Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros

$244.3K Vol
Sep 24, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Houston Astros 60.5%
Kansas City Royals 39.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,850% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 6,550%, while O/U 8.5 sits in third with 5,450%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $244.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,850%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,850¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (6,550%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 maintains a 6,550% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,550¢.
  • O/U 8.5 (5,450%): Sitting in third place with a 5,450% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 8.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (5,400%), NRFI (5,150%), and O/U 9.5 (4,350%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Spread -1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.57850.0%7850¢-7750¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 3.56550.0%$306550¢-6450¢
3O/U 8.55450.0%$7025450¢-5350¢
41st 5 Innings O/U 4.55400.0%5400¢-5300¢
5NRFI5150.0%$4615150¢-5050¢
6O/U 9.54350.0%$774350¢-4250¢
7Spread -1.54150.0%$2.4K4150¢-4050¢
81st 5 Innings O/U 5.54150.0%$54150¢-4050¢
9Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros3950.0%$236.8K3950¢-3850¢
10O/U 10.53650.0%$1043650¢-3550¢
111st 5 Innings Spread -1.53450.0%$13450¢-3350¢
12Spread -2.53150.0%$473150¢-3050¢
131st 5 Innings O/U 6.53100.0%3100¢-3000¢
14Spread -1.53050.0%$2.4K3050¢-2950¢
151st 5 Innings Spread -1.52750.0%$12750¢-2650¢
16Spread -2.52150.0%$472150¢-2050¢
17Extra Innings850.0%850¢-750¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Houston Astros, scheduled for September 16 at 8:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game.

This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 16, 2026

  • 09:59 PM
    DIdisorderd
    $10.72

    Bought 17.573771 Houston Astros for Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros at 0.61

  • 09:51 PM
    BZbzglt
    $80.00

    Bought 200 Kansas City Royals for Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros at 0.4

  • 09:47 PM
    BABayfalle
    $2.00

    Bought 5 Kansas City Royals for Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros at 0.4

  • 09:46 PM
    KRKrown
    $1,220.00

    Bought 2000 Houston Astros for Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros at 0.61

  • 09:44 PM
    KRKrown
    $807.03

    Bought 1323 Houston Astros for Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros at 0.61

  • 09:43 PM
    KRKrown
    $1,022.97

    Bought 1677 Houston Astros for Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros at 0.61

  • 09:40 PM
    KRKrown
    $3,050.00

    Bought 5000 Houston Astros for Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros at 0.61

  • 09:27 PM
    DEDevastator02
    $1.00

    Bought 2.5 Kansas City Royals for Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros at 0.4

  • 09:20 PM
    JOJobear2
    $5.10

    Bought 12.75 Kansas City Royals for Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros at 0.4

  • 09:20 PM
    JAjade04
    $6.00

    Bought 15 Kansas City Royals for Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros at 0.4

  • 09:19 PM
    DODonLorenzo70
    $2.00

    Bought 5 Kansas City Royals for Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros at 0.4

  • 09:18 PM
    GAgabmlergao
    $200.00

    Bought 327.868853 Houston Astros for Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros at 0.61

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

PL1
pleaseplease123
Event PnL
-$897.28
Volume
$179,491.00
Positions
Houston Astros
SA2
Sassy-Bucket
Event PnL
+$753.31
Volume
$150,662.70
Positions
Kansas City Royals
2A3
0x2a07…7354
Event PnL
-$121.31
Volume
$24,261.95
Positions
Kansas City Royals
HO4
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$60.44
Volume
$12,010.50
Positions
Kansas City RoyalsHouston Astros
VE5
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$50.10
Volume
$10,004.87
Positions
Kansas City RoyalsOver
NI6
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$189.70
Volume
$7,940.00
Positions
Houston AstrosNo
JA7
JAMJAMJAM4
Event PnL
-$19.23
Volume
$3,649.64
Positions
Kansas City RoyalsKansas City RoyalsUnder+1
MA8
MAGATheeStallion
Event PnL
+$86.18
Volume
$3,447.00
Positions
Houston Astros

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,850% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 6,550% and O/U 8.5 at 5,450%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $244.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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