Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals

$495.5K Vol
Sep 23, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Philadelphia Phillies 66.5%
Washington Nationals 33.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,650% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 6,350%, while O/U 7.5 sits in third with 5,500%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $495.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals (6,650%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,650¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $104.7K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (6,350%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 maintains a 6,350% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,350¢.
  • O/U 7.5 (5,500%): Sitting in third place with a 5,500% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 7.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Spread -1.5 (5,350%), 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (5,000%), and 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals6650.0%$104.7K6650¢-6550¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 2.56350.0%$46350¢-6250¢
3O/U 7.55500.0%$53.5K5500¢-5400¢
4Spread -1.55350.0%$3415350¢-5250¢
51st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
61st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
71st 5 Innings O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
81st 5 Innings O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
91st 5 Innings O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
101st 5 Innings O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Extra Innings5000.0%$75000¢-4900¢
12Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Philadelphia Phillies O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Philadelphia Phillies O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Philadelphia Phillies O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Philadelphia Phillies O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Washington Nationals O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Washington Nationals O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Washington Nationals O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Washington Nationals O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Washington Nationals O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22NRFI4800.0%$2624800¢-4700¢
23O/U 8.54750.0%$272.0K4750¢-4650¢
24Spread -2.54200.0%$11.0K4200¢-4100¢
25O/U 9.53600.0%$1.1K3600¢-3500¢
26Spread -1.51900.0%$3411900¢-1800¢
27Spread -2.51150.0%$11.0K1150¢-1050¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Nationals, scheduled for September 15 at 6:45PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 15, 2026

  • 10:06 PM
    NIniromicon
    $200.00

    Bought 298.507463 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals at 0.67

  • 10:05 PM
    NIniromicon
    $300.00

    Bought 447.761193 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals at 0.67

  • 10:03 PM
    FOForMyFamily1
    $2,000.00

    Bought 2985.074627 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals at 0.67

  • 09:56 PM
    ELeliash
    $100.00

    Bought 149.25373 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals at 0.67

  • 09:55 PM
    KIKingSheep
    $29.70

    Bought 87.352942 Washington Nationals for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals at 0.34

  • 09:53 PM
    JOJobear2
    $4.95

    Bought 14.558824 Washington Nationals for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals at 0.34

  • 09:52 PM
    SESean99999989
    $30.00

    Bought 88.235295 Washington Nationals for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals at 0.34

  • 09:50 PM
    TRTrumanChen
    $7.50

    Bought 22.058824 Washington Nationals for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals at 0.34

  • 09:46 PM
    ZEZeroToTwentyTwo
    $25.00

    Bought 37.313433 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals at 0.67

  • 09:46 PM
    ZEZeroToTwentyTwo
    $25.00

    Bought 37.313433 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals at 0.67

  • 09:44 PM
    NANathan0376
    $7.50

    Bought 22.058824 Washington Nationals for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals at 0.34

  • 09:42 PM
    CHchrollo3323
    $15.00

    Bought 44.117648 Washington Nationals for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals at 0.34

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SD1
SDTrading
Event PnL
-$100.83
Volume
$20,170.43
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies
HO2
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$12.92
Volume
$11,021.80
Positions
Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia PhilliesWashington Nationals
SH3
shaw
Event PnL
+$44.00
Volume
$8,800.00
Positions
Washington Nationals
324
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
+$40.00
Volume
$8,000.00
Positions
Washington Nationals
IC5
ic4cream
Event PnL
-$37.30
Volume
$7,460.00
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies
NO6
Nooserac
Event PnL
+$31.77
Volume
$6,353.32
Positions
Washington Nationals
AN7
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$18.97
Volume
$3,793.32
Positions
Washington NationalsUnder
588
0x5811…6071
Event PnL
+$0.98
Volume
$3,746.70
Positions
Washington NationalsUnder

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals"?

As of the latest update, Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,650% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 6,350% and O/U 7.5 at 5,500%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $495.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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