Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays

$125.3K Vol
Sep 20, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Tampa Bay Rays 100.0%
Houston Astros 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Spread -1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Spread -2.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while Spread -3.5 sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $125.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Spread -1.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Spread -1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $58 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Spread -2.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Spread -2.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Spread -3.5 (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Spread -3.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Spread -8.5 (9,995%), Spread -9.5 (9,995%), and Spread -4.5 (9,950%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Spread -6.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Spread -1.59995.0%$589995¢-9895¢
2Spread -2.59995.0%$1009995¢-9895¢
3Spread -3.59995.0%$6.8K9995¢-9895¢
4Spread -8.59995.0%$1.0K9995¢-9895¢
5Spread -9.59995.0%$24.1K9995¢-9895¢
6Spread -4.59950.0%$89950¢-9850¢
7Spread -6.59950.0%$89950¢-9850¢
8Spread -7.59950.0%9950¢-9850¢
9Extra Innings50.0%50¢50¢
10O/U 18.550.0%$6750¢50¢
11O/U 19.550.0%$850¢50¢
12Spread -1.530.0%$5830¢70¢
13Spread -2.525.0%$10025¢75¢
14Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays5.0%$66.2K95¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for September 13 at 1:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game.

This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 13, 2026

  • 11:27 AM
    SPspecter
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886793 Over for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 at 0.53

  • 10:33 AM
    WBwbrh
    $2.00

    Bought 3.571429 Tampa Bay Rays for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.56

  • 10:27 AM
    XPxp6666
    $10.00

    Bought 20.833334 Under for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 at 0.48

  • 10:16 AM
    RIRicardoRoberto
    $1.00

    Bought 1.785715 Tampa Bay Rays for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.56

  • 10:02 AM
    BEBeater
    $50.00

    Bought 111.111112 Houston Astros for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.45

  • 09:53 AM
    PJpjotrekkk
    $92.41

    Bought 210.03 Houston Astros for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.44

  • 08:34 AM
    GUgust
    $1.00

    Bought 1.754386 Tampa Bay Rays for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.57

  • 08:10 AM
    DFdfgdrtt
    $1.02

    Bought 1.924529 Over for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 at 0.53

  • 08:10 AM
    FGfghfgh555
    $1.02

    Bought 1.924529 Over for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 at 0.53

  • 08:08 AM
    DFdfge44r
    $1.02

    Bought 1.924529 Over for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 at 0.53

  • 08:07 AM
    DFdfgfdg4f12
    $1.02

    Bought 1.924529 Over for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 at 0.53

  • 08:07 AM
    SDsdgfdhh
    $1.02

    Bought 1.924529 Over for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 at 0.53

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

DO1
Donkey14
Event PnL
+$9,555.55
Volume
$22,222.21
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$8,935.83
Volume
$20,662.01
Positions
Houston Astros
323
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
+$3,048.94
Volume
$5,597.60
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays
FO4
ForMyFamily1
Event PnL
-$1,913.04
Volume
$4,347.83
Positions
Houston Astros
JU5
justaluckydude
Event PnL
+$1,083.38
Volume
$3,092.88
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays
SI6
sirluca888
Event PnL
-$937.00
Volume
$2,129.54
Positions
Houston Astros
HO7
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$799.61
Volume
$1,903.83
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays
SH8
shaw
Event PnL
-$756.00
Volume
$1,800.00
Positions
Houston Astros

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays"?

As of the latest update, Spread -1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Spread -2.5 at 9,995% and Spread -3.5 at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $125.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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