Houston Astros vs. Athletics

$274.6K Vol
Oct 4, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Houston Astros 95.5%
Athletics 4.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Houston Astros vs. Athletics”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,950% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 follows in second place at 9,950%, while 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 sits in third with 9,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $274.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (9,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $817 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 (9,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 maintains a 9,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,950¢.
  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 (9,950%): Sitting in third place with a 9,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Houston Astros vs. Athletics (9,550%), Spread -1.5 (9,100%), and O/U 8.5 (8,800%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Spread -2.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings O/U 4.59950.0%$8179950¢-9850¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 5.59950.0%$1859950¢-9850¢
31st 5 Innings O/U 6.59950.0%$619950¢-9850¢
4Houston Astros vs. Athletics9550.0%$211.8K9550¢-9450¢
5Spread -1.59100.0%$10.3K9100¢-9000¢
6O/U 8.58800.0%$18.0K8800¢-8700¢
7Spread -2.58200.0%$1.3K8200¢-8100¢
8O/U 7.57850.0%$4.3K7850¢-7750¢
9O/U 9.57650.0%$9.9K7650¢-7550¢
10O/U 10.56150.0%$2.3K6150¢-6050¢
11Spread -4.56050.0%—6050¢-5950¢
12O/U 11.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
131st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
141st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Extra Innings5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Houston Astros O/U 3.55000.0%$1105000¢-4900¢
17Houston Astros O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Houston Astros O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Houston Astros O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Athletics O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Athletics O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Athletics O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Athletics O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Athletics O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Spread -3.55000.0%$205000¢-4900¢
26Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Spread -1.5300.0%$10.3K300¢-200¢
28Spread -2.5200.0%$1.3K200¢-100¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Athletics, scheduled for September 26 at 9:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game.

This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 27, 2026

  • 12:02 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $24.19

    Bought 49.37 Houston Astros for Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) at 0.49

  • 12:00 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $7.33

    Bought 14.1 Over for Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 at 0.52

  • 12:00 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $42.44

    Bought 81.61 Over for Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 at 0.52

Sep 26, 2026

  • 11:58 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $29.86

    Bought 57.43 Over for Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 at 0.52

  • 11:58 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $17.28

    Bought 33.24 Over for Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 at 0.52

  • 11:57 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $77.51

    Bought 158.18 Houston Astros for Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) at 0.49

  • 11:55 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $1.57

    Bought 3.02 Over for Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 at 0.52

  • 11:54 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $38.50

    Bought 78.58 Houston Astros for Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) at 0.49

  • 11:49 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $42.44

    Bought 81.61 Over for Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 at 0.52

  • 11:49 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $126.39

    Bought 257.93 Houston Astros for Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) at 0.49

  • 11:48 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $1,234.25

    Bought 2518.88 Houston Astros for Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) at 0.49

  • 11:42 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $24.19

    Bought 49.37 Houston Astros for Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) at 0.49

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

HO1
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$574.01
Volume
$13,639.86
Positions
OverOverAthletics+1
MO2
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
+$3.83
Volume
$5,339.75
Positions
Houston AstrosOverOver+2
BR3
breezybets
Event PnL
-$62.21
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
Under
NI4
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$120.46
Volume
$4,518.00
Positions
AthleticsOverOver+4
C25
0xc249…2835
Event PnL
-$125.77
Volume
$3,832.52
Positions
UnderUnderUnder
AN6
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
-$13.47
Volume
$3,651.48
Positions
OverAthleticsNo
SD7
SDTrading
Event PnL
+$57.36
Volume
$3,441.28
Positions
Houston Astros
HE8
0xheavy888
Event PnL
+$13.02
Volume
$2,604.08
Positions
Athletics

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Houston Astros vs. Athletics"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,950% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 at 9,950% and 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 at 9,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $274.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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