San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies

$85K Vol
Sep 22, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
San Diego Padres 65.5%
Colorado Rockies 34.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,600% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 7,700%, while 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 sits in third with 6,700%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $85K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (8,600%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,600¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (7,700%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 maintains a 7,700% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,700¢.
  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (6,700%): Sitting in third place with a 6,700% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies (6,550%), NRFI (5,600%), and O/U 10.5 (5,550%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.58600.0%8600¢-8500¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 3.57700.0%7700¢-7600¢
31st 5 Innings O/U 4.56700.0%6700¢-6600¢
4San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies6550.0%$69.1K6550¢-6450¢
5NRFI5600.0%5600¢-5500¢
6O/U 10.55550.0%$7.4K5550¢-5450¢
71st 5 Innings O/U 5.55550.0%$685550¢-5450¢
8Spread -1.55450.0%$4525450¢-5350¢
9O/U 11.54650.0%$6564650¢-4550¢
101st 5 Innings O/U 6.54450.0%$9454450¢-4350¢
11Spread -2.54400.0%$3.8K4400¢-4300¢
121st 5 Innings Spread -1.54150.0%4150¢-4050¢
13O/U 12.53850.0%$1.3K3850¢-3750¢
14Spread -1.52350.0%$4522350¢-2250¢
151st 5 Innings Spread -1.52300.0%2300¢-2200¢
16Spread -2.51700.0%$3.8K1700¢-1600¢
17Extra Innings700.0%700¢-600¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for September 14 at 8:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.

This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 14, 2026

  • 11:20 AM
    NInigiri99
    $98.88

    Bought 206 Colorado Rockies for Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) at 0.48

  • 10:39 AM
    SASatoshiReika
    $48.55

    Bought 91.603774 San Diego Padres for Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) at 0.53

  • 10:33 AM
    0X0x8b89ce7ad40Bd55B035d1a15E2F16af87Ee19f72-1781572543178
    $53.00

    Bought 100 San Diego Padres for Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) at 0.53

  • 10:28 AM
    KAKazacugambler39
    $8.00

    Bought 17.391305 Under for San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 at 0.46

  • 10:28 AM
    ONoneheadedlebron
    $165.00

    Bought 300 Over for San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 at 0.55

  • 09:50 AM
    0X0x35EBdC41Fb42BF51328220e51E772020E26f354E-1783132247911
    $20.14

    Bought 53 Colorado Rockies for San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies at 0.38

  • 09:22 AM
    NEnemed
    $1.00

    Bought 1.587302 San Diego Padres for San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies at 0.63

  • 08:59 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $7.47

    Bought 14.1 San Diego Padres for Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) at 0.53

  • 08:17 AM
    FUfunnyday
    $11.40

    Bought 30 Colorado Rockies for San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies at 0.38

  • 07:37 AM
    OTOtomi
    $1.00

    Bought 1.587302 San Diego Padres for San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies at 0.63

  • 07:14 AM
    EFefrgbdd
    $9.50

    Bought 25 Colorado Rockies for San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies at 0.38

  • 07:14 AM
    SRsrg3egr
    $15.75

    Bought 25 San Diego Padres for San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies at 0.63

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

NI1
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$65.68
Volume
$12,172.00
Positions
San Diego PadresOverOver+3
IC2
ic4cream
Event PnL
+$178.34
Volume
$11,889.00
Positions
San Diego Padres
IM3
imjustkenisghey
Event PnL
-$126.00
Volume
$9,454.84
Positions
Colorado RockiesOverColorado Rockies
SH4
shaw
Event PnL
-$252.45
Volume
$7,969.98
Positions
Colorado Rockies
HO5
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$17.09
Volume
$3,364.01
Positions
OverSan Diego PadresSan Diego Padres
BR6
brendoncarson
Event PnL
-$16.66
Volume
$3,333.33
Positions
Under
MA7
MAGATheeStallion
Event PnL
+$79.35
Volume
$3,174.00
Positions
San Diego Padres
388
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$24.78
Volume
$2,894.08
Positions
UnderColorado RockiesColorado Rockies+3

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,600% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 7,700% and 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 6,700%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $85K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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