New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers

$185.4K Vol
Oct 1, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
New York Mets 50.5%
Texas Rangers 49.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, New York Mets O/U 1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,750% chance of winning. Texas Rangers O/U 1.5 follows in second place at 8,600%, while New York Mets O/U 2.5 sits in third with 6,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $185.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • New York Mets O/U 1.5 (8,750%): Currently commanding the highest probability, New York Mets O/U 1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,750¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Texas Rangers O/U 1.5 (8,600%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Texas Rangers O/U 1.5 maintains a 8,600% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 8,600¢.
  • New York Mets O/U 2.5 (6,950%): Sitting in third place with a 6,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward New York Mets O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Texas Rangers O/U 2.5 (6,700%), O/U 6.5 (6,500%), and Texas Rangers O/U 5.5 (6,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1New York Mets O/U 1.58750.0%8750¢-8650¢
2Texas Rangers O/U 1.58600.0%8600¢-8500¢
3New York Mets O/U 2.56950.0%6950¢-6850¢
4Texas Rangers O/U 2.56700.0%6700¢-6600¢
5O/U 6.56500.0%$86500¢-6400¢
6Texas Rangers O/U 5.56050.0%6050¢-5950¢
71st 5 Innings O/U 3.56000.0%6000¢-5900¢
8New York Mets O/U 5.55950.0%5950¢-5850¢
9New York Mets O/U 3.55550.0%5550¢-5450¢
10NRFI5500.0%$7905500¢-5400¢
11Texas Rangers O/U 3.55350.0%5350¢-5250¢
12O/U 7.55300.0%$2.9K5300¢-5200¢
13New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers5150.0%$180.6K5150¢-5050¢
141st 5 Innings O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
151st 5 Innings O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
161st 5 Innings Spread -1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
171st 5 Innings Spread -1.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
18Extra Innings4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
191st 5 Innings O/U 4.54650.0%$3154650¢-4550¢
20O/U 8.54550.0%$2674550¢-4450¢
21New York Mets O/U 4.54200.0%4200¢-4100¢
22Spread -1.53800.0%$2293800¢-3700¢
23Texas Rangers O/U 4.53800.0%3800¢-3700¢
241st 5 Innings O/U 5.53550.0%3550¢-3450¢
25Spread -1.53200.0%$2293200¢-3100¢
26Spread -2.52650.0%2650¢-2550¢
27Spread -2.52250.0%2250¢-2150¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Texas Rangers, scheduled for September 23 at 8:05PM ET:

This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game.

This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 24, 2026

  • 12:03 AM
    FNfnaot
    $4.00

    Bought 5.7971 New York Mets for Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) at 0.69

  • 12:00 AM
    FIfishjoy
    $1.00

    Bought 1.449274 New York Mets for Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) at 0.69

Sep 23, 2026

  • 11:59 PM
    FEferrariChampions2026
    $62.68

    Bought 92.18 New York Mets for Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) at 0.68

  • 11:58 PM
    FOForecastication2
    $170.10

    Bought 315 Under for New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 0.54

  • 11:56 PM
    GAgabmlergao
    $100.00

    Bought 185.185186 Over for New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 at 0.54

  • 11:56 PM
    MSmsfc2
    $5.98

    Bought 18.121213 Texas Rangers for Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) at 0.33

  • 11:55 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $222.56

    Bought 473.53 Under for New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 at 0.47

  • 11:54 PM
    ARArthurKim
    $1.00

    Bought 1.587302 Texas Rangers for Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) at 0.63

  • 11:47 PM
    FEfelixroj
    $3.36

    Bought 6.222223 Over for New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 at 0.54

  • 11:28 PM
    SUsuperlxj
    $4.18

    Bought 11 New York Mets for Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) at 0.38

  • 11:28 PM
    CHchrollo3323
    $10.00

    Bought 15.873016 Texas Rangers for Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) at 0.63

  • 11:20 PM
    TUTureckiBe
    $2.70

    Bought 5 Over for New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 at 0.54

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$42.46
Volume
$8,491.40
Positions
Texas RangersOver
BI2
binkybarnes55
Event PnL
-$15.08
Volume
$4,983.58
Positions
New York Mets
KR3
Krown
Event PnL
-$12.08
Volume
$2,415.64
Positions
Texas Rangers
WA4
wapol
Event PnL
+$9.52
Volume
$1,920.85
Positions
New York MetsNew York Mets
MO5
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$22.81
Volume
$1,689.59
Positions
Texas RangersOverUnder
HE6
Herdonia
Event PnL
+$0.72
Volume
$1,193.01
Positions
New York Mets
747
0x74Bd…1393
Event PnL
-$25.00
Volume
$999.99
Positions
Texas Rangers
PA8
pan332
Event PnL
+$5.20
Volume
$990.64
Positions
New York Mets

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers"?

As of the latest update, New York Mets O/U 1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,750% win probability, followed by Texas Rangers O/U 1.5 at 8,600% and New York Mets O/U 2.5 at 6,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $185.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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