Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians

$150.3K Vol
Sep 27, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Cleveland Guardians 88.5%
Athletics 11.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, NRFI is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 7.5 follows in second place at 9,800%, while O/U 8.5 sits in third with 9,300%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $150.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • NRFI (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, NRFI is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $799 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 7.5 (9,800%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 7.5 maintains a 9,800% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,800¢.
  • O/U 8.5 (9,300%): Sitting in third place with a 9,300% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 8.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 (9,105%), 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 (9,105%), and Athletics O/U 1.5 (9,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1NRFI9995.0%$7999995¢-9895¢
2O/U 7.59800.0%$9.3K9800¢-9700¢
3O/U 8.59300.0%$13.9K9300¢-9200¢
41st 5 Innings O/U 5.59105.0%$49105¢-9005¢
51st 5 Innings O/U 6.59105.0%9105¢-9005¢
6Athletics O/U 1.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
7O/U 9.58550.0%$3.5K8550¢-8450¢
8O/U 10.58200.0%8200¢-8100¢
9Spread -1.57650.0%$5957650¢-7550¢
10Spread -2.56600.0%$366600¢-6500¢
11O/U 12.55450.0%$1.5K5450¢-5350¢
12Spread -3.55300.0%5300¢-5200¢
131st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%$65000¢-4900¢
141st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%$65000¢-4900¢
15Extra Innings5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Athletics O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Athletics O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Athletics O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Athletics O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Cleveland Guardians O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Cleveland Guardians O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Cleveland Guardians O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Cleveland Guardians O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25O/U 13.54300.0%4300¢-4200¢
26Spread -4.54050.0%4050¢-3950¢
27O/U 14.53450.0%3450¢-3350¢
28Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians1150.0%$110.2K1150¢-1050¢
29Spread -1.5650.0%$595650¢-550¢
30Spread -2.5485.0%$36485¢-385¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for September 19 at 6:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game.

This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 19, 2026

  • 10:06 PM
    LULuisaoL
    $3.00

    Bought 4.761905 Cleveland Guardians for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.63

  • 10:06 PM
    UNungam
    $3.15

    Bought 5 Cleveland Guardians for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.63

  • 10:04 PM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.587302 Cleveland Guardians for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.63

  • 10:00 PM
    0X0x45EEcadDA7Cfa2a2891aC6344D1ca9d1464974E5-1788209510598
    $85.80

    Bought 225.789474 Athletics for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.38

  • 09:59 PM
    EPepsilonmagio
    $100.00

    Bought 158.730159 Cleveland Guardians for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.63

  • 09:59 PM
    MAMaoyidong
    $5.13

    Bought 13.5 Athletics for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.38

  • 09:58 PM
    FEFeromont
    $7,600.00

    Bought 20000 Athletics for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.38

  • 09:55 PM
    SUsun-6
    $2.81

    Bought 7.394737 Athletics for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.38

  • 09:53 PM
    FOForMyFamily1
    $2,000.00

    Bought 3174.603175 Cleveland Guardians for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.63

  • 09:48 PM
    $1,020.00

    Bought 1619.047618 Cleveland Guardians for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.63

  • 09:42 PM
    $5.00

    Bought 7.93 Cleveland Guardians for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.63

  • 09:29 PM
    NGNgB-J
    $1.00

    Bought 1.587302 Cleveland Guardians for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.63

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

HO1
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$3,058.67
Volume
$24,359.37
Positions
AthleticsUnderUnder+3
JD2
jdfngkdjfnfd
Event PnL
+$5,076.83
Volume
$14,931.82
Positions
Cleveland Guardians
WA3
wapol
Event PnL
-$710.80
Volume
$7,843.05
Positions
OverAthleticsOver+1
SQ4
SquatFT
Event PnL
+$1,360.00
Volume
$4,000.00
Positions
Cleveland Guardians
HI5
hi774c
Event PnL
-$1,222.77
Volume
$3,596.38
Positions
Athletics
AN6
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
-$465.09
Volume
$3,454.25
Positions
OverUnderNo
ML7
mlbman
Event PnL
-$15.87
Volume
$3,174.60
Positions
Cleveland Guardians
ZZ8
Zzzz87
Event PnL
-$14.83
Volume
$2,967.00
Positions
Cleveland Guardians

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians"?

As of the latest update, NRFI leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 7.5 at 9,800% and O/U 8.5 at 9,300%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $150.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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