FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC - More Markets

$51.4K Vol
Sep 6, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
D.C. United SC 64.0%
FC Cincinnati 36.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 65.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $51.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (65.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 66¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $6.9K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score65.5%$6.9K66¢35¢

Result Rules

More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for September 5 at 7:30 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 65.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 63.9%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -1.6%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score65.5%63.9%-1.6%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 5, 2026

  • 07:07 PM
    JEJeyromee
    $1.00

    Bought 1.42857 Over for FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 2.5 at 0.7

  • 06:51 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $1.67

    Bought 12.846152 Over for FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: D.C. United SC O/U 2.5 at 0.13

  • 06:51 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $2.46

    Bought 18.923075 Over for FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: D.C. United SC O/U 2.5 at 0.13

  • 06:03 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $7.97

    Bought 39.85 Under for FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.2

  • 05:59 PM
    LElet-jophnsoin
    $5.00

    Bought 25 Under for FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.2

  • 05:59 PM
    SMsmith-pride
    $5.00

    Bought 25 Under for FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.2

  • 05:59 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $8.15

    Bought 40.75 Under for FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.2

  • 05:37 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $24.92

    Bought 28 Over for FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: FC Cincinnati O/U 0.5 at 0.89

  • 05:08 PM
    EREreviz.eth
    $88.00

    Bought 100 Over for FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 1.5 at 0.88

  • 04:51 PM
    SEserious1
    $1.00

    Bought 1.42857 Over for FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 2.5 at 0.7

  • 04:51 PM
    $2.38

    Bought 3.4 Over for FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 2.5 at 0.7

  • 04:51 PM
    E4e46m3
    $7.57

    Bought 10.81 Over for FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 2.5 at 0.7

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SW1
swolenn
Event PnL
-$340.64
Volume
$24,464.57
Positions
FC CincinnatiOverOver
VE2
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$89.55
Volume
$5,672.26
Positions
D.C. United SCUnderUnder+2
AN3
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$7.18
Volume
$5,668.52
Positions
D.C. United SCUnder
HE4
0xheavy888
Event PnL
+$30.00
Volume
$3,000.00
Positions
D.C. United SC
FE5
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$36.70
Volume
$2,446.84
Positions
D.C. United SC
FL6
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$9.22
Volume
$2,222.08
Positions
D.C. United SCOverUnder+11
HI7
hi774c
Event PnL
+$51.26
Volume
$2,050.28
Positions
D.C. United SC
388
38791873984189
Event PnL
+$6.44
Volume
$1,854.99
Positions
UnderFC CincinnatiOver+6

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 65.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $51.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 65.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 63.9%, a negative EV Gap of -1.6% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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