Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays

$352.3K Vol
Sep 24, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Tampa Bay Rays 87.5%
Athletics 12.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 6.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,050% chance of winning. O/U 7.5 follows in second place at 7,600%, while Spread -1.5 sits in third with 7,150%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $352.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 6.5 (9,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 6.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2.6K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 7.5 (7,600%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 7.5 maintains a 7,600% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,600¢.
  • Spread -1.5 (7,150%): Sitting in third place with a 7,150% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Spread -1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 8.5 (6,450%), O/U 12.5 (5,600%), and Spread -2.5 (5,150%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 6.59050.0%$2.6K9050¢-8950¢
2O/U 7.57600.0%$6.7K7600¢-7500¢
3Spread -1.57150.0%$4597150¢-7050¢
4O/U 8.56450.0%$51.6K6450¢-6350¢
5O/U 12.55600.0%5600¢-5500¢
6Spread -2.55150.0%$2.8K5150¢-5050¢
71st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
81st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
91st 5 Innings O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Extra Innings5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11O/U 9.54850.0%$7164850¢-4750¢
12O/U 10.53750.0%$183750¢-3650¢
13Spread -3.53550.0%$2863550¢-3450¢
14O/U 11.52650.0%$72650¢-2550¢
15Spread -4.52100.0%$362100¢-2000¢
16Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays1050.0%$270.1K1050¢-950¢
17Spread -1.5600.0%$459600¢-500¢
18Spread -2.5300.0%$2.8K300¢-200¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for September 16 at 6:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game.

This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 16, 2026

  • 11:23 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 2.777778 Athletics for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5) at 0.36

  • 11:22 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 2.857143 Athletics for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5) at 0.35

  • 11:21 PM
    JUjustaluckydude
    $10.54

    Bought 31 Athletics for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5) at 0.34

  • 11:20 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $63.15

    Bought 263.125 Athletics for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5) at 0.24

  • 11:20 PM
    $19.00

    Bought 50 Under for Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 at 0.38

  • 11:18 PM
    $49.88

    Bought 199.5 Athletics for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5) at 0.25

  • 11:18 PM
    $16.79

    Bought 67.16 Athletics for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5) at 0.25

  • 11:16 PM
    PAPan9X
    $20.82

    Bought 86.75 Athletics for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5) at 0.24

  • 11:16 PM
    3838791873984189
    $42.30

    Bought 176.25 Athletics for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5) at 0.24

  • 11:14 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 2.702703 Under for Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 at 0.37

  • 11:14 PM
    $5.00

    Bought 7.8125 Over for Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 at 0.64

  • 11:14 PM
    CICip106
    $24.05

    Bought 65 Under for Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 at 0.37

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SA1
Sassy-Bucket
Event PnL
-$125.00
Volume
$24,999.99
Positions
Under
HO2
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$67.71
Volume
$13,493.46
Positions
OverUnder
HM3
HMLSF
Event PnL
-$58.56
Volume
$11,713.73
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays
VE4
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$48.88
Volume
$9,775.51
Positions
AthleticsUnder
NI5
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$11.99
Volume
$8,312.00
Positions
OverOverAthletics+3
ML6
mlbman
Event PnL
-$23.80
Volume
$4,761.90
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays
GA7
Gamer-Girl
Event PnL
-$18.00
Volume
$3,600.00
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays
588
0x5811…6071
Event PnL
+$12.42
Volume
$3,557.54
Positions
UnderAthleticsUnder

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays"?

As of the latest update, O/U 6.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,050% win probability, followed by O/U 7.5 at 7,600% and Spread -1.5 at 7,150%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $352.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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