Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox

$115.6K Vol
Sep 17, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Los Angeles Angels 93.5%
Boston Red Sox 6.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, NRFI is dominating the market with an overwhelming 53.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $115.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • NRFI (53.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, NRFI is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 54¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1NRFI53.5%54¢47¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Angels and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for September 9 at 6:45PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game.

This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome NRFI currently trades at 53.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 43.8%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -9.7%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
NRFI53.5%43.8%-9.7%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 9, 2026

  • 11:52 PM
    5F5f5a
    $14.70

    Sold 49 Under for Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5 at 0.3

  • 11:51 PM
    ROroon49
    $11.70

    Bought 15 Los Angeles Angels for Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) at 0.78

  • 11:51 PM
    ROroon49
    $11.55

    Bought 15 Los Angeles Angels for Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) at 0.77

  • 11:50 PM
    PUpups10
    $1.00

    Bought 2.857143 Under for Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5 at 0.35

  • 11:50 PM
    5F5f5a
    $1.30

    Sold 2 Over for Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5 at 0.65

  • 11:50 PM
    5F5f5a
    $4.19

    Bought 11.971429 Under for Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5 at 0.35

  • 11:50 PM
    KIkitopesivan
    $37.47

    Bought 162.913044 Under for Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5 at 0.23

  • 11:50 PM
    5F5f5a
    $2.60

    Sold 4 Over for Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5 at 0.65

  • 11:50 PM
    5F5f5a
    $9.79

    Bought 27.971429 Under for Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5 at 0.35

  • 11:50 PM
    PUpups10
    $1.00

    Bought 2.857143 Under for Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5 at 0.35

  • 11:48 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $100.00

    Bought 400 Boston Red Sox for Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) at 0.25

  • 11:47 PM
    16168888888168
    $1.51

    Bought 6.863637 Under for Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5 at 0.22

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

DV1
dv-pm
Event PnL
+$31.67
Volume
$6,334.80
Positions
Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox
RO2
roldy
Event PnL
+$1.36
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
Los Angeles Angels
NI3
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$15.91
Volume
$4,448.00
Positions
Boston Red SoxNoUnder+1
DB4
dbbbt
Event PnL
-$20.33
Volume
$4,067.10
Positions
Boston Red Sox
FL5
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$233.12
Volume
$3,920.02
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+1
A56
0xa54d…1162
Event PnL
-$157.50
Volume
$3,499.92
Positions
Over
VE7
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$7.07
Volume
$3,213.89
Positions
Los Angeles AngelsOver
FO8
ForMyFamily1
Event PnL
-$14.92
Volume
$2,985.07
Positions
Boston Red Sox

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox"?

As of the latest update, NRFI leads the field as the frontrunner with a 53.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $115.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around NRFI. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 53.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 43.8%, a negative EV Gap of -9.7% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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