Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets

$197.4K Vol
Sep 27, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
New York Mets 70.5%
Philadelphia Phillies 33.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 6.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 9,955%, while 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 sits in third with 9,955%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $197.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 6.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 6.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $8 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (9,955%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 maintains a 9,955% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,955¢.
  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (9,955%): Sitting in third place with a 9,955% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 (9,955%), 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 (9,955%), and Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 (9,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 6.59995.0%$89995¢-9895¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 2.59955.0%9955¢-9855¢
31st 5 Innings O/U 4.59955.0%9955¢-9855¢
41st 5 Innings O/U 5.59955.0%9955¢-9855¢
51st 5 Innings O/U 6.59955.0%9955¢-9855¢
6Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
7Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
8New York Mets O/U 1.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
9New York Mets O/U 2.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
10New York Mets O/U 3.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
11O/U 7.58500.0%$7.6K8500¢-8400¢
12O/U 8.57650.0%$8.5K7650¢-7550¢
13O/U 9.55350.0%$1.9K5350¢-5250¢
14Extra Innings5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Philadelphia Phillies O/U 3.55000.0%$95000¢-4900¢
16Philadelphia Phillies O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Philadelphia Phillies O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18New York Mets O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19New York Mets O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Spread -1.53850.0%$11.3K3850¢-3750¢
21Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets2850.0%$203.8K2850¢-2750¢
22Spread -2.52350.0%$7.0K2350¢-2250¢
23Spread -1.51600.0%$11.3K1600¢-1500¢
24Spread -2.51000.0%$7.0K1000¢-900¢
251st 5 Innings Spread -1.550.0%$550¢50¢
261st 5 Innings Spread -1.550.0%$550¢50¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets, scheduled for September 19 at 4:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 19, 2026

  • 09:59 PM
    WRWreckedBag
    $80.70

    Bought 244.54 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.33

  • 09:59 PM
    1M1MillionInc
    $22.70

    Bought 68.787879 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.33

  • 09:59 PM
    $964.32

    Bought 3013.5 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.32

  • 09:59 PM
    PUpups10
    $75.68

    Bought 236.5 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.32

  • 09:58 PM
    0X0x3252790b3229b4CdEec7aeE5f139fafC74791d21-1773334446693
    $32.00

    Bought 100 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.32

  • 09:58 PM
    DAdabossrealman
    $3.40

    Sold 5 New York Mets for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.68

  • 09:58 PM
    WRWreckedBag
    $1.60

    Bought 5 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.32

  • 09:57 PM
    JUjustaluckydude
    $72.21

    Bought 249 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.29

  • 09:57 PM
    1M1MillionInc
    $1.00

    Bought 3.448276 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.29

  • 09:57 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $66.92

    Bought 239 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.28

  • 09:57 PM
    PUpups10
    $1.00

    Bought 3.571429 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.28

  • 09:57 PM
    WRWreckedBag
    $1.40

    Bought 5 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.28

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

HM1
HMLSF
Event PnL
-$3,707.06
Volume
$43,613.03
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$2,452.55
Volume
$28,376.41
Positions
New York Mets
WR3
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
+$2,565.36
Volume
$22,307.47
Positions
New York Mets
JD4
jdfngkdjfnfd
Event PnL
-$1,957.43
Volume
$17,021.28
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies
0F5
0x0f34…7684
Event PnL
-$761.05
Volume
$6,799.00
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies
HO6
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$546.32
Volume
$6,169.66
Positions
New York MetsUnderUnder
657
6512395314597884
Event PnL
+$510.00
Volume
$5,042.00
Positions
New York Mets
4F8
0x4f2
Event PnL
-$52.96
Volume
$5,001.67
Positions
New York Mets

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets"?

As of the latest update, O/U 6.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 9,955% and 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 9,955%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $197.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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