New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers

$495.3K Vol
Oct 1, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Texas Rangers 94.5%
New York Mets 5.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Spread -1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,150% chance of winning. Texas Rangers O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 6,150%, while Texas Rangers O/U 4.5 sits in third with 5,400%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $495.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Spread -1.5 (8,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Spread -1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2.9K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Texas Rangers O/U 3.5 (6,150%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Texas Rangers O/U 3.5 maintains a 6,150% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,150¢.
  • Texas Rangers O/U 4.5 (5,400%): Sitting in third place with a 5,400% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Texas Rangers O/U 4.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Extra Innings (5,000%), New York Mets O/U 2.5 (5,000%), and New York Mets O/U 3.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like New York Mets O/U 4.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Spread -1.58150.0%$2.9K8150¢-8050¢
2Texas Rangers O/U 3.56150.0%$1006150¢-6050¢
3Texas Rangers O/U 4.55400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
4Extra Innings5000.0%$85000¢-4900¢
5New York Mets O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6New York Mets O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7New York Mets O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8New York Mets O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9New York Mets O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Texas Rangers O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Texas Rangers O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12O/U 6.54700.0%$114700¢-4600¢
13O/U 4.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
14O/U 10.53000.0%$14.2K3000¢-2900¢
15O/U 5.52500.0%$1642500¢-2400¢
16Spread -2.52350.0%$302350¢-2250¢
17O/U 7.5750.0%$8.1K750¢-650¢
18O/U 8.5700.0%$209.7K700¢-600¢
19New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers550.0%$236.2K550¢-450¢
20O/U 9.5350.0%$3.1K350¢-250¢
21Spread -1.5295.0%$2.9K295¢-195¢
22Spread -2.5150.0%$30150¢-50¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Texas Rangers, scheduled for September 24 at 2:35PM ET:

This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game.

This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 24, 2026

  • 09:33 AM
    KIKingsley532
    $2.00

    Bought 2.898551 New York Mets for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) at 0.69

  • 09:00 AM
    WGwgomezl
    $10.12

    Bought 22 New York Mets for New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers at 0.46

  • 08:34 AM
    IOioioioi
    $8.28

    Bought 18 New York Mets for New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers at 0.46

  • 08:34 AM
    DFdfbg012n
    $9.90

    Bought 18 Texas Rangers for New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers at 0.55

  • 08:30 AM
    CDcdsyiede
    $12.65

    Bought 23 Texas Rangers for New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers at 0.55

  • 08:30 AM
    BGbgrt4rfdfg
    $10.58

    Bought 23 New York Mets for New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers at 0.46

  • 08:26 AM
    GBGBSM2
    $51.14

    Bought 92.981817 Texas Rangers for New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers at 0.55

  • 08:26 AM
    4R4rdredew
    $7.18

    Bought 13.054546 Texas Rangers for New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers at 0.55

  • 08:26 AM
    R5r544freeff
    $6.00

    Bought 13.043479 New York Mets for New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers at 0.46

  • 08:22 AM
    SDsdfer4ddew
    $9.90

    Bought 18 Texas Rangers for New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers at 0.55

  • 08:22 AM
    585826frff
    $8.28

    Bought 18 New York Mets for New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers at 0.46

  • 08:22 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $7.88

    Bought 17.12 New York Mets for New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers at 0.46

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$6,549.25
Volume
$35,766.54
Positions
New York MetsOver
KK2
kkookkoo
Event PnL
+$5,502.20
Volume
$30,795.93
Positions
Texas Rangers
WR3
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
+$30.26
Volume
$23,561.48
Positions
New York Mets
4F4
0x4f2
Event PnL
+$561.48
Volume
$9,251.05
Positions
Texas RangersTexas RangersOver+2
KR5
Krown
Event PnL
-$44.44
Volume
$8,889.68
Positions
Texas Rangers
HO6
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$1,605.74
Volume
$8,779.89
Positions
Texas RangersUnderNew York Mets+2
657
6512395314597884
Event PnL
+$1,233.31
Volume
$7,225.35
Positions
Texas RangersNew York MetsUnder
9B8
0x9b11…5375
Event PnL
-$215.06
Volume
$5,364.83
Positions
New York MetsTexas RangersOver+1

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers"?

As of the latest update, Spread -1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,150% win probability, followed by Texas Rangers O/U 3.5 at 6,150% and Texas Rangers O/U 4.5 at 5,400%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $495.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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