Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,850% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 7,450%, while New York Mets O/U 2.5 sits in third with 7,250%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $283.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 (8,850%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,850¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,450%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 maintains a 7,450% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,450¢.
- New York Mets O/U 2.5 (7,250%): Sitting in third place with a 7,250% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward New York Mets O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 (6,900%), 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (6,150%), and New York Mets O/U 3.5 (5,700%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 7.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 | 8850.0% | — | 8850¢ | -8750¢ |
| 2 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 7450.0% | — | 7450¢ | -7350¢ |
| 3 | New York Mets O/U 2.5 | 7250.0% | — | 7250¢ | -7150¢ |
| 4 | Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 | 6900.0% | — | 6900¢ | -6800¢ |
| 5 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 6150.0% | — | 6150¢ | -6050¢ |
| 6 | New York Mets O/U 3.5 | 5700.0% | — | 5700¢ | -5600¢ |
| 7 | O/U 7.5 | 5450.0% | $2.4K | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 8 | Philadelphia Phillies O/U 3.5 | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 9 | NRFI | 4850.0% | $53 | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 10 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 4850.0% | $241 | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 11 | O/U 8.5 | 4750.0% | $46.3K | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 12 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets | 4650.0% | $225.6K | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 13 | New York Mets O/U 4.5 | 4400.0% | — | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 14 | Philadelphia Phillies O/U 4.5 | 3950.0% | — | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 15 | Spread -1.5 | 3650.0% | $6.3K | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 16 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 3650.0% | $6 | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 17 | O/U 9.5 | 3650.0% | $310 | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 18 | Spread -1.5 | 3350.0% | $6.3K | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 19 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 3300.0% | — | 3300¢ | -3200¢ |
| 20 | New York Mets O/U 5.5 | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 21 | Philadelphia Phillies O/U 5.5 | 2950.0% | — | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 22 | Spread -2.5 | 2750.0% | $1.3K | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 23 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 2700.0% | — | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 24 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 25 | Spread -2.5 | 2450.0% | $1.3K | 2450¢ | -2350¢ |
| 26 | New York Mets O/U 6.5 | 2300.0% | $402 | 2300¢ | -2200¢ |
| 27 | Extra Innings | 1000.0% | $597 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
Result Rules
In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets, scheduled for September 17 at 7:15PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.
This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 17, 2026
- 10:09 PMCUcurrybrother$3.00
Bought 6.382979 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.47
- 10:08 PMSUsuntori$190.47
Bought 405.25532 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.47
- 10:07 PMSESean99999989$30.00
Bought 63.829788 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.47
- 10:04 PM——$12.59
Bought 26.787235 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.47
- 10:02 PMNENewsGurus$7.99
Sold 17.37 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.46
- 10:01 PM——$3.00
Bought 6.382979 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.47
- 09:58 PMEVEVhunter69$700.00
Bought 1489.361703 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.47
- 09:57 PM0X0x5b2e8DDe8703D44e28a203cdF447E35B8e6bd2aB-1766252998868$17.00
Bought 36.170213 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.47
- 09:56 PM1212681299$124.20
Bought 230 New York Mets for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.54
- 09:55 PMRERealTraderx$24.31
Sold 45.87 New York Mets for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.53
- 09:55 PMRERealTraderx$25.00
Bought 46.296297 New York Mets for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.54
- 09:45 PM4E4eyeswhitedragon$5.40
Bought 10 New York Mets for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.54
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets"?
As of the latest update, Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,850% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 7,450% and New York Mets O/U 2.5 at 7,250%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $283.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
