FC Cincinnati vs. New England Revolution - More Markets

$101.6K Vol
Oct 15, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Over 100.0%
Under 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “FC Cincinnati vs. New England Revolution - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score in First Half is dominating the market with an overwhelming 29.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $101.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score in First Half (29.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score in First Half is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 30¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $281 in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score in First Half29.5%$28130¢71¢

Result Rules

More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 14 at 7:30 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score in First Half as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 29.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 30.7% — yielding an impressive +1.2% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score in First HalfBest EV29.5%30.7%+1.2%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 15, 2026

  • 12:37 AM
    1R1reydar
    $41.00

    Sold 41 FC Cincinnati for 1st Half Spread: New England Revolution (-1.5) at 1

  • 12:32 AM
    SZszy10010
    $9.90

    Sold 10 New England Revolution for 1st Half Spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5) at 0.99

  • 12:30 AM
    1R1reydar
    $39.77

    Bought 41 FC Cincinnati for 1st Half Spread: New England Revolution (-1.5) at 0.97

  • 12:30 AM
    WHwhynotchocolate
    $8.73

    Bought 9 FC Cincinnati for 1st Half Spread: New England Revolution (-1.5) at 0.97

  • 12:00 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $1.40

    Bought 10 FC Cincinnati for 1st Half Spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5) at 0.14

  • 12:00 AM
    ASasdsadsadasdasdsadasd
    $1.41

    Bought 1.43875 New England Revolution for 1st Half Spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5) at 0.98

  • 12:00 AM
    NONordhavenCap
    $39.50

    Bought 50 New England Revolution for 1st Half Spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5) at 0.79

Oct 14, 2026

  • 09:35 PM
    IMimpaul
    $1,020.00

    Bought 2000 Over for FC Cincinnati vs. New England Revolution: O/U 3.5 at 0.51

  • 09:33 PM
    ——
    $2.50

    Bought 5 Under for FC Cincinnati vs. New England Revolution: O/U 3.5 at 0.5

  • 09:33 PM
    ——
    $2.50

    Bought 5 Under for FC Cincinnati vs. New England Revolution: O/U 3.5 at 0.5

  • 09:24 PM
    CUcurrybrother
    $1.20

    Bought 1.714286 New England Revolution for Spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5) at 0.7

  • 09:24 PM
    DADapor
    $1.00

    Bought 1.408451 Yes for FC Cincinnati vs. New England Revolution: Both Teams to Score at 0.71

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

KY1
Kyn008
Event PnL
-$342.10
Volume
$19,247.86
Positions
Under
NI2
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$101.28
Volume
$13,300.00
Positions
UnderOver
VD3
VD721lsj4938Dk388
Event PnL
+$167.04
Volume
$6,681.53
Positions
Over
GO4
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
+$11.73
Volume
$6,115.16
Positions
FC CincinnatiFC CincinnatiOver+7
HE5
HEWEI16668
Event PnL
+$57.70
Volume
$3,846.15
Positions
Over
NM6
NM-P
Event PnL
-$35.00
Volume
$3,500.00
Positions
Over
FB7
0xfB07…2542
Event PnL
-$14.71
Volume
$2,941.36
Positions
Over
OM8
omnibus-076daa
Event PnL
+$42.72
Volume
$2,848.10
Positions
Over

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "FC Cincinnati vs. New England Revolution - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score in First Half leads the field as the frontrunner with a 29.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $101.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score in First Half as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 29.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 30.7% — an Expected Value gap of +1.2%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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