San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants

$400.7K Vol
Sep 21, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
San Diego Padres 55.5%
San Francisco Giants 44.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,750% chance of winning. O/U 6.5 follows in second place at 5,950%, while San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants sits in third with 5,550%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $400.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (6,750%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,750¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 6.5 (5,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 6.5 maintains a 5,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,950¢.
  • San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants (5,550%): Sitting in third place with a 5,550% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (5,550%), O/U 7.5 (4,950%), and NRFI (4,400%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Spread -1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.56750.0%6750¢-6650¢
2O/U 6.55950.0%$6.9K5950¢-5850¢
3San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants5550.0%$121.1K5550¢-5450¢
41st 5 Innings O/U 3.55550.0%$1865550¢-5450¢
5O/U 7.54950.0%$259.3K4950¢-4850¢
6NRFI4400.0%$2.2K4400¢-4300¢
7Spread -1.54250.0%$1384250¢-4150¢
81st 5 Innings O/U 4.54100.0%$3704100¢-4000¢
9O/U 8.54050.0%$8.3K4050¢-3950¢
101st 5 Innings Spread -1.53050.0%3050¢-2950¢
11Spread -2.53050.0%$1.4K3050¢-2950¢
121st 5 Innings O/U 5.52950.0%$302950¢-2850¢
13Spread -1.52650.0%$1382650¢-2550¢
141st 5 Innings Spread -1.52600.0%2600¢-2500¢
151st 5 Innings O/U 6.52100.0%$402100¢-2000¢
16Spread -2.51750.0%$1.4K1750¢-1650¢
17Extra Innings1050.0%1050¢-950¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for September 13 at 7:20PM ET:

This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.

This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 13, 2026

  • 10:04 PM
    MAmateodlb
    $500.00

    Bought 892.857143 San Diego Padres for San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.56

  • 10:04 PM
    SIsirluca888
    $9.78

    Bought 21.73 San Francisco Giants for San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.45

  • 10:01 PM
    DODonnieDarko73253
    $61.60

    Bought 110 San Diego Padres for San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.56

  • 10:01 PM
    NENewsGurus
    $49.45

    Bought 109.89 San Francisco Giants for San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.45

  • 10:00 PM
    NInick10s
    $500.00

    Bought 1111.111112 San Francisco Giants for San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.45

  • 10:00 PM
    SIsirluca888
    $9.78

    Bought 21.73 San Francisco Giants for San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.45

  • 09:57 PM
    WOworkbuddy007
    $6.72

    Bought 12 San Diego Padres for San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.56

  • 09:56 PM
    SIsirluca888
    $9.78

    Bought 21.73 San Francisco Giants for San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.45

  • 09:56 PM
    $63.50

    Bought 113.392856 San Diego Padres for San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.56

  • 09:54 PM
    TITimPenis
    $1.48

    Bought 3.288889 San Francisco Giants for San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.45

  • 09:53 PM
    NInigiri99
    $5.04

    Bought 9 San Diego Padres for San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.56

  • 09:53 PM
    SIsirluca888
    $9.78

    Bought 21.73 San Francisco Giants for San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.45

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$27.53
Volume
$9,136.68
Positions
UnderSan Diego Padres
SD2
SDTrading
Event PnL
+$38.41
Volume
$7,628.21
Positions
OverSan Diego PadresOver
SA3
Sassy-Bucket
Event PnL
+$35.08
Volume
$7,015.80
Positions
Over
JA4
JAMJAMJAM4
Event PnL
-$18.27
Volume
$3,655.00
Positions
UnderUnder
585
0x5811…6071
Event PnL
-$9.71
Volume
$3,506.23
Positions
San Francisco GiantsOverSan Francisco Giants+1
NI6
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$8.23
Volume
$3,150.00
Positions
OverNoUnder+3
HO7
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$65.64
Volume
$2,856.22
Positions
OverOverSan Diego Padres+1
WA8
wapol
Event PnL
-$24.12
Volume
$2,625.42
Positions
UnderUnderUnder

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,750% win probability, followed by O/U 6.5 at 5,950% and San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants at 5,550%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $400.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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