Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies

$287.4K Vol
Oct 2, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Philadelphia Phillies 55.5%
Milwaukee Brewers 44.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,000% chance of winning. Milwaukee Brewers O/U 1.5 follows in second place at 8,800%, while 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 sits in third with 7,500%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $287.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 (9,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Milwaukee Brewers O/U 1.5 (8,800%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Milwaukee Brewers O/U 1.5 maintains a 8,800% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 8,800¢.
  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,500%): Sitting in third place with a 7,500% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 (7,050%), Milwaukee Brewers O/U 2.5 (6,600%), and 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (5,900%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Philadelphia Phillies O/U 3.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
2Milwaukee Brewers O/U 1.58800.0%—8800¢-8700¢
31st 5 Innings O/U 2.57500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
4Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.57050.0%—7050¢-6950¢
5Milwaukee Brewers O/U 2.56600.0%—6600¢-6500¢
61st 5 Innings O/U 3.55900.0%—5900¢-5800¢
7Philadelphia Phillies O/U 3.55600.0%—5600¢-5500¢
8O/U 7.55250.0%$177.2K5250¢-5150¢
9Milwaukee Brewers O/U 3.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
10NRFI4850.0%$604850¢-4750¢
111st 5 Innings O/U 4.54650.0%$424650¢-4550¢
12Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies4450.0%$98.2K4450¢-4350¢
13O/U 8.54450.0%$8.1K4450¢-4350¢
14Philadelphia Phillies O/U 4.54200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
15Milwaukee Brewers O/U 4.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
16Spread -1.53700.0%$3113700¢-3600¢
171st 5 Innings O/U 5.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
18O/U 9.53450.0%$2.1K3450¢-3350¢
19Spread -1.53350.0%$3113350¢-3250¢
201st 5 Innings Spread -1.53300.0%$263300¢-3200¢
21Philadelphia Phillies O/U 5.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
22Milwaukee Brewers O/U 5.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
23Spread -2.52650.0%$1.2K2650¢-2550¢
241st 5 Innings O/U 6.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
25Spread -2.52400.0%$1.2K2400¢-2300¢
261st 5 Innings Spread -1.52350.0%$262350¢-2250¢
27Extra Innings900.0%—900¢-800¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for September 24 at 6:05PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game.

This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 24, 2026

  • 09:49 AM
    BOBOB6633
    $11.02

    Bought 20.41 Under for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 at 0.54

  • 09:49 AM
    BZbzglt
    $100.00

    Bought 204.081633 Over for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 at 0.49

  • 09:46 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $29.34

    Bought 56.42 Philadelphia Phillies for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.52

  • 09:42 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $40.34

    Bought 77.58 Philadelphia Phillies for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.52

  • 09:37 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $6.81

    Bought 13.09 Philadelphia Phillies for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.52

  • 09:37 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $47.67

    Bought 91.68 Philadelphia Phillies for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.52

  • 09:35 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $40.86

    Bought 78.58 Philadelphia Phillies for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.52

  • 09:31 AM
    QBqbert55
    $1.65

    Bought 5 Philadelphia Phillies for Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) at 0.33

  • 09:24 AM
    GLgls2026
    $1.00

    Bought 1.923077 Philadelphia Phillies for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.52

  • 09:16 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $14.14

    Bought 27.2 Philadelphia Phillies for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.52

  • 09:16 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $17.81

    Bought 34.25 Philadelphia Phillies for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.52

  • 09:16 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $57.11

    Bought 109.82 Philadelphia Phillies for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.52

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SA1
Sassy-Bucket
Event PnL
+$819.29
Volume
$163,858.18
Positions
Over
TA2
Talvez10
Event PnL
-$550.00
Volume
$110,000.00
Positions
Under
HM3
HMLSF
Event PnL
-$270.91
Volume
$54,191.91
Positions
Milwaukee Brewers
TA4
tankfest2027
Event PnL
-$227.75
Volume
$45,559.88
Positions
Under
HO5
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$97.95
Volume
$15,411.23
Positions
Philadelphia PhilliesUnderOver+3
VE6
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$75.25
Volume
$15,049.59
Positions
Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies
FE7
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$133.39
Volume
$8,891.94
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies
SD8
SDTrading
Event PnL
-$44.44
Volume
$8,889.22
Positions
Over

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies"?

As of the latest update, Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,000% win probability, followed by Milwaukee Brewers O/U 1.5 at 8,800% and 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 7,500%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $287.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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