Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies

$164.4K Vol
Sep 16, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Houston Astros 84.5%
Philadelphia Phillies 15.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 9.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies follows in second place at 8,050%, while O/U 10.5 sits in third with 7,900%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $164.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 9.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 9.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $6.3K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies (8,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies maintains a 8,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 8,050¢.
  • O/U 10.5 (7,900%): Sitting in third place with a 7,900% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 10.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Spread -1.5 (5,950%), O/U 11.5 (5,650%), and Extra Innings (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 12.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 9.59995.0%$6.3K9995¢-9895¢
2Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies8050.0%$144.6K8050¢-7950¢
3O/U 10.57900.0%$1.7K7900¢-7800¢
4Spread -1.55950.0%$4.4K5950¢-5850¢
5O/U 11.55650.0%$2375650¢-5550¢
6Extra Innings5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7O/U 12.54650.0%$2444650¢-4550¢
8Spread -4.54450.0%$2654450¢-4350¢
9Spread -2.52950.0%$6.4K2950¢-2850¢
10Spread -3.51550.0%$4521550¢-1450¢
11Spread -1.5695.0%$4.4K695¢-595¢
12Spread -2.5205.0%$6.4K205¢-105¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for September 8 at 6:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game.

This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 8, 2026

  • 11:20 PM
    5F5f5a
    $6.09

    Sold 21 Under for Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 at 0.29

  • 11:20 PM
    5F5f5a
    $1.42

    Bought 2 Over for Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 at 0.71

  • 11:19 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $7.00

    Bought 25 Under for Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 at 0.28

  • 11:17 PM
    $47.03

    Sold 114.7 Under for Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5 at 0.41

  • 11:16 PM
    PCpcjones
    $3.77

    Bought 13 Under for Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 at 0.29

  • 11:16 PM
    PLplatarb
    $6.38

    Bought 22.785715 Under for Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 at 0.28

  • 11:16 PM
    PXpxxp
    $23.38

    Bought 83.49 Under for Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 at 0.28

  • 11:15 PM
    ZUzusu
    $1.00

    Bought 2.439025 Philadelphia Phillies for Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5) at 0.41

  • 11:11 PM
    DAdayonee
    $8.97

    Bought 81.545455 Philadelphia Phillies for Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) at 0.11

  • 11:11 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $100.55

    Bought 1005.5 Philadelphia Phillies for Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) at 0.1

  • 11:08 PM
    0X0x2c17354B07cdb47F09470249c26eB105569B2b08-1788748219223
    $1.29

    Bought 8.0625 Under for Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5 at 0.16

  • 11:08 PM
    JUjustaluckydude
    $5.18

    Bought 37 Under for Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5 at 0.14

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

MO1
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$69.76
Volume
$14,498.87
Positions
Philadelphia PhilliesOverOver
PR2
ProjectxJack
Event PnL
-$34.89
Volume
$6,979.23
Positions
Over
HE3
0xheavy888
Event PnL
+$15.00
Volume
$5,800.00
Positions
UnderPhiladelphia Phillies
AN4
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$24.04
Volume
$4,808.69
Positions
UnderHouston Astros
VE5
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$16.78
Volume
$3,999.69
Positions
Houston AstrosPhiladelphia Phillies
KI6
kingflop
Event PnL
+$16.29
Volume
$3,258.31
Positions
Under
EV7
EVhunter69
Event PnL
-$6.22
Volume
$2,482.65
Positions
Houston Astros
NI8
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$5.92
Volume
$2,456.00
Positions
OverHouston AstrosHouston Astros+1

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies"?

As of the latest update, O/U 9.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 8,050% and O/U 10.5 at 7,900%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $164.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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