San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers

$264.9K Vol
Oct 12, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Milwaukee Brewers 55.5%
San Diego Padres 44.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 5.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,850% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 6,350%, while San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers sits in third with 6,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $264.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 5.5 (6,850%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 5.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,850¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (6,350%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 maintains a 6,350% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,350¢.
  • San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers (6,050%): Sitting in third place with a 6,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (5,650%), 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (5,500%), and 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 (5,250%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 5.56850.0%—6850¢-6750¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 2.56350.0%$806350¢-6250¢
3San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers6050.0%$173.1K6050¢-5950¢
41st 5 Innings O/U 3.55650.0%$1.6K5650¢-5550¢
51st 5 Innings O/U 4.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
61st 5 Innings O/U 5.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
71st 5 Innings O/U 6.55100.0%$75100¢-5000¢
81st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%$195000¢-4900¢
91st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%$195000¢-4900¢
10Extra Innings5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11San Diego Padres O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12San Diego Padres O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13San Diego Padres O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14San Diego Padres O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Milwaukee Brewers O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Milwaukee Brewers O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Milwaukee Brewers O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Milwaukee Brewers O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Milwaukee Brewers O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Spread -1.54250.0%$10.5K4250¢-4150¢
21O/U 6.53750.0%$4.9K3750¢-3650¢
22Spread -2.52800.0%$3142800¢-2700¢
23O/U 7.52700.0%$61.6K2700¢-2600¢
24O/U 8.51950.0%$1.5K1950¢-1850¢
25Spread -1.51850.0%$10.5K1850¢-1750¢
26Spread -2.51050.0%$3141050¢-950¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for October 4 at 4:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.

This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 4, 2026

  • 12:09 PM
    ZGzgcdwf01
    $78.66

    Bought 114 Milwaukee Brewers for Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) at 0.69

  • 12:08 PM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.449274 Milwaukee Brewers for Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) at 0.69

  • 12:08 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $2,069.54

    Bought 3043.44 Milwaukee Brewers for Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) at 0.68

  • 11:47 AM
    TItinarthu
    $10.00

    Bought 17.54386 Milwaukee Brewers for San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.57

  • 11:46 AM
    CIciserman
    $10.00

    Bought 17.54386 Milwaukee Brewers for San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.57

  • 11:45 AM
    HJhjuff
    $10.00

    Bought 17.54386 Milwaukee Brewers for San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.57

  • 11:40 AM
    OOoookkkkla
    $10.00

    Bought 17.54386 Milwaukee Brewers for San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.57

  • 11:34 AM
    TOtonypartington
    $2.00

    Bought 4.651163 Yes for Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.43

  • 11:26 AM
    0X0xcf8b1406cfc9749518b908b19d81c45607ccf162
    $10.00

    Bought 17.54386 Milwaukee Brewers for San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.57

  • 11:19 AM
    MLMladek
    $2.50

    Bought 4.385965 Milwaukee Brewers for San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.57

  • 11:17 AM
    33337
    $1.00

    Bought 1.724138 Over for San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 at 0.58

  • 11:17 AM
    33337
    $1.00

    Bought 1.754386 Milwaukee Brewers for San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.57

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

TA1
taylorsversion
Event PnL
+$251.00
Volume
$50,189.86
Positions
Under
MO2
mooseborzoii
Event PnL
-$206.79
Volume
$42,320.27
Positions
OverSan Diego Padres
HO3
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$36.41
Volume
$8,281.37
Positions
Milwaukee BrewersOverSan Diego Padres+1
NI4
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$11.64
Volume
$5,538.05
Positions
San Diego PadresYesOver+1
0X5
0x0x23…h8c9
Event PnL
-$22.73
Volume
$4,545.45
Positions
Over
PE6
PETE7
Event PnL
-$20.00
Volume
$3,999.99
Positions
San Diego Padres
667
0x661f…098a
Event PnL
+$51.78
Volume
$3,451.72
Positions
Yes
CH8
ChampGamp
Event PnL
-$51.72
Volume
$3,448.28
Positions
No

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers"?

As of the latest update, O/U 5.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,850% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 6,350% and San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 6,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $264.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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