Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds

$218.6K Vol
Sep 23, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Los Angeles Dodgers 68.5%
Cincinnati Reds 31.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,500% chance of winning. O/U 7.5 follows in second place at 6,250%, while NRFI sits in third with 6,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $218.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (6,500%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,500¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 7.5 (6,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 7.5 maintains a 6,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,250¢.
  • NRFI (6,000%): Sitting in third place with a 6,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward NRFI, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 8.5 (5,550%), Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds (5,450%), and 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (5,150%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.56500.0%6500¢-6400¢
2O/U 7.56250.0%$2.0K6250¢-6150¢
3NRFI6000.0%$126000¢-5900¢
4O/U 8.55550.0%$33.5K5550¢-5450¢
5Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds5450.0%$124.4K5450¢-5350¢
61st 5 Innings Spread -1.55150.0%$3505150¢-5050¢
71st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%$3505000¢-4900¢
81st 5 Innings O/U 3.55000.0%$45000¢-4900¢
91st 5 Innings O/U 4.55000.0%$1.4K5000¢-4900¢
101st 5 Innings O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
111st 5 Innings O/U 6.55000.0%$175000¢-4900¢
12Extra Innings5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Los Angeles Dodgers O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Los Angeles Dodgers O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Los Angeles Dodgers O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Los Angeles Dodgers O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Los Angeles Dodgers O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Cincinnati Reds O/U 0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Cincinnati Reds O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Cincinnati Reds O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Cincinnati Reds O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Cincinnati Reds O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23O/U 9.54550.0%$7.0K4550¢-4450¢
24Spread -1.54350.0%$5544350¢-4250¢
25Spread -2.53250.0%$3.7K3250¢-3150¢
26Spread -1.53000.0%$5543000¢-2900¢
27Spread -2.52100.0%$3.7K2100¢-2000¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for September 15 at 6:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game.

This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 15, 2026

  • 10:09 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $64.61

    Bought 93.63768 Los Angeles Dodgers for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.69

  • 10:05 PM
    $7.00

    Bought 10.144925 Los Angeles Dodgers for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.69

  • 10:05 PM
    EDedc001
    $200.00

    Bought 289.85507 Los Angeles Dodgers for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.69

  • 10:04 PM
    0X0xbef95f3bc965bfc8b2088f94e11301ae2f8c4595-1788422749934
    $49.23

    Bought 71.347825 Los Angeles Dodgers for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.69

  • 10:03 PM
    CHCHAINPULL
    $1.00

    Bought 1.449274 Los Angeles Dodgers for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.69

  • 10:02 PM
    FOForMyFamily1
    $2,000.00

    Bought 2898.550725 Los Angeles Dodgers for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.69

  • 10:02 PM
    BBbbceybr
    $24.15

    Bought 35 Los Angeles Dodgers for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.69

  • 10:02 PM
    NENewsGurus
    $16.57

    Sold 53.46 Cincinnati Reds for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.31

  • 10:01 PM
    ELeliash
    $95.99

    Bought 139.115941 Los Angeles Dodgers for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.69

  • 10:00 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $104.52

    Bought 151.478261 Los Angeles Dodgers for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.69

  • 10:00 PM
    KRkrizal
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886793 No for Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.53

  • 09:59 PM
    $152.66

    Bought 221.246377 Los Angeles Dodgers for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.69

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

3D1
0x3DFb…8185
Event PnL
-$19.46
Volume
$62,762.81
Positions
Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers
DO2
Donkey14
Event PnL
+$168.69
Volume
$33,665.35
Positions
Cincinnati Reds
FE3
Feromont
Event PnL
-$160.00
Volume
$32,000.00
Positions
Cincinnati Reds
F54
0xf559…7740
Event PnL
-$144.90
Volume
$28,985.51
Positions
Los Angeles Dodgers
FE5
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$109.00
Volume
$21,796.63
Positions
Cincinnati Reds
DV6
dv-pm
Event PnL
+$76.73
Volume
$15,346.00
Positions
Cincinnati Reds
VE7
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$2.05
Volume
$6,098.02
Positions
Cincinnati RedsUnderCincinnati Reds+1
328
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
+$26.71
Volume
$5,341.25
Positions
Cincinnati Reds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,500% win probability, followed by O/U 7.5 at 6,250% and NRFI at 6,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $218.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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