Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins

$268.1K Vol
Sep 20, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Los Angeles Dodgers 91.5%
Miami Marlins 8.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,050% chance of winning. Spread -1.5 follows in second place at 7,950%, while Spread -2.5 sits in third with 6,600%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $268.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins (9,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $281.4K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Spread -1.5 (7,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Spread -1.5 maintains a 7,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,950¢.
  • Spread -2.5 (6,600%): Sitting in third place with a 6,600% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Spread -2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 5.5 (6,450%), O/U 6.5 (5,300%), and 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins9050.0%$281.4K9050¢-8950¢
2Spread -1.57950.0%$5187950¢-7850¢
3Spread -2.56600.0%$1.5K6600¢-6500¢
4O/U 5.56450.0%$486450¢-6350¢
5O/U 6.55300.0%$1005300¢-5200¢
61st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
71st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
81st 5 Innings O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
91st 5 Innings O/U 4.55000.0%$205000¢-4900¢
101st 5 Innings O/U 5.55000.0%$245000¢-4900¢
111st 5 Innings O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Extra Innings5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Spread -3.54650.0%$604650¢-4550¢
14O/U 7.53750.0%$11.0K3750¢-3650¢
15O/U 8.52950.0%$18.3K2950¢-2850¢
16O/U 9.51800.0%$16.4K1800¢-1700¢
17Spread -1.5400.0%$518400¢-300¢
18Spread -2.5355.0%$1.5K355¢-255¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Miami Marlins, scheduled for September 13 at 1:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game.

This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 13, 2026

  • 11:03 AM
    BZbzglt
    $120.00

    Bought 210.526316 Over for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 at 0.57

  • 10:54 AM
    SASatoshiReika
    $20.00

    Bought 40 Over for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 at 0.5

  • 10:33 AM
    WBwbrh
    $1.00

    Bought 1.724138 Los Angeles Dodgers for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins at 0.58

  • 10:28 AM
    0X0x55D
    $1.00

    Bought 1.724138 Los Angeles Dodgers for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins at 0.58

  • 10:16 AM
    RIRicardoRoberto
    $2.00

    Bought 4.651163 Miami Marlins for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins at 0.43

  • 09:55 AM
    PJpjotrekkk
    $179.98

    Bought 428.52 Miami Marlins for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins at 0.42

  • 09:42 AM
    JAjade04
    $6.00

    Bought 14.285715 Miami Marlins for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins at 0.42

  • 09:41 AM
    WHWhyYouAreHere
    $3.00

    Bought 5.263158 Over for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 at 0.57

  • 08:49 AM
    BRbrendoncarson
    $108.71

    Bought 221.85 Over for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 at 0.49

  • 08:45 AM
    PAPapitas21
    $3.00

    Bought 5.084746 Los Angeles Dodgers for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins at 0.59

  • 08:34 AM
    GUgust
    $1.00

    Bought 1.694914 Los Angeles Dodgers for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins at 0.59

  • 08:12 AM
    4545645644gbh
    $1.02

    Bought 1.789474 Over for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 at 0.57

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$40,264.36
Volume
$117,636.57
Positions
Miami Marlins
XI2
xifutloong3
Event PnL
+$33,079.38
Volume
$96,153.85
Positions
Los Angeles Dodgers
CO3
CoffeeDespiser
Event PnL
+$8,850.00
Volume
$29,999.99
Positions
Los Angeles Dodgers
2A4
0x2a07…7354
Event PnL
-$8,484.15
Volume
$28,759.93
Positions
Miami Marlins
WR5
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
-$7,544.30
Volume
$24,223.41
Positions
Miami Marlins
326
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
+$3,308.64
Volume
$11,626.27
Positions
Los Angeles Dodgers
DO7
dontworrybaseball
Event PnL
+$3,980.78
Volume
$11,538.46
Positions
Los Angeles Dodgers
NI8
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$2,421.34
Volume
$8,211.00
Positions
Miami MarlinsOver

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins"?

As of the latest update, Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,050% win probability, followed by Spread -1.5 at 7,950% and Spread -2.5 at 6,600%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $268.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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