Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, O/U 6.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 9,955%, while 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 sits in third with 9,955%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $197.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- O/U 6.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 6.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $8 in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (9,955%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 maintains a 9,955% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,955¢.
- 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (9,955%): Sitting in third place with a 9,955% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 (9,955%), 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 (9,955%), and Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 (9,050%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 6.5 | 9995.0% | $8 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 9955.0% | — | 9955¢ | -9855¢ |
| 3 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 9955.0% | — | 9955¢ | -9855¢ |
| 4 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 9955.0% | — | 9955¢ | -9855¢ |
| 5 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 9955.0% | — | 9955¢ | -9855¢ |
| 6 | Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 7 | Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 8 | New York Mets O/U 1.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 9 | New York Mets O/U 2.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 10 | New York Mets O/U 3.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 11 | O/U 7.5 | 8500.0% | $7.6K | 8500¢ | -8400¢ |
| 12 | O/U 8.5 | 7650.0% | $8.5K | 7650¢ | -7550¢ |
| 13 | O/U 9.5 | 5350.0% | $1.9K | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 14 | Extra Innings | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Philadelphia Phillies O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | $9 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Philadelphia Phillies O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Philadelphia Phillies O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | New York Mets O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | New York Mets O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Spread -1.5 | 3850.0% | $11.3K | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 21 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets | 2850.0% | $203.8K | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 22 | Spread -2.5 | 2350.0% | $7.0K | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 23 | Spread -1.5 | 1600.0% | $11.3K | 1600¢ | -1500¢ |
| 24 | Spread -2.5 | 1000.0% | $7.0K | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 25 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 50.0% | $5 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 26 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 50.0% | $5 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
Result Rules
In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets, scheduled for September 19 at 4:10PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.
This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 19, 2026
- 09:59 PMWRWreckedBag$80.70
Bought 244.54 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.33
- 09:59 PM1M1MillionInc$22.70
Bought 68.787879 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.33
- 09:59 PM——$964.32
Bought 3013.5 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.32
- 09:59 PMPUpups10$75.68
Bought 236.5 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.32
- 09:58 PM0X0x3252790b3229b4CdEec7aeE5f139fafC74791d21-1773334446693$32.00
Bought 100 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.32
- 09:58 PMDAdabossrealman$3.40
Sold 5 New York Mets for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.68
- 09:58 PMWRWreckedBag$1.60
Bought 5 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.32
- 09:57 PMJUjustaluckydude$72.21
Bought 249 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.29
- 09:57 PM1M1MillionInc$1.00
Bought 3.448276 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.29
- 09:57 PMUPUpTheBlues$66.92
Bought 239 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.28
- 09:57 PMPUpups10$1.00
Bought 3.571429 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.28
- 09:57 PMWRWreckedBag$1.40
Bought 5 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.28
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets"?
As of the latest update, O/U 6.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 9,955% and 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 9,955%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $197.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
