Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers

$131.8K Vol
Oct 4, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Pittsburgh Pirates 93.5%
Detroit Tigers 6.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 follows in second place at 9,955%, while Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 3.5 sits in third with 9,660%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $131.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (9,955%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 maintains a 9,955% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,955¢.
  • Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 3.5 (9,660%): Sitting in third place with a 9,660% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 3.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers (9,350%), Spread -1.5 (8,650%), and Spread -2.5 (7,550%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 4.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings O/U 3.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
21st 5 Innings Spread -1.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
3Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 3.59660.0%—9660¢-9560¢
4Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers9350.0%$85.9K9350¢-9250¢
5Spread -1.58650.0%$4.7K8650¢-8550¢
6Spread -2.57550.0%$4.4K7550¢-7450¢
7Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 4.56950.0%—6950¢-6850¢
8Detroit Tigers O/U 1.56250.0%—6250¢-6150¢
9Detroit Tigers O/U 2.55700.0%—5700¢-5600¢
10Spread -3.55500.0%$6855500¢-5400¢
11Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 6.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
12Detroit Tigers O/U 3.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
13O/U 10.55150.0%$4825150¢-5050¢
14Extra Innings5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Detroit Tigers O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Detroit Tigers O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18O/U 6.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
19Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 5.53300.0%—3300¢-3200¢
20O/U 7.52550.0%$21.9K2550¢-2450¢
21O/U 8.51950.0%$2.1K1950¢-1850¢
22O/U 9.51150.0%$7901150¢-1050¢
23Spread -1.5350.0%$4.7K350¢-250¢
24Spread -2.5300.0%$4.4K300¢-200¢
251st 5 Innings Spread -1.550.0%—50¢50¢
261st 5 Innings O/U 5.550.0%—50¢50¢
271st 5 Innings O/U 6.550.0%—50¢50¢
281st 5 Innings O/U 4.55.0%$285¢95¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for September 27 at 3:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game.

This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 27, 2026

  • 11:10 AM
    JAjade04
    $4.00

    Bought 6.896552 Detroit Tigers for Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) at 0.58

  • 08:33 AM
    SISidabr
    $1.00

    Bought 2.173914 Detroit Tigers for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers at 0.46

  • 08:31 AM
    RIRicardoRoberto
    $2.00

    Bought 4.347827 Detroit Tigers for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers at 0.46

  • 07:54 AM
    JAJAXY7
    $11.00

    Bought 25.581396 Pittsburgh Pirates for Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) at 0.43

  • 07:24 AM
    BOBobov
    $8.35

    Bought 15.46 No for Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers at 0.54

  • 03:32 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.82

    Bought 15.1 Under for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5 at 0.65

  • 01:07 AM
    ANAntiVaxxer
    $2.10

    Bought 5 Pittsburgh Pirates for Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) at 0.42

  • 12:07 AM
    ZGzgcdwf02
    $2.30

    Bought 5 Detroit Tigers for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers at 0.46

Sep 26, 2026

  • 11:37 PM
    MAmanbyka
    $3.68

    Bought 6.237287 Detroit Tigers for Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) at 0.59

  • 11:37 PM
    LPlpcapital1
    $17.40

    Bought 30 Detroit Tigers for Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) at 0.58

  • 09:30 PM
    CHchris8866
    $9.90

    Bought 18 Pittsburgh Pirates for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers at 0.55

  • 09:23 PM
    ——
    $25.00

    Bought 53.19 Detroit Tigers for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers at 0.47

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$6,396.64
Volume
$14,536.78
Positions
Detroit Tigers
BO2
Bozos14
Event PnL
+$4,336.73
Volume
$10,204.08
Positions
Pittsburgh Pirates
NI3
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$252.19
Volume
$10,087.34
Positions
Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers
MA4
MAGATheeStallion
Event PnL
-$1,545.40
Volume
$7,736.00
Positions
Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers
A65
0xa697…6031
Event PnL
+$1,237.77
Volume
$4,483.14
Positions
Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates
9E6
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
-$120.59
Volume
$4,183.50
Positions
Detroit Tigers
WA7
wapol
Event PnL
+$716.80
Volume
$4,096.00
Positions
Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates
FB8
0xfB07…2542
Event PnL
-$178.34
Volume
$3,963.10
Positions
Pittsburgh Pirates

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 at 9,955% and Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 3.5 at 9,660%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $131.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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