San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

$488.6K Vol
Oct 1, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
San Diego Padres 89.5%
Los Angeles Dodgers 10.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,650% chance of winning. O/U 5.5 follows in second place at 8,250%, while Spread -1.5 sits in third with 7,500%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $488.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (8,650%): Currently commanding the highest probability, San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,650¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $446.5K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 5.5 (8,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 5.5 maintains a 8,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 8,250¢.
  • Spread -1.5 (7,500%): Sitting in third place with a 7,500% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Spread -1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Los Angeles Dodgers O/U 2.5 (6,650%), O/U 6.5 (6,350%), and Spread -2.5 (5,650%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Los Angeles Dodgers O/U 4.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers8650.0%$446.5K8650¢-8550¢
2O/U 5.58250.0%$398250¢-8150¢
3Spread -1.57500.0%$5.3K7500¢-7400¢
4Los Angeles Dodgers O/U 2.56650.0%$496650¢-6550¢
5O/U 6.56350.0%$2.0K6350¢-6250¢
6Spread -2.55650.0%$2.6K5650¢-5550¢
7Los Angeles Dodgers O/U 4.55500.0%$185500¢-5400¢
8Los Angeles Dodgers O/U 3.55250.0%$595250¢-5150¢
9Los Angeles Dodgers O/U 5.55100.0%5100¢-5000¢
10Extra Innings5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11San Diego Padres O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12San Diego Padres O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Los Angeles Dodgers O/U 6.55000.0%$1295000¢-4900¢
14O/U 7.54350.0%$23.8K4350¢-4250¢
15O/U 8.53250.0%$21.2K3250¢-3150¢
16O/U 9.52150.0%$6.5K2150¢-2050¢
17Spread -1.5550.0%$5.3K550¢-450¢
18Spread -2.5250.0%$2.6K250¢-150¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for September 23 at 10:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.

This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 23, 2026

  • 11:27 PM
    CWcwc2025
    $5.00

    Bought 9.615385 San Diego Padres for Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) at 0.52

  • 11:19 PM
    FOForMyFamily1
    $1,000.00

    Bought 2040.816327 Los Angeles Dodgers for Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) at 0.49

  • 11:02 PM
    DVdv-pm
    $2,191.28

    Bought 4472 Los Angeles Dodgers for Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) at 0.49

  • 11:01 PM
    0X0x90d4B0aA65D33FEFC7F978688A803260A5A82DeE-1775326496677
    $25.44

    Sold 36.34 Under for Los Angeles Dodgers Team Total: O/U 6.5 at 0.7

  • 10:59 PM
    MEmeitalg
    $50.11

    Bought 77.096061 Over for Los Angeles Dodgers Team Total: O/U 6.5 at 0.65

  • 10:57 PM
    FIfizzwont
    $51.00

    Bought 104.081633 Over for San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 0.49

  • 10:48 PM
    ISIsaacLavin
    $1.00

    Bought 1.851852 Under for San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 at 0.54

  • 10:47 PM
    SWSwampmaster247
    $1.00

    Bought 2.040817 Los Angeles Dodgers for Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) at 0.49

  • 10:33 PM
    NInigiri99
    $12.25

    Bought 25 Los Angeles Dodgers for Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) at 0.49

  • 10:33 PM
    NInigiri99
    $12.25

    Bought 25 Los Angeles Dodgers for Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) at 0.49

  • 10:24 PM
    NInigiri99
    $87.71

    Bought 179 Los Angeles Dodgers for Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) at 0.49

  • 10:13 PM
    LYlysergic
    $1.00

    Bought 1.923077 San Diego Padres for Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) at 0.52

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

WR1
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
+$33,177.60
Volume
$95,543.51
Positions
San Diego Padres
MO2
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
+$4.72
Volume
$62,012.32
Positions
Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers+3
DO3
Donkey14
Event PnL
+$25,757.52
Volume
$60,605.94
Positions
San Diego Padres
FE4
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$9,688.62
Volume
$31,629.66
Positions
Los Angeles Dodgers
KK5
kkookkoo
Event PnL
-$12,834.00
Volume
$27,943.21
Positions
Los Angeles Dodgers
4F6
0x4f2
Event PnL
+$6,608.10
Volume
$22,405.47
Positions
San Diego Padres
HO7
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$1.84
Volume
$19,879.56
Positions
Los Angeles DodgersOver
BO8
Bozos14
Event PnL
+$6,439.39
Volume
$15,151.50
Positions
San Diego Padres

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers"?

As of the latest update, San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,650% win probability, followed by O/U 5.5 at 8,250% and Spread -1.5 at 7,500%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $488.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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