New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

$105.3K Vol
Sep 26, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
New York Yankees 50.5%
Arizona Diamondbacks 49.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,350% chance of winning. New York Yankees O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 6,950%, while Arizona Diamondbacks O/U 2.5 sits in third with 6,600%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $105.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,350%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,350¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • New York Yankees O/U 2.5 (6,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, New York Yankees O/U 2.5 maintains a 6,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,950¢.
  • Arizona Diamondbacks O/U 2.5 (6,600%): Sitting in third place with a 6,600% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Arizona Diamondbacks O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (5,750%), New York Yankees O/U 3.5 (5,600%), and O/U 7.5 (5,350%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Arizona Diamondbacks O/U 3.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.57350.0%7350¢-7250¢
2New York Yankees O/U 2.56950.0%6950¢-6850¢
3Arizona Diamondbacks O/U 2.56600.0%6600¢-6500¢
41st 5 Innings O/U 3.55750.0%$865750¢-5650¢
5New York Yankees O/U 3.55600.0%5600¢-5500¢
6O/U 7.55350.0%$6955350¢-5250¢
7Arizona Diamondbacks O/U 3.55150.0%5150¢-5050¢
8New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks5050.0%$82.2K5050¢-4950¢
9NRFI4850.0%$1204850¢-4750¢
10Arizona Diamondbacks O/U 6.54750.0%4750¢-4650¢
11O/U 8.54550.0%$7.3K4550¢-4450¢
121st 5 Innings O/U 4.54500.0%$1064500¢-4400¢
13New York Yankees O/U 5.54450.0%4450¢-4350¢
14New York Yankees O/U 4.54300.0%4300¢-4200¢
15New York Yankees O/U 6.54050.0%4050¢-3950¢
16Spread -1.53950.0%$6.9K3950¢-3850¢
17Arizona Diamondbacks O/U 4.53700.0%3700¢-3600¢
18O/U 9.53550.0%$7.9K3550¢-3450¢
191st 5 Innings O/U 5.53350.0%3350¢-3250¢
201st 5 Innings Spread -1.53200.0%3200¢-3100¢
21Spread -1.53050.0%$6.9K3050¢-2950¢
22Spread -2.52950.0%$42950¢-2850¢
231st 5 Innings Spread -1.52650.0%2650¢-2550¢
241st 5 Innings O/U 6.52550.0%2550¢-2450¢
25Arizona Diamondbacks O/U 5.52400.0%2400¢-2300¢
26Spread -2.52150.0%$42150¢-2050¢
27Extra Innings1100.0%1100¢-1000¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for September 18 at 9:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game.

This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 18, 2026

  • 11:55 AM
    LILightSword707
    $10.00

    Bought 18.867925 Over for New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5 at 0.53

  • 11:22 AM
    BUBuzz12z
    $29.44

    Bought 64 Over for New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 at 0.46

  • 11:12 AM
    AWAwendt913
    $10.00

    Bought 15.151514 Under for New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5 at 0.66

  • 11:12 AM
    AWAwendt913
    $13.50

    Sold 30 Over for New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 at 0.45

  • 11:10 AM
    POPoetry
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886793 Over for New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5 at 0.53

  • 11:00 AM
    AWAwendt913
    $13.80

    Bought 30 Over for New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 at 0.46

  • 10:53 AM
    ASash3erman
    $17.14

    Bought 32.961539 Over for New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5 at 0.52

  • 10:51 AM
    ASash3erman
    $38.74

    Bought 74.5 Over for New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5 at 0.52

  • 10:33 AM
    $10.00

    Bought 15.38 Under for New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5 at 0.65

  • 10:33 AM
    PEPETE7
    $752.85

    Bought 2151 Over for New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5 at 0.35

  • 10:31 AM
    CHChouIn
    $9.68

    Bought 17.6 Under for New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 at 0.55

  • 08:52 AM
    NEnemed
    $2.00

    Bought 4.347827 Arizona Diamondbacks for New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks at 0.46

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

PL1
pleaseplease123
Event PnL
+$667.86
Volume
$44,173.10
Positions
Arizona Diamondbacks
HO2
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$80.51
Volume
$16,951.90
Positions
New York YankeesNew York YankeesOver+2
VE3
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$226.38
Volume
$15,055.75
Positions
New York Yankees
PE4
PETE7
Event PnL
+$44.82
Volume
$8,954.23
Positions
Arizona DiamondbacksOver
655
6512395314597884
Event PnL
-$120.00
Volume
$8,000.00
Positions
New York Yankees
WA6
wapol
Event PnL
-$20.38
Volume
$6,164.00
Positions
UnderOver
SD7
SDTrading
Event PnL
-$22.92
Volume
$4,585.85
Positions
Under
NI8
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$19.89
Volume
$3,978.00
Positions
New York YankeesNew York Yankees

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,350% win probability, followed by New York Yankees O/U 2.5 at 6,950% and Arizona Diamondbacks O/U 2.5 at 6,600%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $105.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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