 07:40 PM
    MOMobyembre
    $50.89

    Bought 59.18 Over for Philadelphia Union vs. CF Montréal: O/U 1.5 at 0.86

  • 07:34 PM
    0X0x88af4d794CD8277d235d50337f1a714A96023266-1775362549096
    $1.50

    Bought 2.5 Yes for Philadelphia Union vs. CF Montréal: Both Teams to Score at 0.6

  • 07:33 PM
    0X0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187
    $0.83

    Bought 41.5 CF Montréal for Spread: CF Montréal (-2.5) at 0.02

  • 07:33 PM
    0X0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187
    $0.55

    Bought 27.53 CF Montréal for Spread: CF Montréal (-2.5) at 0.02

  • 07:30 PM
    0X0x88af4d794CD8277d235d50337f1a714A96023266-1775362549096
    $3.50

    Bought 5.833332 Yes for Philadelphia Union vs. CF Montréal: Both Teams to Score at 0.6

  • 07:12 PM
    JEJeyromee
    $1.00

    Bought 1.492536 Over for Philadelphia Union vs. CF Montréal: O/U 2.5 at 0.67

  • 06:32 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $13.49

    Bought 14.98888 Over for Philadelphia Union vs. CF Montréal: Philadelphia Union O/U 0.5 at 0.9

  • 06:21 PM
    $1.01

    Bought 1.80357 Under for Philadelphia Union vs. CF Montréal: O/U 3.5 at 0.56

  • 06:21 PM
    0X0xb8B94A3f1DFf534F2f2d16f94D257258eBD1baE7-1773536989191
    $8.40

    Bought 15 Under for Philadelphia Union vs. CF Montréal: O/U 3.5 at 0.56

  • 06:21 PM
    COColdMath
    $84.00

    Bought 150 Under for Philadelphia Union vs. CF Montréal: O/U 3.5 at 0.56

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

381
38791873984189
Event PnL
+$1.72
Volume
$315.05
Positions
OverCF MontréalPhiladelphia Union+4
FL2
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$1.68
Volume
$219.40
Positions
OverCF MontréalUnder+5
953
0x9527…4187
Event PnL
-$1.23
Volume
$210.83
Positions
UnderCF Montréal
CO4
ColdMath
Event PnL
-$0.75
Volume
$150.00
Positions
Under
GO5
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
+$0.64
Volume
$127.85
Positions
Over
RA6
RadioFreeZerg
Event PnL
-$1.02
Volume
$127.37
Positions
CF MontréalUnderNo+1
407
0x407C…1787
Event PnL
-$1.08
Volume
$86.31
Positions
Under
9E8
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
-$1.03
Volume
$72.12
Positions
OverOver

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Philadelphia Union vs. CF Montréal - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 58.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $30.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 58.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 60% — an Expected Value gap of +1.5%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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