St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers

$137.1K Vol
Oct 4, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Milwaukee Brewers 98.6%
St. Louis Cardinals 1.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while Milwaukee Brewers O/U 5.5 sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $137.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $31 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Milwaukee Brewers O/U 5.5 (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Milwaukee Brewers O/U 5.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Spread -1.5 (9,700%), Spread -2.5 (9,600%), and Spread -3.5 (9,350%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Spread -4.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings Spread -1.59995.0%$319995¢-9895¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 5.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
3Milwaukee Brewers O/U 5.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
4Spread -1.59700.0%$4129700¢-9600¢
5Spread -2.59600.0%$909600¢-9500¢
6Spread -3.59350.0%$3479350¢-9250¢
7Spread -4.58650.0%$4758650¢-8550¢
8Spread -5.57250.0%$2.5K7250¢-7150¢
9Milwaukee Brewers O/U 6.57100.0%—7100¢-7000¢
10O/U 6.57000.0%$17.9K7000¢-6900¢
11St. Louis Cardinals O/U 1.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
12St. Louis Cardinals O/U 2.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
13St. Louis Cardinals O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14St. Louis Cardinals O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15St. Louis Cardinals O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18O/U 7.54550.0%$11.4K4550¢-4450¢
19Spread -6.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
20O/U 8.52900.0%$11.2K2900¢-2800¢
21O/U 9.51800.0%$4601800¢-1700¢
22Extra Innings950.0%—950¢-850¢
23Spread -2.5200.0%$90200¢-100¢
24St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers60.0%$73.8K60¢40¢
251st 5 Innings Spread -1.550.0%$3150¢50¢
261st 5 Innings O/U 6.550.0%—50¢50¢
27Spread -1.550.0%$41250¢50¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for September 27 at 3:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game.

This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 27, 2026

  • 11:43 AM
    AWAwendt913
    $11.00

    Bought 20 Over for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 at 0.55

  • 11:34 AM
    ——
    $1.94

    Bought 4.217392 Under for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 at 0.46

  • 11:34 AM
    0X0xc92CA3e01ad489f732550B0912991d7beFFb6f15-1770260769185
    $100.00

    Bought 181.818182 Over for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 at 0.55

  • 11:31 AM
    ——
    $1.94

    Bought 4.217392 Under for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 at 0.46

  • 11:31 AM
    BUBuzz12z
    $42.09

    Bought 76.527273 Over for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 at 0.55

  • 11:30 AM
    SUsuperlxj
    $1.38

    Bought 3 Under for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 at 0.46

  • 11:29 AM
    ——
    $1.94

    Bought 4.217392 Under for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 at 0.46

  • 11:29 AM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $927.20

    Bought 2060.44 Under for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 at 0.45

  • 10:48 AM
    EMemerald19
    $1.10

    Bought 2.244898 Milwaukee Brewers for Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) at 0.49

  • 10:10 AM
    BABarton08
    $5.00

    Bought 7.246377 Milwaukee Brewers for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.69

  • 10:07 AM
    HUhug25yf
    $6.00

    Bought 8.695651 Milwaukee Brewers for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.69

  • 10:04 AM
    SCscherahmeda
    $15.00

    Bought 25.862069 No for Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.58

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SA1
Sassy-Bucket
Event PnL
+$5,420.96
Volume
$17,346.93
Positions
Milwaukee Brewers
NI2
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$307.75
Volume
$12,310.00
Positions
St. Louis Cardinals
SH3
shaw
Event PnL
-$2,782.56
Volume
$8,799.87
Positions
St. Louis Cardinals
VE4
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$2,343.72
Volume
$7,502.24
Positions
St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinals
FE5
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$40.90
Volume
$7,448.62
Positions
Milwaukee Brewers
DO6
Donkey14
Event PnL
+$2,317.94
Volume
$7,187.41
Positions
Milwaukee Brewers
MA7
MAGATheeStallion
Event PnL
-$1,828.13
Volume
$6,250.00
Positions
St. Louis Cardinals
328
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
+$2,426.41
Volume
$6,137.18
Positions
Milwaukee Brewers

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 at 9,995% and Milwaukee Brewers O/U 5.5 at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $137.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started