Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

$290.5K Vol
Oct 7, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Philadelphia Phillies 50.5%
Atlanta Braves 49.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,200% chance of winning. Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 6,700%, while 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 sits in third with 6,650%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $290.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 (7,200%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,200¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 (6,700%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 maintains a 6,700% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,700¢.
  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (6,650%): Sitting in third place with a 6,650% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Atlanta Braves O/U 1.5 (6,400%), Atlanta Braves O/U 2.5 (6,100%), and O/U 6.5 (5,850%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
2Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.56700.0%—6700¢-6600¢
31st 5 Innings O/U 2.56650.0%—6650¢-6550¢
4Atlanta Braves O/U 1.56400.0%—6400¢-6300¢
5Atlanta Braves O/U 2.56100.0%—6100¢-6000¢
6O/U 6.55850.0%$2855850¢-5750¢
71st 5 Innings O/U 3.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
8Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves5050.0%$288.2K5050¢-4950¢
9Philadelphia Phillies O/U 3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
10Atlanta Braves O/U 4.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
11Atlanta Braves O/U 3.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
12NRFI4550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
13O/U 7.54550.0%$1754550¢-4450¢
14Philadelphia Phillies O/U 5.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
15O/U 8.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
16Spread -1.53750.0%$1.8K3750¢-3650¢
171st 5 Innings O/U 4.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
18Philadelphia Phillies O/U 4.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
191st 5 Innings Spread -1.53300.0%$423300¢-3200¢
20Spread -1.53050.0%$1.8K3050¢-2950¢
211st 5 Innings O/U 5.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
22Atlanta Braves O/U 5.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
23Spread -2.52650.0%$1652650¢-2550¢
241st 5 Innings Spread -1.52450.0%$422450¢-2350¢
25Spread -2.51950.0%$1651950¢-1850¢
261st 5 Innings O/U 6.51800.0%—1800¢-1700¢
27Extra Innings1050.0%—1050¢-950¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for September 30 at 2:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 29, 2026

  • 11:55 PM
    ACacw9111
    $4.77

    Bought 9 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.53

  • 11:55 PM
    ——
    $9.88

    Bought 18.64151 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.53

  • 11:55 PM
    SAsappireflames000
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886793 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.53

  • 11:55 PM
    SAsappireflames000
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886793 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.53

  • 11:55 PM
    GAgarylovestrading
    $5.58

    Bought 10.528302 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.53

  • 11:55 PM
    SDSDTrading
    $186.16

    Bought 358 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.52

  • 11:52 PM
    ACacw9111
    $9.54

    Bought 18.346154 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.52

  • 11:52 PM
    ——
    $14.56

    Bought 28 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.52

  • 11:51 PM
    GAgarylovestrading
    $30.00

    Bought 57.692308 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.52

  • 11:51 PM
    MTMTiCrew
    $14.72

    Bought 28.3 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.52

  • 11:51 PM
    SDSDTrading
    $5,146.04

    Bought 9896.23 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.52

  • 10:02 PM
    ASasd1234567
    $50.00

    Bought 102.040817 Atlanta Braves for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.49

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SD1
SDTrading
Event PnL
+$51.28
Volume
$10,254.23
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies
NO2
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
-$41.75
Volume
$8,349.00
Positions
Atlanta Braves
383
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$4.99
Volume
$574.60
Positions
Atlanta Braves
VR4
vrvrvrvr
Event PnL
+$2.17
Volume
$433.24
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies
A65
0xa697…6031
Event PnL
-$2.13
Volume
$426.03
Positions
Atlanta Braves
HO6
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$1.71
Volume
$342.40
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies
MO7
moneyline7
Event PnL
-$0.60
Volume
$313.53
Positions
Atlanta Braves
588
0x5811…6071
Event PnL
-$1.31
Volume
$262.20
Positions
Atlanta Braves

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves"?

As of the latest update, Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,200% win probability, followed by Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 at 6,700% and 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 6,650%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $290.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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