Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox

$83.1K Vol
Sep 17, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Chicago White Sox 55.5%
Pittsburgh Pirates 44.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,800% chance of winning. O/U 6.5 follows in second place at 7,050%, while 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 sits in third with 6,600%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $83.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,800%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,800¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 6.5 (7,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 6.5 maintains a 7,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,050¢.
  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (6,600%): Sitting in third place with a 6,600% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 7.5 (5,950%), 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (5,550%), and O/U 8.5 (5,250%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like NRFI are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.57800.0%7800¢-7700¢
2O/U 6.57050.0%$187050¢-6950¢
31st 5 Innings O/U 3.56600.0%6600¢-6500¢
4O/U 7.55950.0%$5895950¢-5850¢
51st 5 Innings O/U 4.55550.0%5550¢-5450¢
6O/U 8.55250.0%$17.7K5250¢-5150¢
7NRFI5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
8Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox4550.0%$47.9K4550¢-4450¢
91st 5 Innings O/U 5.54350.0%$34350¢-4250¢
10Spread -1.53750.0%$4.1K3750¢-3650¢
111st 5 Innings Spread -1.53450.0%$123450¢-3350¢
12Spread -1.53350.0%$4.1K3350¢-3250¢
131st 5 Innings O/U 6.53200.0%3200¢-3100¢
14Spread -2.52950.0%2950¢-2850¢
151st 5 Innings Spread -1.52600.0%$122600¢-2500¢
16Spread -2.52450.0%2450¢-2350¢
17Extra Innings900.0%$21900¢-800¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for September 9 at 7:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game.

This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 9, 2026

  • 10:53 AM
    ELelep222
    $1.88

    Bought 15.65 Yes for Will the game go to extra innings?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.12

  • 10:33 AM
    DVdv-pm
    $2,720.00

    Bought 4000 Chicago White Sox for Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) at 0.68

  • 10:28 AM
    ELelep222
    $0.57

    Bought 5.19 Yes for Will the game go to extra innings?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.11

  • 07:53 AM
    ANAntonyHokins
    $1.71

    Bought 2.714286 Under for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 at 0.63

  • 07:44 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $12.36

    Bought 25.75 Over for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 at 0.48

  • 07:38 AM
    HOhonduraslover
    $3.41

    Bought 4.942029 Over for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5 at 0.69

  • 05:23 AM
    KIKisak
    $1.41

    Bought 3.065218 Under for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 at 0.46

  • 05:13 AM
    NInigiri99
    $37.40

    Bought 68 Over for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 at 0.55

  • 05:09 AM
    $3.28

    Bought 7.627907 Pittsburgh Pirates for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.43

  • 05:09 AM
    LILiquidPook
    $1.72

    Bought 4 Pittsburgh Pirates for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.43

  • 05:09 AM
    MOmonkeymashingkeyboard
    $88.70

    Bought 211.2 Pittsburgh Pirates for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.42

  • 05:03 AM
    PIpirate06
    $9.83

    Bought 16.66 Chicago White Sox for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.59

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

MA1
MAGATheeStallion
Event PnL
+$162.73
Volume
$8,545.00
Positions
OverPittsburgh Pirates
IM2
imjustkenisghey
Event PnL
-$33.77
Volume
$6,754.29
Positions
Chicago White Sox
WA3
wapol
Event PnL
-$62.98
Volume
$6,149.93
Positions
UnderUnder
BE4
betabot
Event PnL
+$81.33
Volume
$4,271.20
Positions
Pittsburgh PiratesOver
DV5
dv-pm
Event PnL
+$20.00
Volume
$4,000.00
Positions
Chicago White Sox
PE6
PETE7
Event PnL
+$20.00
Volume
$4,000.00
Positions
Pittsburgh Pirates
RO7
roldy
Event PnL
+$19.64
Volume
$3,924.98
Positions
Pittsburgh Pirates
NI8
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$123.60
Volume
$2,453.00
Positions
OverOver

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,800% win probability, followed by O/U 6.5 at 7,050% and 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 6,600%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $83.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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