Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies

$103.8K Vol
Oct 4, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Philadelphia Phillies 52.5%
Tampa Bay Rays 47.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,250% chance of winning. Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 follows in second place at 7,650%, while 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 sits in third with 6,700%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $103.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 (8,250%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,250¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 (7,650%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 maintains a 7,650% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,650¢.
  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (6,700%): Sitting in third place with a 6,700% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 (6,150%), Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.5 (6,000%), and O/U 6.5 (5,350%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.58250.0%—8250¢-8150¢
2Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.57650.0%$1087650¢-7550¢
31st 5 Innings O/U 2.56700.0%—6700¢-6600¢
4Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.56150.0%—6150¢-6050¢
5Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.56000.0%—6000¢-5900¢
6O/U 6.55350.0%$8025350¢-5250¢
71st 5 Innings O/U 3.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
8Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies4750.0%$98.8K4750¢-4650¢
9Philadelphia Phillies O/U 3.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
10Tampa Bay Rays O/U 3.54500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
11NRFI4450.0%$44450¢-4350¢
12O/U 7.54150.0%$1144150¢-4050¢
131st 5 Innings O/U 4.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
14Tampa Bay Rays O/U 5.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
15O/U 8.53400.0%$3.0K3400¢-3300¢
16Spread -1.53350.0%$5163350¢-3250¢
17Philadelphia Phillies O/U 4.53300.0%—3300¢-3200¢
18Tampa Bay Rays O/U 4.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
19Spread -1.53250.0%$5163250¢-3150¢
201st 5 Innings O/U 5.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
211st 5 Innings Spread -1.52750.0%$52750¢-2650¢
221st 5 Innings Spread -1.52650.0%$52650¢-2550¢
23Spread -2.52400.0%$5732400¢-2300¢
24Spread -2.52250.0%$5732250¢-2150¢
25Philadelphia Phillies O/U 5.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
261st 5 Innings O/U 6.51950.0%$301950¢-1850¢
27Extra Innings1200.0%—1200¢-1100¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for September 26 at 7:15PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 26, 2026

  • 12:21 PM
    AEAerodiavolo
    $47.81

    Bought 132.805556 Tampa Bay Rays for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) at 0.36

  • 10:00 AM
    FUfunnyday
    $15.00

    Bought 30 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.5

  • 09:22 AM
    0X0x55D
    $1.00

    Bought 1.960785 Philadelphia Phillies for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.51

  • 09:09 AM
    HEHerdonia
    $8.60

    Bought 16.862746 Philadelphia Phillies for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.51

  • 09:01 AM
    0X0x8E8
    $0.95

    Sold 1.9 Philadelphia Phillies for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.5

  • 09:00 AM
    GOGodplshelpme
    $1.00

    Bought 2 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.5

  • 08:59 AM
    GOGodplshelpme
    $1.00

    Bought 2 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.5

  • 08:57 AM
    DIdinimami
    $665.04

    Bought 1304 Philadelphia Phillies for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.51

  • 08:48 AM
    0X0xCA58434067bdd8ff16913b361Ba36142dcDcefD7-1774870197200
    $1.00

    Bought 2 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.5

  • 08:44 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $34.76

    Bought 69.52 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.5

  • 08:43 AM
    0X0x8E8
    $1.00

    Bought 1.960785 Philadelphia Phillies for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.51

  • 08:37 AM
    0X0xA188633D5A62D73bCe9c3eB9EdE5f13b434162Ea-1776840905618
    $30.00

    Bought 65.217392 Under for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5 at 0.46

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

WA1
wapol
Event PnL
+$13.76
Volume
$3,575.35
Positions
UnderTampa Bay RaysPhiladelphia Phillies+1
PE2
PETE7
Event PnL
+$12.02
Volume
$2,402.56
Positions
Over
DI3
dinimami
Event PnL
-$28.89
Volume
$2,274.24
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies
FI4
filipok2003
Event PnL
-$35.70
Volume
$937.98
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies
MO5
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
+$8.95
Volume
$747.58
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays
386
38791873984189
Event PnL
+$4.55
Volume
$507.99
Positions
Tampa Bay RaysUnder
SE7
selbywest
Event PnL
+$4.50
Volume
$300.00
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays
9E8
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
-$1.43
Volume
$285.70
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies"?

As of the latest update, Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,250% win probability, followed by Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 at 7,650% and 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 6,700%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $103.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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