Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets

$283.5K Vol
Sep 25, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
New York Mets 55.5%
Philadelphia Phillies 44.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,850% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 7,450%, while New York Mets O/U 2.5 sits in third with 7,250%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $283.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 (8,850%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,850¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,450%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 maintains a 7,450% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,450¢.
  • New York Mets O/U 2.5 (7,250%): Sitting in third place with a 7,250% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward New York Mets O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 (6,900%), 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (6,150%), and New York Mets O/U 3.5 (5,700%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 7.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.58850.0%8850¢-8750¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 2.57450.0%7450¢-7350¢
3New York Mets O/U 2.57250.0%7250¢-7150¢
4Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.56900.0%6900¢-6800¢
51st 5 Innings O/U 3.56150.0%6150¢-6050¢
6New York Mets O/U 3.55700.0%5700¢-5600¢
7O/U 7.55450.0%$2.4K5450¢-5350¢
8Philadelphia Phillies O/U 3.55300.0%5300¢-5200¢
9NRFI4850.0%$534850¢-4750¢
101st 5 Innings O/U 4.54850.0%$2414850¢-4750¢
11O/U 8.54750.0%$46.3K4750¢-4650¢
12Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets4650.0%$225.6K4650¢-4550¢
13New York Mets O/U 4.54400.0%4400¢-4300¢
14Philadelphia Phillies O/U 4.53950.0%3950¢-3850¢
15Spread -1.53650.0%$6.3K3650¢-3550¢
161st 5 Innings O/U 5.53650.0%$63650¢-3550¢
17O/U 9.53650.0%$3103650¢-3550¢
18Spread -1.53350.0%$6.3K3350¢-3250¢
191st 5 Innings Spread -1.53300.0%3300¢-3200¢
20New York Mets O/U 5.53250.0%3250¢-3150¢
21Philadelphia Phillies O/U 5.52950.0%2950¢-2850¢
22Spread -2.52750.0%$1.3K2750¢-2650¢
231st 5 Innings O/U 6.52700.0%2700¢-2600¢
241st 5 Innings Spread -1.52550.0%2550¢-2450¢
25Spread -2.52450.0%$1.3K2450¢-2350¢
26New York Mets O/U 6.52300.0%$4022300¢-2200¢
27Extra Innings1000.0%$5971000¢-900¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets, scheduled for September 17 at 7:15PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 17, 2026

  • 10:09 PM
    CUcurrybrother
    $3.00

    Bought 6.382979 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.47

  • 10:08 PM
    SUsuntori
    $190.47

    Bought 405.25532 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.47

  • 10:07 PM
    SESean99999989
    $30.00

    Bought 63.829788 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.47

  • 10:04 PM
    $12.59

    Bought 26.787235 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.47

  • 10:02 PM
    NENewsGurus
    $7.99

    Sold 17.37 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.46

  • 10:01 PM
    $3.00

    Bought 6.382979 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.47

  • 09:58 PM
    EVEVhunter69
    $700.00

    Bought 1489.361703 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.47

  • 09:57 PM
    0X0x5b2e8DDe8703D44e28a203cdF447E35B8e6bd2aB-1766252998868
    $17.00

    Bought 36.170213 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.47

  • 09:56 PM
    1212681299
    $124.20

    Bought 230 New York Mets for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.54

  • 09:55 PM
    RERealTraderx
    $24.31

    Sold 45.87 New York Mets for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.53

  • 09:55 PM
    RERealTraderx
    $25.00

    Bought 46.296297 New York Mets for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.54

  • 09:45 PM
    4E4eyeswhitedragon
    $5.40

    Bought 10 New York Mets for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.54

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

2A1
0x2a07…7354
Event PnL
+$177.48
Volume
$35,488.94
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies
VE2
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$7.68
Volume
$15,000.00
Positions
New York Mets
HO3
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$73.71
Volume
$12,656.46
Positions
New York MetsNew York MetsUnder+2
324
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$40.00
Volume
$7,999.97
Positions
New York Mets
SA5
Salad1
Event PnL
+$30.00
Volume
$6,000.00
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies
SD6
SDTrading
Event PnL
+$57.83
Volume
$3,855.27
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies
NI7
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$12.27
Volume
$3,819.00
Positions
Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia PhilliesOver
A68
0xa697…6031
Event PnL
-$2.52
Volume
$2,064.65
Positions
New York MetsUnder

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets"?

As of the latest update, Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,850% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 7,450% and New York Mets O/U 2.5 at 7,250%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $283.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started