Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners

$204.9K Vol
Oct 4, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Seattle Mariners 84.5%
Los Angeles Angels 15.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,955% chance of winning. Los Angeles Angels O/U 0.5 follows in second place at 9,950%, while Seattle Mariners O/U 3.5 sits in third with 7,800%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $204.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (9,955%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,955¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Los Angeles Angels O/U 0.5 (9,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Los Angeles Angels O/U 0.5 maintains a 9,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,950¢.
  • Seattle Mariners O/U 3.5 (7,800%): Sitting in third place with a 7,800% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Seattle Mariners O/U 3.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Los Angeles Angels O/U 1.5 (7,150%), Spread -1.5 (7,050%), and Seattle Mariners O/U 4.5 (6,550%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Los Angeles Angels O/U 2.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings Spread -1.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
2Los Angeles Angels O/U 0.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
3Seattle Mariners O/U 3.57800.0%—7800¢-7700¢
4Los Angeles Angels O/U 1.57150.0%—7150¢-7050¢
5Spread -1.57050.0%$3.3K7050¢-6950¢
6Seattle Mariners O/U 4.56550.0%$666550¢-6450¢
7Los Angeles Angels O/U 2.55950.0%—5950¢-5850¢
8O/U 5.55950.0%$3335950¢-5850¢
9Seattle Mariners O/U 5.55750.0%—5750¢-5650¢
10Los Angeles Angels O/U 3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
11Extra Innings5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Los Angeles Angels O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13O/U 6.54650.0%$10.8K4650¢-4550¢
14Spread -2.54250.0%$74250¢-4150¢
15O/U 7.53050.0%$17.8K3050¢-2950¢
16Spread -3.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
17O/U 8.52150.0%$5.4K2150¢-2050¢
18Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners950.0%$153.5K950¢-850¢
19Spread -1.5550.0%$3.3K550¢-450¢
20Spread -2.5400.0%$7400¢-300¢
211st 5 Innings O/U 4.550.0%$450¢50¢
221st 5 Innings O/U 5.550.0%—50¢50¢
231st 5 Innings Spread -1.545.0%—45¢55¢
241st 5 Innings O/U 3.55.0%$625¢95¢
251st 5 Innings O/U 6.55.0%$305¢95¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Angels and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for September 27 at 3:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game.

This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 27, 2026

  • 12:04 PM
    FIfizzwont
    $3.30

    Bought 6 Under for Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 at 0.55

  • 11:33 AM
    FEferrariChampions2026
    $236.83

    Bought 550.76 Under for Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5 at 0.43

  • 11:33 AM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $4.92

    Bought 7.94 Under for Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5 at 0.62

  • 11:33 AM
    ——
    $1.95

    Bought 3.095237 Under for Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5 at 0.63

  • 11:33 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $23.31

    Bought 55.5 Under for Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5 at 0.42

  • 11:31 AM
    0X0xc92CA3e01ad489f732550B0912991d7beFFb6f15-1770260769185
    $100.00

    Bought 169.491526 Over for Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5 at 0.59

  • 08:31 AM
    RIRicardoRoberto
    $1.00

    Bought 1.587302 Seattle Mariners for Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners at 0.63

  • 08:30 AM
    ——
    $76.91

    Bought 139.836364 No for Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners at 0.55

  • 08:20 AM
    MAmarlondichicu
    $5.00

    Bought 7.936508 Seattle Mariners for Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners at 0.63

  • 07:47 AM
    MEmeitalg
    $49.50

    Bought 66 Over for Seattle Mariners Team Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.75

  • 07:15 AM
    AYayybdot
    $13.66

    Bought 21.68 Seattle Mariners for Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners at 0.63

  • 06:17 AM
    FUfunnyday
    $11.40

    Bought 30 Los Angeles Angels for Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners at 0.38

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$22,249.86
Volume
$102,861.55
Positions
Los Angeles AngelsUnder
XI2
xifutloong3
Event PnL
+$16,538.54
Volume
$76,923.08
Positions
Seattle Mariners
DO3
dontworrybaseball
Event PnL
+$2,315.40
Volume
$10,769.23
Positions
Seattle Mariners
MJ4
mjjbb
Event PnL
+$1,488.47
Volume
$6,923.08
Positions
Seattle Mariners
4F5
0x4f2
Event PnL
-$1,233.84
Volume
$5,737.72
Positions
Los Angeles Angels
GA6
gabbybb
Event PnL
+$1,157.70
Volume
$5,384.62
Positions
Seattle Mariners
ML7
MLJBASEBALL
Event PnL
+$1,157.70
Volume
$5,384.62
Positions
Seattle Mariners
328
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$641.42
Volume
$2,269.31
Positions
Los Angeles Angels

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,955% win probability, followed by Los Angeles Angels O/U 0.5 at 9,950% and Seattle Mariners O/U 3.5 at 7,800%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $204.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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