New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins

$389.1K Vol
Sep 23, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
New York Yankees 54.5%
Minnesota Twins 45.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, NRFI is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,960% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 follows in second place at 5,800%, while 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 sits in third with 5,750%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $389.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • NRFI (9,960%): Currently commanding the highest probability, NRFI is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,960¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $328 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 (5,800%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 maintains a 5,800% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,800¢.
  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 (5,750%): Sitting in third place with a 5,750% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 7.5 (5,150%), 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (5,000%), and 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1NRFI9960.0%$3289960¢-9860¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 5.55800.0%5800¢-5700¢
31st 5 Innings O/U 6.55750.0%5750¢-5650¢
4O/U 7.55150.0%$13.7K5150¢-5050¢
51st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
61st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
71st 5 Innings O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
81st 5 Innings O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
91st 5 Innings O/U 4.55000.0%$45000¢-4900¢
10Extra Innings5000.0%$85000¢-4900¢
11New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins4450.0%$426.9K4450¢-4350¢
12O/U 8.54350.0%$49.5K4350¢-4250¢
13Spread -1.53650.0%$1.5K3650¢-3550¢
14O/U 9.53350.0%$1.9K3350¢-3250¢
15Spread -1.53050.0%$1.5K3050¢-2950¢
16Spread -2.52550.0%$2.2K2550¢-2450¢
17Spread -2.52200.0%$2.2K2200¢-2100¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for September 16 at 1:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game.

This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 16, 2026

  • 10:57 AM
    BZbzglt
    $100.00

    Bought 181.818182 Over for New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5 at 0.55

  • 10:56 AM
    BTbtcnew5
    $1.54

    Bought 2.8 Over for New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5 at 0.55

  • 10:56 AM
    BTbtcnew5
    $9.46

    Bought 17.2 Over for New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5 at 0.55

  • 10:56 AM
    BTbtcnew5
    $9.46

    Bought 17.2 Over for New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5 at 0.55

  • 10:56 AM
    BTbtcnew5
    $9.46

    Bought 17.2 Over for New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5 at 0.55

  • 10:56 AM
    BTbtcnew5
    $9.46

    Bought 17.2 Over for New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5 at 0.55

  • 10:56 AM
    BTbtcnew5
    $9.46

    Bought 17.2 Over for New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5 at 0.55

  • 09:58 AM
    DEdeepmouse
    $20.00

    Bought 34.482759 New York Yankees for New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.58

  • 09:49 AM
    HOhonduraslover
    $6.93

    Bought 11.948276 New York Yankees for New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.58

  • 09:40 AM
    WHWhyYouAreHere
    $1.70

    Bought 3.14 Over for New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5 at 0.54

  • 09:06 AM
    HEhello6452323
    $24.49

    Bought 54.42 New York Yankees for Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) at 0.45

  • 09:03 AM
    XPxp6666
    $20.00

    Bought 44.444445 New York Yankees for Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) at 0.45

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SD1
SDTrading
Event PnL
-$166.94
Volume
$11,130.35
Positions
Under
DV2
dv-pm
Event PnL
-$25.56
Volume
$5,111.50
Positions
New York Yankees
SH3
shaw
Event PnL
+$21.85
Volume
$4,369.90
Positions
Minnesota Twins
HO4
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$39.14
Volume
$2,905.97
Positions
OverUnderNew York Yankees+2
HI5
hi774c
Event PnL
+$31.61
Volume
$2,107.48
Positions
Over
WA6
wapol
Event PnL
+$30.72
Volume
$2,048.00
Positions
Over
587
0x5811…6071
Event PnL
+$20.46
Volume
$1,923.49
Positions
OverMinnesota TwinsUnder
A68
0xa697…6031
Event PnL
+$23.06
Volume
$1,804.04
Positions
OverMinnesota Twins

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins"?

As of the latest update, NRFI leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,960% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 at 5,800% and 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 at 5,750%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $389.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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