Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians

$136.7K Vol
Sep 26, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Cleveland Guardians 67.5%
Athletics 32.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,600% chance of winning. Athletics O/U 1.5 follows in second place at 8,500%, while 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 sits in third with 7,700%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $136.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.5 (8,600%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,600¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Athletics O/U 1.5 (8,500%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Athletics O/U 1.5 maintains a 8,500% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 8,500¢.
  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,700%): Sitting in third place with a 7,700% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Cleveland Guardians O/U 3.5 (6,700%), 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (6,550%), and Athletics O/U 2.5 (6,100%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 7.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.58600.0%8600¢-8500¢
2Athletics O/U 1.58500.0%8500¢-8400¢
31st 5 Innings O/U 2.57700.0%7700¢-7600¢
4Cleveland Guardians O/U 3.56700.0%6700¢-6600¢
51st 5 Innings O/U 3.56550.0%6550¢-6450¢
6Athletics O/U 2.56100.0%6100¢-6000¢
7O/U 7.55750.0%$2215750¢-5650¢
8Athletics O/U 5.55500.0%5500¢-5400¢
9Cleveland Guardians O/U 4.55450.0%$105450¢-5350¢
101st 5 Innings O/U 4.55250.0%5250¢-5150¢
11NRFI4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
12Spread -1.54950.0%$1454950¢-4850¢
13O/U 8.54950.0%$13.2K4950¢-4850¢
14Athletics O/U 3.54650.0%4650¢-4550¢
15Cleveland Guardians O/U 6.54300.0%4300¢-4200¢
161st 5 Innings Spread -1.54200.0%4200¢-4100¢
17Cleveland Guardians O/U 5.54200.0%4200¢-4100¢
181st 5 Innings O/U 5.54050.0%$74050¢-3950¢
19O/U 9.53850.0%$3493850¢-3750¢
20Spread -2.53750.0%3750¢-3650¢
21Athletics O/U 4.53400.0%3400¢-3300¢
22Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians3250.0%$106.0K3250¢-3150¢
231st 5 Innings O/U 6.53000.0%3000¢-2900¢
24Spread -1.52350.0%$1452350¢-2250¢
251st 5 Innings Spread -1.52250.0%2250¢-2150¢
26Spread -2.51650.0%1650¢-1550¢
27Extra Innings950.0%950¢-850¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for September 18 at 7:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game.

This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 18, 2026

  • 11:58 AM
    BRbrendoncarson
    $100.42

    Bought 200.83 Under for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 at 0.5

  • 11:08 AM
    POPoetry
    $1.00

    Bought 1.694914 Over for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 at 0.59

  • 10:37 AM
    $50.00

    Bought 84.745763 Over for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 at 0.59

  • 10:03 AM
    LAlarame
    $5.04

    Bought 14 Athletics for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.36

  • 08:54 AM
    $11.00

    Bought 22 Under for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 at 0.5

  • 08:50 AM
    NEnemed
    $2.00

    Bought 3.076922 Cleveland Guardians for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.65

  • 08:15 AM
    ANAntonyHokins
    $4.17

    Bought 7.06 Under for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 at 0.59

  • 07:23 AM
    R5r544freeff
    $8.28

    Bought 23 Athletics for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.36

  • 07:22 AM
    4R4rdredew
    $14.95

    Bought 23 Cleveland Guardians for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.65

  • 07:18 AM
    585826frff
    $10.08

    Bought 28 Athletics for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.36

  • 07:18 AM
    SDsdfer4de
    $18.19

    Bought 27.99 Cleveland Guardians for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.65

  • 07:04 AM
    RErefgtrfsdd
    $8.28

    Bought 23 Athletics for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.36

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SQ1
SquatFT
Event PnL
+$7.17
Volume
$1,433.01
Positions
Cleveland Guardians
SH2
shaw
Event PnL
+$4.73
Volume
$1,400.00
Positions
Athletics
5B3
0x5b62…1989
Event PnL
-$5.00
Volume
$1,000.00
Positions
Athletics
744
0x74Bd…1393
Event PnL
-$3.66
Volume
$993.46
Positions
Cleveland Guardians
NI5
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$3.27
Volume
$653.00
Positions
Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians
HO6
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$3.12
Volume
$624.57
Positions
Cleveland Guardians
SN7
SnakeBall
Event PnL
-$1.94
Volume
$387.25
Positions
Athletics
A68
0xa697…6031
Event PnL
-$1.43
Volume
$285.01
Positions
Athletics

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians"?

As of the latest update, Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,600% win probability, followed by Athletics O/U 1.5 at 8,500% and 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 7,700%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $136.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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