Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,250% chance of winning. Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 follows in second place at 7,650%, while 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 sits in third with 6,700%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $103.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 (8,250%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,250¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 (7,650%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 maintains a 7,650% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,650¢.
- 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (6,700%): Sitting in third place with a 6,700% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 (6,150%), Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.5 (6,000%), and O/U 6.5 (5,350%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 | 8250.0% | — | 8250¢ | -8150¢ |
| 2 | Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 | 7650.0% | $108 | 7650¢ | -7550¢ |
| 3 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 6700.0% | — | 6700¢ | -6600¢ |
| 4 | Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 | 6150.0% | — | 6150¢ | -6050¢ |
| 5 | Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.5 | 6000.0% | — | 6000¢ | -5900¢ |
| 6 | O/U 6.5 | 5350.0% | $802 | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 7 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 5350.0% | — | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 8 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies | 4750.0% | $98.8K | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 9 | Philadelphia Phillies O/U 3.5 | 4600.0% | — | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 10 | Tampa Bay Rays O/U 3.5 | 4500.0% | — | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 11 | NRFI | 4450.0% | $4 | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 12 | O/U 7.5 | 4150.0% | $114 | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 13 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 3950.0% | — | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 14 | Tampa Bay Rays O/U 5.5 | 3900.0% | — | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 15 | O/U 8.5 | 3400.0% | $3.0K | 3400¢ | -3300¢ |
| 16 | Spread -1.5 | 3350.0% | $516 | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 17 | Philadelphia Phillies O/U 4.5 | 3300.0% | — | 3300¢ | -3200¢ |
| 18 | Tampa Bay Rays O/U 4.5 | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 19 | Spread -1.5 | 3250.0% | $516 | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 20 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 2800.0% | — | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 21 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 2750.0% | $5 | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 22 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 2650.0% | $5 | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 23 | Spread -2.5 | 2400.0% | $573 | 2400¢ | -2300¢ |
| 24 | Spread -2.5 | 2250.0% | $573 | 2250¢ | -2150¢ |
| 25 | Philadelphia Phillies O/U 5.5 | 2150.0% | — | 2150¢ | -2050¢ |
| 26 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 1950.0% | $30 | 1950¢ | -1850¢ |
| 27 | Extra Innings | 1200.0% | — | 1200¢ | -1100¢ |
Result Rules
In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for September 26 at 7:15PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.
This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 26, 2026
- 12:21 PMAEAerodiavolo$47.81
Bought 132.805556 Tampa Bay Rays for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) at 0.36
- 10:00 AMFUfunnyday$15.00
Bought 30 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.5
- 09:22 AM0X0x55D$1.00
Bought 1.960785 Philadelphia Phillies for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.51
- 09:09 AMHEHerdonia$8.60
Bought 16.862746 Philadelphia Phillies for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.51
- 09:01 AM0X0x8E8$0.95
Sold 1.9 Philadelphia Phillies for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.5
- 09:00 AMGOGodplshelpme$1.00
Bought 2 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.5
- 08:59 AMGOGodplshelpme$1.00
Bought 2 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.5
- 08:57 AMDIdinimami$665.04
Bought 1304 Philadelphia Phillies for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.51
- 08:48 AM0X0xCA58434067bdd8ff16913b361Ba36142dcDcefD7-1774870197200$1.00
Bought 2 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.5
- 08:44 AMMOmooseborzoi$34.76
Bought 69.52 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.5
- 08:43 AM0X0x8E8$1.00
Bought 1.960785 Philadelphia Phillies for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.51
- 08:37 AM0X0xA188633D5A62D73bCe9c3eB9EdE5f13b434162Ea-1776840905618$30.00
Bought 65.217392 Under for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5 at 0.46
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies"?
As of the latest update, Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,250% win probability, followed by Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 at 7,650% and 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 6,700%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $103.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
