Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees

$253.8K Vol
Oct 2, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
New York Yankees 56.5%
Tampa Bay Rays 43.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Tampa Bay Rays O/U 0.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,900% chance of winning. New York Yankees O/U 1.5 follows in second place at 7,800%, while Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 sits in third with 7,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $253.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Tampa Bay Rays O/U 0.5 (8,900%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Tampa Bay Rays O/U 0.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,900¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • New York Yankees O/U 1.5 (7,800%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, New York Yankees O/U 1.5 maintains a 7,800% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,800¢.
  • Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 (7,000%): Sitting in third place with a 7,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes New York Yankees O/U 2.5 (6,100%), 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (5,650%), and O/U 5.5 (5,450%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Tampa Bay Rays O/U 0.58900.0%—8900¢-8800¢
2New York Yankees O/U 1.57800.0%—7800¢-7700¢
3Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.57000.0%—7000¢-6900¢
4New York Yankees O/U 2.56100.0%—6100¢-6000¢
51st 5 Innings O/U 2.55650.0%$195650¢-5550¢
6O/U 5.55450.0%$39.5K5450¢-5350¢
7Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
8O/U 6.54450.0%$118.6K4450¢-4350¢
9Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees4350.0%$84.7K4350¢-4250¢
10New York Yankees O/U 3.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
111st 5 Innings O/U 3.53950.0%$413950¢-3850¢
12NRFI3850.0%$1.7K3850¢-3750¢
13Tampa Bay Rays O/U 3.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
14Spread -1.53650.0%$5583650¢-3550¢
15New York Yankees O/U 5.53400.0%$983400¢-3300¢
16O/U 7.53350.0%$2.5K3350¢-3250¢
17New York Yankees O/U 4.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
181st 5 Innings Spread -1.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
19Spread -1.52850.0%$5582850¢-2750¢
201st 5 Innings O/U 4.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
21Spread -2.52550.0%$92550¢-2450¢
22Tampa Bay Rays O/U 4.52450.0%—2450¢-2350¢
23Spread -2.51850.0%$91850¢-1750¢
241st 5 Innings O/U 5.51800.0%—1800¢-1700¢
251st 5 Innings Spread -1.51750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
261st 5 Innings O/U 6.51250.0%$561250¢-1150¢
27Extra Innings1000.0%$1401000¢-900¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees, scheduled for September 24 at 7:05PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 24, 2026

  • 11:05 AM
    0X0x11832279D516814b13AFB86d1C9269B00F1DbAcF-1787399379322
    $60.72

    Bought 159.794872 Over for Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 at 0.38

  • 11:04 AM
    ——
    $3.90

    Bought 26 Over for Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 at 0.15

  • 10:56 AM
    0X0xc92CA3e01ad489f732550B0912991d7beFFb6f15-1770260769185
    $100.00

    Bought 166.666667 Over for Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5 at 0.6

  • 10:21 AM
    0X0xA188633D5A62D73bCe9c3eB9EdE5f13b434162Ea-1776840905618
    $30.00

    Bought 78.947369 New York Yankees for Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) at 0.38

  • 10:03 AM
    ——
    $4.50

    Bought 30 Over for Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 at 0.15

  • 09:52 AM
    BZbzglt
    $150.00

    Bought 254.237287 New York Yankees for Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees at 0.59

  • 09:24 AM
    XIxiongxiao
    $1.26

    Bought 3 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees at 0.42

  • 09:24 AM
    SHshenmp
    $1.77

    Bought 3 New York Yankees for Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees at 0.59

  • 09:24 AM
    GAganjve
    $1.26

    Bought 3 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees at 0.42

  • 09:23 AM
    XIxiangni
    $1.77

    Bought 3 New York Yankees for Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees at 0.59

  • 09:23 AM
    MOmolo
    $1.26

    Bought 3 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees at 0.42

  • 09:23 AM
    MEmeichuang
    $1.77

    Bought 3 New York Yankees for Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees at 0.59

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

HM1
HMLSF
Event PnL
-$129.47
Volume
$25,894.00
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays
VE2
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$80.19
Volume
$16,030.74
Positions
New York YankeesTampa Bay RaysYes
TA3
Talvez10
Event PnL
+$43.45
Volume
$9,853.18
Positions
Under
HO4
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$178.36
Volume
$9,287.32
Positions
OverOverUnder
325
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
+$40.00
Volume
$8,000.00
Positions
New York Yankees
WA6
wapol
Event PnL
-$174.82
Volume
$6,193.28
Positions
OverOverOver
IM7
imjustkenisghey
Event PnL
-$66.89
Volume
$4,561.05
Positions
Tampa Bay RaysOver
MA8
MAGATheeStallion
Event PnL
+$180.00
Volume
$4,000.00
Positions
Under

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees"?

As of the latest update, Tampa Bay Rays O/U 0.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,900% win probability, followed by New York Yankees O/U 1.5 at 7,800% and Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 at 7,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $253.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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