Houston Astros vs. Athletics

$460.3K Vol
Oct 4, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Houston Astros 98.4%
Athletics 1.7%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Houston Astros vs. Athletics”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Houston Astros O/U 5.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 follows in second place at 9,950%, while Houston Astros O/U 6.5 sits in third with 9,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $460.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Houston Astros O/U 5.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Houston Astros O/U 5.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $35 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (9,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 maintains a 9,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,950¢.
  • Houston Astros O/U 6.5 (9,950%): Sitting in third place with a 9,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Houston Astros O/U 6.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Houston Astros vs. Athletics (9,925%), Spread -2.5 (9,650%), and Spread -4.5 (9,450%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Spread -1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Houston Astros O/U 5.59995.0%$359995¢-9895¢
21st 5 Innings Spread -1.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
3Houston Astros O/U 6.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
4Houston Astros vs. Athletics9925.0%$359.9K9925¢-9825¢
5Spread -2.59650.0%$9229650¢-9550¢
6Spread -4.59450.0%—9450¢-9350¢
7Spread -1.59445.0%$1.8K9445¢-9345¢
8Spread -5.58750.0%$1.0K8750¢-8650¢
9O/U 8.57750.0%$5.1K7750¢-7650¢
10Houston Astros O/U 4.57555.0%—7555¢-7455¢
11O/U 9.56750.0%$28.0K6750¢-6650¢
12Spread -7.55950.0%—5950¢-5850¢
13O/U 10.55500.0%$6.7K5500¢-5400¢
14O/U 7.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
15Spread -3.55100.0%$15100¢-5000¢
16Houston Astros O/U 3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
17Extra Innings5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Houston Astros O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Athletics O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Athletics O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Athletics O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Athletics O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Athletics O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24O/U 12.55000.0%$5655000¢-4900¢
25Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27O/U 11.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
28Spread -2.5200.0%$922200¢-100¢
29Spread -1.5200.0%$1.8K200¢-100¢
301st 5 Innings Spread -1.550.0%—50¢50¢
311st 5 Innings O/U 4.55.0%$355¢95¢
321st 5 Innings O/U 5.55.0%$4.2K5¢95¢
331st 5 Innings O/U 6.55.0%$355¢95¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Athletics, scheduled for September 27 at 3:05PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game.

This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 27, 2026

  • 09:49 AM
    KJkjhgvvhbj
    $7.80

    Bought 20 Athletics for Houston Astros vs. Athletics at 0.39

  • 09:49 AM
    HGhgvbgjnk
    $12.40

    Bought 20 Houston Astros for Houston Astros vs. Athletics at 0.62

  • 09:19 AM
    GHghfg58
    $5.03

    Bought 12.897436 Athletics for Houston Astros vs. Athletics at 0.39

  • 09:19 AM
    DVdvfbgv
    $8.00

    Bought 12.903226 Houston Astros for Houston Astros vs. Athletics at 0.62

  • 09:10 AM
    HGhg77nk
    $15.25

    Bought 25 Houston Astros for Houston Astros vs. Athletics at 0.61

  • 09:10 AM
    FGfghb85
    $10.00

    Bought 25 Athletics for Houston Astros vs. Athletics at 0.4

  • 08:37 AM
    DEdeepmouse
    $25.08

    Bought 40.450644 Houston Astros for Houston Astros vs. Athletics at 0.62

  • 06:54 AM
    ——
    $0.95

    Sold 1.61 Houston Astros for Houston Astros vs. Athletics at 0.59

  • 06:54 AM
    -K-kest-
    $5.76

    Bought 9.290323 Houston Astros for Houston Astros vs. Athletics at 0.62

  • 06:54 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.612902 Houston Astros for Houston Astros vs. Athletics at 0.62

  • 06:54 AM
    ——
    $2.00

    Bought 4.878049 Athletics for Houston Astros vs. Athletics at 0.41

  • 06:54 AM
    OMomnibus-076daa
    $66.84

    Bought 109.573771 Houston Astros for Houston Astros vs. Athletics at 0.61

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SA1
Sassy-Bucket
Event PnL
-$43,041.92
Volume
$151,026.29
Positions
Athletics
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$32,528.21
Volume
$114,134.08
Positions
Houston Astros
BR3
BrotherObama
Event PnL
-$30,935.18
Volume
$107,529.61
Positions
Athletics
MO4
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
+$7.98
Volume
$102,887.73
Positions
Houston Astros
2C5
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
+$12,750.80
Volume
$43,773.40
Positions
Houston Astros
JU6
justaluckydude
Event PnL
-$4,582.49
Volume
$16,560.00
Positions
Athletics
SD7
SDTrading
Event PnL
+$71.23
Volume
$14,242.87
Positions
Houston Astros
328
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$40.00
Volume
$4,119.17
Positions
Athletics

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Houston Astros vs. Athletics"?

As of the latest update, Houston Astros O/U 5.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 at 9,950% and Houston Astros O/U 6.5 at 9,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $460.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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