Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays

$110.7K Vol
Sep 20, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Tampa Bay Rays 56.5%
Houston Astros 43.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,250% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 5,850%, while O/U 7.5 sits in third with 5,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $110.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,250%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,250¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (5,850%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 maintains a 5,850% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,850¢.
  • O/U 7.5 (5,050%): Sitting in third place with a 5,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 7.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes NRFI (4,650%), 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (4,450%), and Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays (4,350%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 8.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.57250.0%7250¢-7150¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 3.55850.0%5850¢-5750¢
3O/U 7.55050.0%$1.5K5050¢-4950¢
4NRFI4650.0%$5.0K4650¢-4550¢
51st 5 Innings O/U 4.54450.0%$204450¢-4350¢
6Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays4350.0%$88.9K4350¢-4250¢
7O/U 8.54350.0%$12.4K4350¢-4250¢
8Spread -1.53850.0%$4603850¢-3750¢
91st 5 Innings Spread -1.53300.0%$103300¢-3200¢
101st 5 Innings O/U 5.53300.0%3300¢-3200¢
11O/U 9.53250.0%$2.3K3250¢-3150¢
12Spread -1.53050.0%$4603050¢-2950¢
13Spread -2.52850.0%$172850¢-2750¢
141st 5 Innings Spread -1.52700.0%$102700¢-2600¢
151st 5 Innings O/U 6.52450.0%2450¢-2350¢
16Spread -2.52250.0%$172250¢-2150¢
17Extra Innings1050.0%1050¢-950¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for September 12 at 6:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game.

This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 12, 2026

  • 11:31 AM
    XPxp6666
    $10.00

    Bought 18.518519 Under for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 at 0.54

  • 10:05 AM
    0X0xE127538b49F97CEfa677Bd86aaeDA4ea711482A2-1775710295947
    $2.50

    Bought 4.032257 Houston Astros for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) at 0.62

  • 10:05 AM
    0X0xE127538b49F97CEfa677Bd86aaeDA4ea711482A2-1775710295947
    $7.50

    Bought 17.441861 Houston Astros for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.43

  • 08:41 AM
    ELelep222
    $12.62

    Bought 35.06 Over for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5 at 0.36

  • 08:13 AM
    SDsdfdf444
    $2.00

    Bought 3.703704 Over for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 at 0.54

  • 08:06 AM
    FDfdgfgfgrgg
    $1.02

    Bought 1.888889 Over for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 at 0.54

  • 08:05 AM
    GHghgttt
    $1.02

    Bought 1.888889 Over for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 at 0.54

  • 08:04 AM
    FFfffrtrr
    $1.02

    Bought 1.888889 Over for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 at 0.54

  • 08:01 AM
    BTbtcnew5
    $15.00

    Bought 27.777778 Over for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 at 0.54

  • 07:30 AM
    BTbtc2029
    $9.96

    Bought 18.444445 Over for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 at 0.54

  • 07:20 AM
    0X0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3
    $0.74

    Sold 1.72 Over for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 0.43

  • 06:16 AM
    NInigiri99
    $2.70

    Bought 5 Under for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 at 0.54

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

HO1
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$15.57
Volume
$8,305.83
Positions
OverUnderHouston Astros+1
NI2
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$6.48
Volume
$5,019.00
Positions
UnderOverYes+2
MA3
MAGATheeStallion
Event PnL
+$54.99
Volume
$3,635.81
Positions
Under
FL4
Flipadelphia
Event PnL
+$18.18
Volume
$3,634.39
Positions
UnderUnder
WA5
wapol
Event PnL
-$30.17
Volume
$2,073.26
Positions
OverUnderHouston Astros
JA6
JAMJAMJAM4
Event PnL
-$10.26
Volume
$2,052.00
Positions
Over
BE7
betabot
Event PnL
+$27.27
Volume
$1,818.00
Positions
Under
BR8
brendoncarson
Event PnL
-$15.00
Volume
$1,500.00
Positions
Over

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,250% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 5,850% and O/U 7.5 at 5,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $110.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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