New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals

$144.8K Vol
Oct 4, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Washington Nationals 66.0%
New York Mets 34.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Washington Nationals O/U 4.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while O/U 7.5 sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $144.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 8.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $5.4K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Washington Nationals O/U 4.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Washington Nationals O/U 4.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • O/U 7.5 (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 7.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 9.5 (7,800%), O/U 11.5 (7,150%), and O/U 13.5 (5,750%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Extra Innings are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 8.59995.0%$5.4K9995¢-9895¢
2Washington Nationals O/U 4.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
3O/U 7.59995.0%$3.7K9995¢-9895¢
4O/U 9.57800.0%$4.5K7800¢-7700¢
5O/U 11.57150.0%$4357150¢-7050¢
6O/U 13.55750.0%—5750¢-5650¢
7Extra Innings5000.0%$115000¢-4900¢
8New York Mets O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9New York Mets O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Washington Nationals O/U 5.55000.0%$725000¢-4900¢
11Spread -1.54900.0%$9414900¢-4800¢
12Spread -2.54900.0%$3.9K4900¢-4800¢
13Spread -1.54650.0%$9414650¢-4550¢
14O/U 12.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
15New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals3650.0%$121.3K3650¢-3550¢
16Spread -2.51800.0%$3.9K1800¢-1700¢
171st 5 Innings Spread -1.550.0%—50¢50¢
181st 5 Innings Spread -1.550.0%—50¢50¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Washington Nationals, scheduled for September 27 at 3:05PM ET:

This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game.

This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 27, 2026

  • 08:31 AM
    SISidabr
    $1.00

    Bought 2 Washington Nationals for New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals at 0.5

  • 07:51 AM
    ——
    $1.02

    Bought 2 New York Mets for New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals at 0.51

  • 07:38 AM
    MEmeitalg
    $49.67

    Bought 71.985506 Over for Washington Nationals Team Total: O/U 5.5 at 0.69

  • 05:37 AM
    SEselbywest
    $37.25

    Bought 73.03 New York Mets for New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals at 0.51

  • 05:15 AM
    0X0x0B4
    $1.00

    Bought 1.960785 New York Mets for New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals at 0.51

  • 03:37 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $38.54

    Bought 75.56 New York Mets for New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals at 0.51

  • 03:35 AM
    SASaiKaungSanMyint69
    $69.89

    Bought 183.915642 New York Mets for Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) at 0.38

  • 03:21 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $47.27

    Bought 92.69 New York Mets for New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals at 0.51

  • 03:18 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $2.57

    Bought 5.03 New York Mets for New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals at 0.51

  • 03:15 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $57.03

    Bought 111.83 New York Mets for New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals at 0.51

  • 03:13 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $47.27

    Bought 92.69 New York Mets for New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals at 0.51

  • 02:42 AM
    FLFLY-BIRD
    $1.25

    Bought 2.5 Washington Nationals for New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals at 0.5

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

NI1
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$39.49
Volume
$3,998.00
Positions
New York MetsUnder
AN2
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$8.79
Volume
$1,758.31
Positions
Washington Nationals
WA3
wapol
Event PnL
+$21.73
Volume
$869.00
Positions
Over
A64
0xa697…6031
Event PnL
+$2.00
Volume
$400.01
Positions
Washington Nationals
YA5
yakz
Event PnL
+$2.00
Volume
$400.00
Positions
Washington Nationals
MO6
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$3.92
Volume
$354.66
Positions
Washington NationalsOver
PO7
Po1yamory
Event PnL
+$0.44
Volume
$288.26
Positions
Washington NationalsWashington Nationals
SA8
SaiKaungSanMyint69
Event PnL
-$0.96
Volume
$183.92
Positions
New York Mets

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals"?

As of the latest update, O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Washington Nationals O/U 4.5 at 9,995% and O/U 7.5 at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $144.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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