Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres

$302K Vol
Oct 15, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
San Diego Padres 50.5%
Milwaukee Brewers 49.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, San Diego Padres O/U 1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,700% chance of winning. Milwaukee Brewers O/U 1.5 follows in second place at 7,500%, while 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 sits in third with 7,450%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $302K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • San Diego Padres O/U 1.5 (7,700%): Currently commanding the highest probability, San Diego Padres O/U 1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,700¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Milwaukee Brewers O/U 1.5 (7,500%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Milwaukee Brewers O/U 1.5 maintains a 7,500% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,500¢.
  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,450%): Sitting in third place with a 7,450% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (6,600%), 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (6,100%), and Milwaukee Brewers O/U 2.5 (5,900%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like San Diego Padres O/U 2.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1San Diego Padres O/U 1.57700.0%—7700¢-7600¢
2Milwaukee Brewers O/U 1.57500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
31st 5 Innings O/U 2.57450.0%—7450¢-7350¢
41st 5 Innings O/U 3.56600.0%—6600¢-6500¢
51st 5 Innings O/U 4.56100.0%$20.6K6100¢-6000¢
6Milwaukee Brewers O/U 2.55900.0%$95900¢-5800¢
7San Diego Padres O/U 2.55800.0%$435800¢-5700¢
81st 5 Innings O/U 5.55750.0%—5750¢-5650¢
9O/U 6.55700.0%$12.2K5700¢-5600¢
101st 5 Innings O/U 6.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
11San Diego Padres O/U 5.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
12Extra Innings5100.0%$945100¢-5000¢
131st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
141st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15NRFI4700.0%$7.7K4700¢-4600¢
16San Diego Padres O/U 4.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
17San Diego Padres O/U 3.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
18Milwaukee Brewers O/U 3.54550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
19O/U 7.54500.0%$135.7K4500¢-4400¢
20Spread -1.54450.0%$3.1K4450¢-4350¢
21Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres4250.0%$117.7K4250¢-4150¢
22O/U 8.53600.0%$6.6K3600¢-3500¢
23Milwaukee Brewers O/U 4.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
24Spread -2.52750.0%$8.7K2750¢-2650¢
25Spread -1.52650.0%$3.1K2650¢-2550¢
26Milwaukee Brewers O/U 5.51800.0%—1800¢-1700¢
27Spread -2.51750.0%$8.7K1750¢-1650¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres, scheduled for October 7 at 3:33AM ET:

This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game.

This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 8, 2026

  • 01:36 AM
    0X0x35fc2761f60ab64855A2A99CcD134f44D665ac54-1780763484342
    $5.00

    Bought 11.363637 Over for Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 0.44

  • 01:31 AM
    SMsmye100
    $5.00

    Bought 11.363637 Over for Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 0.44

  • 01:30 AM
    CHchrollo3323
    $10.00

    Bought 15.625 San Diego Padres for Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) at 0.64

  • 01:29 AM
    GPgpimente407
    $4.80

    Bought 10.91 Over for Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 0.44

  • 01:27 AM
    WHWhiteMonster7
    $1,602.80

    Bought 5936.296297 Milwaukee Brewers for Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5) at 0.27

  • 01:27 AM
    ——
    $3.10

    Bought 7.948718 Under for Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5 at 0.39

  • 01:27 AM
    DCDCGBH
    $1,348.39

    Bought 2174.822581 Over for Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5 at 0.62

  • 01:26 AM
    ANandrealfieri
    $1.04

    Bought 2.363637 Over for Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 0.44

  • 01:26 AM
    NInigiri99
    $158.46

    Bought 278 Under for Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 0.57

  • 01:26 AM
    NInigiri99
    $2,406.54

    Bought 4222 Under for Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 0.57

  • 01:24 AM
    ——
    $4.76

    Bought 10.577778 Over for Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 0.45

  • 01:23 AM
    ——
    $4.76

    Bought 10.577778 Over for Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 0.45

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

3D1
0x3DFb…8185
Event PnL
-$277.53
Volume
$55,571.18
Positions
San Diego PadresUnder
NS2
NS13
Event PnL
+$142.33
Volume
$28,461.24
Positions
Milwaukee Brewers
FE3
FeedTheBigBird
Event PnL
+$132.36
Volume
$26,314.83
Positions
Milwaukee Brewers
NI4
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$97.15
Volume
$23,465.00
Positions
UnderUnderMilwaukee Brewers+1
9F5
0x9f15…bdb3
Event PnL
-$2.68
Volume
$8,342.52
Positions
Over
FE6
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$33.95
Volume
$6,791.28
Positions
Over
A67
0xa697…6031
Event PnL
+$27.63
Volume
$6,756.87
Positions
OverOverUnder+4
MO8
mooseborzoii
Event PnL
-$9.76
Volume
$6,162.32
Positions
San Diego PadresOverUnder

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres"?

As of the latest update, San Diego Padres O/U 1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,700% win probability, followed by Milwaukee Brewers O/U 1.5 at 7,500% and 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 7,450%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $302K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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