Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

$156.2K Vol
Oct 6, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Atlanta Braves 62.5%
Philadelphia Phillies 37.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,050% chance of winning. Atlanta Braves O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 6,800%, while 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 sits in third with 6,200%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $156.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 (7,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Atlanta Braves O/U 2.5 (6,800%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Atlanta Braves O/U 2.5 maintains a 6,800% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,800¢.
  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (6,200%): Sitting in third place with a 6,200% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 6.5 (5,250%), Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 (5,250%), and Atlanta Braves O/U 3.5 (5,200%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.57050.0%—7050¢-6950¢
2Atlanta Braves O/U 2.56800.0%—6800¢-6700¢
31st 5 Innings O/U 2.56200.0%$36200¢-6100¢
4O/U 6.55250.0%$74.0K5250¢-5150¢
5Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
6Atlanta Braves O/U 3.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
71st 5 Innings O/U 3.54750.0%$5624750¢-4650¢
8Spread -1.54250.0%$2784250¢-4150¢
9NRFI4050.0%$3.9K4050¢-3950¢
10O/U 7.53950.0%$3.9K3950¢-3850¢
11Atlanta Braves O/U 4.53850.0%$703850¢-3750¢
12Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves3750.0%$59.6K3750¢-3650¢
13Philadelphia Phillies O/U 3.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
141st 5 Innings Spread -1.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
151st 5 Innings O/U 4.53450.0%$2223450¢-3350¢
16Spread -2.53250.0%$1193250¢-3150¢
17O/U 8.53250.0%$3.6K3250¢-3150¢
18Atlanta Braves O/U 6.53050.0%$1003050¢-2950¢
19Atlanta Braves O/U 5.52700.0%$872700¢-2600¢
20Spread -1.52550.0%$2782550¢-2450¢
21Philadelphia Phillies O/U 4.52450.0%—2450¢-2350¢
221st 5 Innings O/U 5.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
231st 5 Innings Spread -1.51750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
24Philadelphia Phillies O/U 5.51650.0%$101650¢-1550¢
25Spread -2.51650.0%$1191650¢-1550¢
261st 5 Innings O/U 6.51550.0%$301550¢-1450¢
27Extra Innings1100.0%—1100¢-1000¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for September 29 at 2:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 29, 2026

  • 12:14 PM
    0X0x74Dd33701ed49E133dF8DA1620FBb0f5336fF3c5-1774500116142
    $6.40

    Bought 10 Atlanta Braves for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.64

  • 12:13 PM
    0X0x74Dd33701ed49E133dF8DA1620FBb0f5336fF3c5-1774500116142
    $6.40

    Bought 10 Atlanta Braves for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.64

  • 12:13 PM
    NInigiri99
    $291.46

    Bought 494 No for Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.59

  • 12:12 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.12

    Bought 19 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5 at 0.48

  • 12:11 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $47.52

    Bought 99 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5 at 0.48

  • 12:11 PM
    NInigiri99
    $979.68

    Bought 2041 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5 at 0.48

  • 12:08 PM
    GIGiannisAntetokounmpo
    $1.00

    Bought 2.702703 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.37

  • 12:03 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $49.44

    Bought 103 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5 at 0.48

  • 12:01 PM
    0X0x0f8735F0a24c66D828Fe0dA406Fc123788F1E046-1772325643855
    $7.70

    Bought 12.03 Atlanta Braves for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.64

  • 12:00 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $13.92

    Bought 29 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5 at 0.48

  • 11:56 AM
    DOdocshark
    $2.00

    Bought 3.125 Atlanta Braves for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.64

  • 11:56 AM
    PHPheyul
    $8.32

    Bought 13 Atlanta Braves for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.64

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

3D1
0x3DFb…8185
Event PnL
+$88.72
Volume
$59,618.65
Positions
OverAtlanta Braves
MO2
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$40.88
Volume
$39,975.00
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+3
HM3
HMLSF
Event PnL
+$152.48
Volume
$30,424.70
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies
FE4
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$22.63
Volume
$26,595.14
Positions
Philadelphia PhilliesUnder
HI5
hi774c
Event PnL
-$128.17
Volume
$25,633.33
Positions
Atlanta Braves
HO6
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$124.09
Volume
$16,192.83
Positions
UnderPhiladelphia PhilliesAtlanta Braves+2
NI7
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$133.75
Volume
$13,733.99
Positions
OverNoUnder+2
DA8
darkumbreon88
Event PnL
-$61.87
Volume
$12,374.79
Positions
Atlanta Braves

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves"?

As of the latest update, Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,050% win probability, followed by Atlanta Braves O/U 2.5 at 6,800% and 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 6,200%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $156.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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