Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals

$349.9K Vol
Sep 20, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Chicago White Sox 63.5%
St. Louis Cardinals 36.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,450% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 follows in second place at 5,000%, while 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $349.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals (6,450%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,450¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $303.2K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (5,000%), 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (5,000%), and 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals6450.0%$303.2K6450¢-6350¢
21st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
41st 5 Innings O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
51st 5 Innings O/U 3.55000.0%$305000¢-4900¢
61st 5 Innings O/U 4.55000.0%$4.9K5000¢-4900¢
71st 5 Innings O/U 5.55000.0%$355000¢-4900¢
81st 5 Innings O/U 6.55000.0%$125000¢-4900¢
9Extra Innings5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Spread -1.54650.0%$144650¢-4550¢
11Spread -2.53150.0%$4083150¢-3050¢
12O/U 7.53000.0%$18.6K3000¢-2900¢
13O/U 8.52400.0%$17.1K2400¢-2300¢
14O/U 9.51700.0%$12.5K1700¢-1600¢
15Spread -1.51600.0%$141600¢-1500¢
16Spread -2.51000.0%$4081000¢-900¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for September 13 at 2:15PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.

This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 13, 2026

  • 10:19 AM
    0X0xbfD770B7ff0
    $20.00

    Bought 37.735848 Chicago White Sox for Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals at 0.53

  • 08:40 AM
    FIfizzwont
    $50.00

    Bought 94.339623 Chicago White Sox for Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals at 0.53

  • 08:26 AM
    0X0xE5d2Eb130304f714CCdB1158Cce66564b5740814-1770145113534
    $3.71

    Bought 7 Chicago White Sox for Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals at 0.53

  • 08:00 AM
    DADanielTsai
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886793 Chicago White Sox for Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals at 0.53

  • 06:47 AM
    YIyixinh
    $20.00

    Bought 41.66 St. Louis Cardinals for Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals at 0.48

Sep 12, 2026

  • 11:20 PM
    NInigiri99
    $130.08

    Bought 271 St. Louis Cardinals for Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals at 0.48

  • 11:10 PM
    NInigiri99
    $63.36

    Bought 132 St. Louis Cardinals for Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals at 0.48

  • 05:47 PM
    $3.00

    Bought 6.25 St. Louis Cardinals for Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals at 0.48

  • 12:59 PM
    YIyixinh
    $5.00

    Bought 10.41 St. Louis Cardinals for Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals at 0.48

Sep 11, 2026

  • 12:25 AM
    MIMiguel262144
    $17.28

    Bought 32 Chicago White Sox for Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals at 0.54

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SA1
Sassy-Bucket
Event PnL
-$7,013.22
Volume
$93,509.60
Positions
St. Louis Cardinals
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$2,012.37
Volume
$23,674.49
Positions
Chicago White Sox
NI3
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$0.03
Volume
$22,933.88
Positions
Chicago White Sox
HO4
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$1,141.92
Volume
$14,226.33
Positions
Chicago White Sox
325
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
+$549.55
Volume
$10,210.09
Positions
Chicago White Sox
8E6
0x8efa…894c
Event PnL
-$640.30
Volume
$8,004.00
Positions
St. Louis Cardinals
FB7
0xfB07…2542
Event PnL
+$425.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
Chicago White Sox
HI8
hi774c
Event PnL
+$344.31
Volume
$4,050.70
Positions
Chicago White Sox

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals"?

As of the latest update, Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,450% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 at 5,000% and 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $349.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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