New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers

$233.6K Vol
Sep 30, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Texas Rangers 61.5%
New York Mets 38.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 9,965%, while Texas Rangers O/U 1.5 sits in third with 9,965%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $233.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $548 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (9,965%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 maintains a 9,965% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,965¢.
  • Texas Rangers O/U 1.5 (9,965%): Sitting in third place with a 9,965% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Texas Rangers O/U 1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Texas Rangers O/U 2.5 (9,965%), O/U 6.5 (8,550%), and O/U 7.5 (6,850%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 8.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings O/U 4.59995.0%$5489995¢-9895¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 3.59965.0%9965¢-9865¢
3Texas Rangers O/U 1.59965.0%9965¢-9865¢
4Texas Rangers O/U 2.59965.0%9965¢-9865¢
5O/U 6.58550.0%$2.2K8550¢-8450¢
6O/U 7.56850.0%$20.6K6850¢-6750¢
7O/U 8.55650.0%$28.2K5650¢-5550¢
81st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
91st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
101st 5 Innings O/U 5.55000.0%$35000¢-4900¢
111st 5 Innings O/U 6.55000.0%$285000¢-4900¢
12Extra Innings5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13New York Mets O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14New York Mets O/U 3.55000.0%$155000¢-4900¢
15New York Mets O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16New York Mets O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Texas Rangers O/U 3.55000.0%$145000¢-4900¢
18Texas Rangers O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Texas Rangers O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Spread -1.54550.0%$2.4K4550¢-4450¢
21O/U 9.53950.0%$293950¢-3850¢
22Spread -2.52950.0%$5342950¢-2850¢
23New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers2550.0%$99.3K2550¢-2450¢
24Spread -1.51550.0%$2.4K1550¢-1450¢
25Spread -2.5900.0%$534900¢-800¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Texas Rangers, scheduled for September 22 at 8:05PM ET:

This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game.

This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 22, 2026

  • 11:18 PM
    CHcharay12
    $23.85

    Bought 53 Under for New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 at 0.45

  • 11:13 PM
    NINikita2604
    $8.26

    Bought 14 Over for Texas Rangers Team Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.59

  • 11:13 PM
    NINikita2604
    $8.25

    Bought 15 Over for New York Mets Team Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.55

  • 11:13 PM
    NINikita2604
    $8.40

    Bought 15 Over for New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 at 0.56

  • 11:09 PM
    M4m4yconn
    $2.40

    Bought 5 Over for New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5 at 0.48

  • 11:09 PM
    BCbciotti
    $5.00

    Bought 10.416667 Over for New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5 at 0.48

  • 11:08 PM
    MEMephy
    $3.70

    Bought 10.277778 Texas Rangers for Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) at 0.36

  • 11:07 PM
    $3.00

    Bought 6.25 Over for New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5 at 0.48

  • 11:07 PM
    TATalvez10
    $65.80

    Bought 140 Over for New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5 at 0.47

  • 11:06 PM
    DOdonpolik
    $1.69

    Bought 4.828572 New York Mets for Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) at 0.35

  • 11:06 PM
    DOdonpolik
    $1.69

    Bought 2.6 New York Mets for Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) at 0.65

  • 11:06 PM
    DOdonpolik
    $1.69

    Bought 2.283784 New York Mets for Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5) at 0.74

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

NI1
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$11.51
Volume
$7,325.00
Positions
New York MetsNew York MetsOver+3
PE2
PETE7
Event PnL
-$125.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
Texas Rangers
FB3
0xfB07…2542
Event PnL
-$72.50
Volume
$4,833.58
Positions
Texas Rangers
384
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$94.39
Volume
$4,751.94
Positions
Texas RangersTexas RangersUnder+6
MA5
MAGATheeStallion
Event PnL
+$66.66
Volume
$4,444.00
Positions
New York Mets
RP6
rpzz
Event PnL
+$19.83
Volume
$3,962.62
Positions
Texas Rangers
HO7
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$28.77
Volume
$3,146.23
Positions
OverNew York MetsNew York Mets+3
BE8
betabot
Event PnL
+$48.84
Volume
$2,255.35
Positions
New York Mets

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 9,965% and Texas Rangers O/U 1.5 at 9,965%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $233.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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