Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs

$271.2K Vol
Sep 19, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Chicago Cubs 53.5%
Pittsburgh Pirates 46.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,800% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 6,800%, while O/U 8.5 sits in third with 5,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $271.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,800%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,800¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (6,800%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 maintains a 6,800% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,800¢.
  • O/U 8.5 (5,950%): Sitting in third place with a 5,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 8.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (5,550%), O/U 9.5 (5,050%), and NRFI (4,950%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.57800.0%7800¢-7700¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 3.56800.0%$36800¢-6700¢
3O/U 8.55950.0%$62.3K5950¢-5850¢
41st 5 Innings O/U 4.55550.0%5550¢-5450¢
5O/U 9.55050.0%$200.2K5050¢-4950¢
6NRFI4950.0%$2.3K4950¢-4850¢
7Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs4650.0%$3.0K4650¢-4550¢
81st 5 Innings O/U 5.54350.0%4350¢-4250¢
9O/U 10.54250.0%$4784250¢-4150¢
10Spread -1.53650.0%$5.7K3650¢-3550¢
11Spread -1.53550.0%$5.7K3550¢-3450¢
121st 5 Innings Spread -1.53450.0%3450¢-3350¢
131st 5 Innings O/U 6.53200.0%3200¢-3100¢
141st 5 Innings Spread -1.52950.0%2950¢-2850¢
15Spread -2.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
16Spread -2.52700.0%2700¢-2600¢
17Extra Innings950.0%$105950¢-850¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for September 12 at 2:20PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game.

This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 12, 2026

  • 12:06 PM
    0X0x7734a9968eCa086e4E88CBEE68704AC6bF88017D-1766841207074
    $9.76

    Bought 22.697675 Under for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 at 0.43

  • 11:58 AM
    LALalalenda
    $7.56

    Sold 18 Under for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 at 0.42

  • 11:49 AM
    SDSDFGE22
    $1.00

    Bought 1.724138 Over for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 at 0.58

  • 11:49 AM
    AWAwendt913
    $12.00

    Bought 27.906977 Under for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 at 0.43

  • 11:48 AM
    $42.34

    Bought 73 Over for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 at 0.58

  • 11:48 AM
    SUsuperlxj
    $27.26

    Bought 47 Over for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 at 0.58

  • 11:45 AM
    $42.79

    Bought 99.5 Under for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 at 0.43

  • 11:45 AM
    $42.79

    Bought 99.5 Under for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 at 0.43

  • 11:45 AM
    GAgarabanga
    $0.72

    Sold 1.72 Under for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 at 0.42

  • 11:45 AM
    $64.29

    Bought 149.5 Under for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 at 0.43

  • 11:45 AM
    $64.29

    Bought 149.5 Under for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 at 0.43

  • 11:44 AM
    $64.29

    Bought 149.5 Under for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 at 0.43

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

PL1
pleaseplease123
Event PnL
+$234.62
Volume
$46,848.54
Positions
Over
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$103.08
Volume
$20,620.08
Positions
Under
GA3
garabanga
Event PnL
-$30.97
Volume
$6,193.23
Positions
Under
BR4
brendoncarson
Event PnL
+$70.72
Volume
$5,439.45
Positions
OverOver
LA5
Lalalenda
Event PnL
-$26.76
Volume
$5,352.00
Positions
Under
HO6
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$21.53
Volume
$5,295.00
Positions
UnderUnder
WA7
wapol
Event PnL
-$40.96
Volume
$4,096.00
Positions
Under
JA8
JAMJAMJAM4
Event PnL
-$14.78
Volume
$2,957.00
Positions
Under

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,800% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 6,800% and O/U 8.5 at 5,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $271.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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