San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers

$88.7K Vol
Oct 11, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Milwaukee Brewers 64.5%
San Diego Padres 35.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Milwaukee Brewers O/U 1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,400% chance of winning. San Diego Padres O/U 0.5 follows in second place at 7,150%, while Milwaukee Brewers O/U 2.5 sits in third with 7,150%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $88.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Milwaukee Brewers O/U 1.5 (7,400%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Milwaukee Brewers O/U 1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,400¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • San Diego Padres O/U 0.5 (7,150%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, San Diego Padres O/U 0.5 maintains a 7,150% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,150¢.
  • Milwaukee Brewers O/U 2.5 (7,150%): Sitting in third place with a 7,150% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Milwaukee Brewers O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes San Diego Padres O/U 1.5 (7,000%), 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (6,850%), and O/U 6.5 (5,650%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Milwaukee Brewers O/U 3.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Milwaukee Brewers O/U 1.57400.0%—7400¢-7300¢
2San Diego Padres O/U 0.57150.0%—7150¢-7050¢
3Milwaukee Brewers O/U 2.57150.0%—7150¢-7050¢
4San Diego Padres O/U 1.57000.0%—7000¢-6900¢
51st 5 Innings O/U 2.56850.0%—6850¢-6750¢
6O/U 6.55650.0%$585650¢-5550¢
7Milwaukee Brewers O/U 3.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
81st 5 Innings O/U 3.55400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
9San Diego Padres O/U 2.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
10Milwaukee Brewers O/U 5.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
11San Diego Padres O/U 4.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
12Spread -1.54550.0%$294550¢-4450¢
13Milwaukee Brewers O/U 4.54500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
14NRFI4450.0%$24450¢-4350¢
15O/U 7.54450.0%$2414450¢-4350¢
161st 5 Innings Spread -1.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
17San Diego Padres O/U 3.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
181st 5 Innings O/U 4.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
19O/U 8.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
20San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers3550.0%$63.3K3550¢-3450¢
21Spread -2.53450.0%$163450¢-3350¢
221st 5 Innings O/U 5.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
23Spread -1.52350.0%$292350¢-2250¢
241st 5 Innings O/U 6.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
25Spread -2.51650.0%$161650¢-1550¢
261st 5 Innings Spread -1.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
27Extra Innings1000.0%—1000¢-900¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for October 3 at 8:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.

This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 3, 2026

  • 12:41 AM
    0X0x33337a279F32F1c2763A8D6a4BfeE31dB99D6bc6-1770351177678
    $7.00

    Bought 29.166667 San Diego Padres for Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) at 0.24

  • 12:25 AM
    FUfunnyday
    $10.80

    Bought 30 San Diego Padres for San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.36

Oct 2, 2026

  • 11:44 PM
    STStefnc
    $50.00

    Bought 76.923077 Milwaukee Brewers for San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.65

  • 11:21 PM
    0X0xc242468253bF912458436FcA54eF32CCD4823250-1770575964542
    $1.00

    Bought 2.777778 San Diego Padres for San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.36

  • 11:03 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $53.30

    Bought 82 Milwaukee Brewers for San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.65

  • 10:54 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $6.50

    Bought 10 Milwaukee Brewers for San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.65

  • 10:53 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $14.30

    Bought 22 Milwaukee Brewers for San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.65

  • 10:52 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $4.55

    Bought 7 Milwaukee Brewers for San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.65

  • 10:51 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $29.25

    Bought 45 Milwaukee Brewers for San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.65

  • 10:50 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $58.50

    Bought 90 Milwaukee Brewers for San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.65

  • 10:46 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $24.05

    Bought 37 Milwaukee Brewers for San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.65

  • 10:44 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $8.45

    Bought 13 Milwaukee Brewers for San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.65

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

2C1
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
+$294.18
Volume
$58,673.01
Positions
San Diego Padres
VV2
vvv44vv4
Event PnL
-$143.54
Volume
$28,708.00
Positions
Milwaukee Brewers
MO3
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
+$0.42
Volume
$18,104.76
Positions
San Diego PadresMilwaukee BrewersUnder
DV4
dv-pm
Event PnL
-$77.99
Volume
$15,600.90
Positions
Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers
IM5
imjustkenisghey
Event PnL
-$47.27
Volume
$9,453.50
Positions
Milwaukee Brewers
VE6
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$9.97
Volume
$5,834.48
Positions
Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers
WE7
WeBuyHighWeSelllow
Event PnL
-$24.02
Volume
$4,297.13
Positions
Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers
MY8
MymanIvan
Event PnL
-$17.50
Volume
$3,500.00
Positions
Milwaukee Brewers

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers"?

As of the latest update, Milwaukee Brewers O/U 1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,400% win probability, followed by San Diego Padres O/U 0.5 at 7,150% and Milwaukee Brewers O/U 2.5 at 7,150%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $88.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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