Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles

$97.2K Vol
Jan 1, 1
Resolved
Probability Trend
Milwaukee Brewers 50.5%
Baltimore Orioles 49.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Baltimore Orioles O/U 1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,750% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 7,000%, while Baltimore Orioles O/U 2.5 sits in third with 6,500%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $97.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Baltimore Orioles O/U 1.5 (8,750%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Baltimore Orioles O/U 1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,750¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 maintains a 7,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,000¢.
  • Baltimore Orioles O/U 2.5 (6,500%): Sitting in third place with a 6,500% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Baltimore Orioles O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Milwaukee Brewers O/U 6.5 (5,850%), 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (5,600%), and Milwaukee Brewers O/U 3.5 (5,400%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Baltimore Orioles O/U 1.58750.0%8750¢-8650¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 2.57000.0%7000¢-6900¢
3Baltimore Orioles O/U 2.56500.0%6500¢-6400¢
4Milwaukee Brewers O/U 6.55850.0%5850¢-5750¢
51st 5 Innings O/U 3.55600.0%$5955600¢-5500¢
6Milwaukee Brewers O/U 3.55400.0%5400¢-5300¢
7Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles5050.0%$68.4K5050¢-4950¢
8O/U 7.55050.0%$5.0K5050¢-4950¢
9Milwaukee Brewers O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Milwaukee Brewers O/U 2.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
11Baltimore Orioles O/U 3.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
12Milwaukee Brewers O/U 5.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
13NRFI4750.0%$1.6K4750¢-4650¢
14O/U 8.54250.0%$6.8K4250¢-4150¢
151st 5 Innings O/U 4.54250.0%$4244250¢-4150¢
16Baltimore Orioles O/U 4.53800.0%3800¢-3700¢
17Spread -1.53750.0%$3.5K3750¢-3650¢
18O/U 9.53250.0%$2.5K3250¢-3150¢
191st 5 Innings O/U 5.53150.0%3150¢-3050¢
20Spread -1.53150.0%$3.5K3150¢-3050¢
211st 5 Innings Spread -1.52850.0%2850¢-2750¢
22Spread -2.52850.0%$1022850¢-2750¢
231st 5 Innings Spread -1.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
24Baltimore Orioles O/U 5.52500.0%2500¢-2400¢
251st 5 Innings O/U 6.52250.0%2250¢-2150¢
26Spread -2.52150.0%$1022150¢-2050¢
27Extra Innings1050.0%1050¢-950¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for September 19 at 4:05PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game.

This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 19, 2026

  • 12:23 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $19.04

    Bought 45.33 Milwaukee Brewers for Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) at 0.42

  • 12:07 PM
    LILightSword707
    $10.00

    Bought 20.833334 Over for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 at 0.48

  • 12:07 PM
    BUbunefrancis
    $1.00

    Bought 2.272728 Under for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 at 0.44

  • 11:37 AM
    SYsymphony
    $1.00

    Bought 1.754386 Over for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 at 0.57

  • 11:26 AM
    NInigiri99
    $9.68

    Bought 22 Under for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 at 0.44

  • 11:16 AM
    0X0xc92CA3e01ad489f732550B0912991d7beFFb6f15-1770260769185
    $99.55

    Bought 153.154327 Under for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 at 0.65

  • 11:16 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $8.54

    Bought 16.12 Under for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 at 0.53

  • 11:16 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $2.14

    Bought 4.03 Under for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 at 0.53

  • 10:53 AM
    NInigiri99
    $46.20

    Bought 110 Milwaukee Brewers for Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) at 0.42

  • 10:46 AM
    NInigiri99
    $1.76

    Bought 4 Under for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 at 0.44

  • 10:33 AM
    SCscherahmeda
    $5.00

    Bought 15.625 Milwaukee Brewers for Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5) at 0.32

  • 10:24 AM
    JIjinjianceng
    $15.00

    Bought 46.875 Milwaukee Brewers for Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5) at 0.32

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SD1
SDTrading
Event PnL
+$1,374.59
Volume
$39,272.93
Positions
Baltimore Orioles
322
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$560.00
Volume
$16,000.00
Positions
Milwaukee Brewers
HO3
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$88.89
Volume
$9,829.13
Positions
UnderUnderMilwaukee Brewers+1
NI4
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$22.59
Volume
$9,760.00
Positions
Baltimore OriolesMilwaukee BrewersNo+2
WA5
wapol
Event PnL
-$171.39
Volume
$9,528.19
Positions
Milwaukee BrewersOverOver+1
FE6
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$42.49
Volume
$9,112.97
Positions
Baltimore OriolesBaltimore OriolesOver
VE7
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$178.58
Volume
$7,178.15
Positions
Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee BrewersUnder
AN8
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
-$112.88
Volume
$6,171.96
Positions
Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee BrewersYes

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles"?

As of the latest update, Baltimore Orioles O/U 1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,750% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 7,000% and Baltimore Orioles O/U 2.5 at 6,500%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $97.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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