Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics

$285.7K Vol
Sep 30, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Los Angeles Angels 50.5%
Athletics 49.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, NRFI is dominating the market with an overwhelming 55.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $285.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • NRFI (55.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, NRFI is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 56¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $562 in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1NRFI55.5%$56256¢44¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Angels and Athletics, scheduled for September 22 at 9:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game.

This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome NRFI currently trades at 55.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 51.9%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -3.6%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
NRFI55.5%51.9%-3.6%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 22, 2026

  • 10:54 PM
    ZGzgcdwf01
    $6.86

    Bought 14 Over for Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 at 0.49

  • 10:51 PM
    SUsuperlxj
    $3.43

    Bought 7 Over for Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 at 0.49

  • 10:51 PM
    $10.00

    Bought 19.23077 Under for Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 at 0.52

  • 10:49 PM
    HAHan88
    $5.00

    Bought 8.064515 Athletics for Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) at 0.62

  • 10:48 PM
    $25.00

    Bought 51.020409 Over for Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 at 0.49

  • 10:48 PM
    0X0x3DFb153c197D4C19D3B31c1ecD2c7B6860eeabAf-1722957908185
    $70,553.66

    Bought 146986.79 Over for Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 at 0.48

  • 10:39 PM
    CUcurrybrother
    $1.20

    Bought 1.935484 Athletics for Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) at 0.62

  • 10:39 PM
    JOJobear2
    $3.40

    Bought 5.483871 Athletics for Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) at 0.62

  • 10:38 PM
    NInigiri99
    $475.20

    Bought 990 Over for Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 at 0.48

  • 10:34 PM
    JAjade04
    $4.00

    Bought 6.451613 Athletics for Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) at 0.62

  • 10:34 PM
    MImig-0-r
    $3.49

    Bought 7.270834 Over for Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 at 0.48

  • 10:33 PM
    NInigiri99
    $64.80

    Bought 135 Over for Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 at 0.48

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

2A1
0x2a07…7354
Event PnL
-$234.25
Volume
$46,859.95
Positions
Los Angeles Angels
HM2
HMLSF
Event PnL
-$80.05
Volume
$16,115.77
Positions
Los Angeles Angels
NO3
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
+$65.23
Volume
$13,018.04
Positions
AthleticsOver
HO4
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$27.45
Volume
$12,995.97
Positions
AthleticsOverAthletics+1
325
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
+$40.00
Volume
$7,979.66
Positions
Athletics
AN6
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$7.95
Volume
$4,925.00
Positions
Athletics
HI7
hi774c
Event PnL
+$14.36
Volume
$2,871.42
Positions
Athletics
MO8
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$6.98
Volume
$2,510.73
Positions
AthleticsOverLos Angeles Angels+1

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics"?

As of the latest update, NRFI leads the field as the frontrunner with a 55.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $285.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around NRFI. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 55.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 51.9%, a negative EV Gap of -3.6% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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